You all are out of your mind.
There are too many variables in the game of pool. Where you would need absolutes to do a statistical analysis in proper fashion, unless you want to try and tie in chaos theory as someone mentioned before.
Otherwise, give it up.
In poker, there isn't a chunk of chalk on the table that is going to make that river card rag, skid and change into a 1 outer that crushes you.
To try and determine luck in the game of pool is an impossible task.
How clean are the balls.
How clean is the table.
Is this person expected to make everything?
Is the person expected to miss everything?
Does this person have the knowledge to make a complicated kick on the ball properly, that gives him the OPPORTUNITY to get lucky?
And then you have the other variables.
Did they get lucky by missing and hooking their opponent?
Did they get lucky by missing and crapping a ball in?
Did they get unlucky by doing everything properly on the break shot, and having no shot whatsoever? (14.1)
Did they get lucky by having more opportunities then their opponent to begin with?
Believe me, if you guys want to take the next 1000 years to try and figure this out, by all means, go ahead.
But it's not a straight forward as something concrete.
Like the odds of a card coming out in poker, or the probability of a certain position and accepting the double cube in Backgammon.
Personally, i think it's just there.
I just think that it comes and goes, and that some people are just luckier then everyone else, and that some people are unluckier then everyone else. Consistently.
Like a ray of sunshine always shining down on you so that you can do no wrong, or a dark cloud that haunts your every move and makes everything that much more difficult despite playing well.
There are too many variables in the game of pool. Where you would need absolutes to do a statistical analysis in proper fashion, unless you want to try and tie in chaos theory as someone mentioned before.
Otherwise, give it up.
In poker, there isn't a chunk of chalk on the table that is going to make that river card rag, skid and change into a 1 outer that crushes you.
To try and determine luck in the game of pool is an impossible task.
How clean are the balls.
How clean is the table.
Is this person expected to make everything?
Is the person expected to miss everything?
Does this person have the knowledge to make a complicated kick on the ball properly, that gives him the OPPORTUNITY to get lucky?
And then you have the other variables.
Did they get lucky by missing and hooking their opponent?
Did they get lucky by missing and crapping a ball in?
Did they get unlucky by doing everything properly on the break shot, and having no shot whatsoever? (14.1)
Did they get lucky by having more opportunities then their opponent to begin with?
Believe me, if you guys want to take the next 1000 years to try and figure this out, by all means, go ahead.
But it's not a straight forward as something concrete.
Like the odds of a card coming out in poker, or the probability of a certain position and accepting the double cube in Backgammon.
Personally, i think it's just there.
I just think that it comes and goes, and that some people are just luckier then everyone else, and that some people are unluckier then everyone else. Consistently.
Like a ray of sunshine always shining down on you so that you can do no wrong, or a dark cloud that haunts your every move and makes everything that much more difficult despite playing well.
