Stats -- Shaw vs. Woodward 10-Ball Race to 50, March 2019

AtLarge

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Here are some results from the Jayson Shaw vs. Skyler Woodward 10-Ball match played at the Lone Star Park in Grand Prairie, TX on March 2 and 3, 2019. Pay-per-view streaming was provided by SullyVision. This match is intended to be the first of 8 such matches ("The Clash of the Titans") throughout the year, qualifying the 8 winners for a tournament with a winner-takes-all prize of $20,000.

This match was a race to 50 game wins, with the first day stopping when one player reached 25. Woodward led 25-23 at the end of the first day, but Shaw outscored him 27-11 on the second day to win the match 50-36.

Conditions -- The conditions for this event included:
- Diamond 9-foot table with standard pro-cut pockets and Simonis 860 blue cloth;​
- Aramith Tournament balls with a measles cue ball;​
- referee racks using an Accu-Rack racking template, with the 1-ball on the foot spot and the 2-ball and 3-ball on the back corners;​
- winner breaks from anywhere behind the head string;​
- call shots (but not safes), with the opponent having a choice of shooting or passing it back after a ball is pocketed illegally;​
- spot any 10-ball made on the break;​
- early combos or caroms on the 10-ball allowed;​
- foul on all balls, and 3-foul rule in effect;​
- jump cues allowed;​
- 40-sec. shot clock, with 1 30-sec. extension per player per game (I didn't see any use of a shot clock); and​
- lag for opening break.​

■ Shaw broke 50 times -- successful 37 times (resulting in 28 game wins and 9 losses), no fouls, and 13 dry (7 wins and 6 losses).

■ Woodward broke 36 times -- successful 22 times (resulting in 15 game wins and 7 losses), 4 fouls (all losses), and 10 dry (6 wins and 4 losses).

Successful breaks (broke legally, made at least one ball, and did not foul):
Shaw -- 37 of 50 (74%)​
Woodward -- 22 of 36 (61%)​
Total -- 59 of 86 (69%)​

Unsuccessful breaks (fouled or dry):
Shaw -- 13 of 50 (26%)​
Woodward -- 14 of 36 (39%)​
Total -- 27 of 86 (31%)​

Breaker won game:
Shaw -- 35 of 50 (70%)​
Woodward -- 21 of 36 (58%)​
Total -- 56 of 86 (65%)​

Break-and-run games -- on all breaks:
Shaw -- 19 of 50 (38%)​
Woodward -- 8 of 36 (22%)​
Total -- 27 of 86 (31%)​

Break-and-run games -- on successful breaks (made at least one ball and did not foul):
Shaw -- 19 of 37 (51%)​
Woodward -- 8 of 22 (36%)​
Total -- 27 of 59 (46%)​

Fouls:
Shaw -- 5​
Woodward -- 9 (including 4 on the break)​
Total -- 14​

Missed shots (est.):
Shaw -- 27​
Woodward -- 22​
Total -- 49​

Games with 1 or more safeties (est):
by Shaw only -- 8​
by Woodward only -- 10​
by both -- 10​
Total games with 1 or more safeties -- 33% (28 of 86)​

Average number of balls made on the break:
Shaw -- 1.2 on all breaks, 1.6 on successful breaks​
Woodward -- 1.0 on all breaks, 1.6 on successful breaks​
Total -- 1.1 on all breaks, 1.6 on successful breaks​

Run-outs from first shot after break:
By Shaw after his own successful break -- 19 of 37 (51%)​
By Shaw after Woodward's failed break -- 6 of 14 (43%)​
By Shaw, total -- 25 of 51 (49%)​
By Woodward after his own successful break -- 8 of 22 (36%)​
By Woodward after Shaw's failed break -- 2 of 13 (15%)​
By Woodward, total -- 10 of 35 (29%)​
Total for Shaw and Woodward -- 35 of 86 (41%)​

Run-outs from first shot after Shaw's break:
By Shaw -- 19 of 37 (51%)​
By Woodward -- 2 of 13 (15%)​
Total -- 21 of 50 (42%)​

Run-outs from first shot after Woodward's break:
By Woodward -- 8 of 22 (36%)​
By Shaw -- 6 of 14 (43%)​
Total -- 14 of 36 (39%)​

Number of innings -- 52% (45 of 86) of the games ended in one inning. 27 games ended on the breaker's first inning (B&R games), 18 games ended on the non-breaker's first inning, 18 games ended on the breaker's second inning, and 6 games ended on the non-breaker's second inning. 20% (17 of 86) of the games went beyond the non-breaker's second visit to the table, with the longest game ending on the non-breaker's 5th visit.

Break-and-run packages
Shaw's 19 B&R games consisted of 3 3-packs, 3 2-packs, and 4 singles.​
Woodward's 8 B&R games were all singles.​

10-balls on the break -- Two 10-balls were made on the break (2.3% of all breaks); they were spotted.

Match length -- 8 hours and 20 minutes, for an average of 5.8 minutes per game. This includes racking and timeouts, but excludes a 53-minute intermission on the first day and a 40-minute intermission on the second day.
 
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Stats like these can be very telling.

If you're a player that can't BNR at a rate of over 30% in 10b on a 4.5" pockets Diamond, don't challenge players like Shane, Shaw, Filler, Dennis, Chang, etc.. in a winner's break long race format.

Bergman probably can't, that's why he wants to play Shaw on 4.25" pockets.
 
I can't imagine getting out 50% of the time, after making a ball. I mean I can imagine it,
but it's still mindblowing. I feel like 50% of the time I can't even see the one ball.
It's like, if shaw sees it at all, you can write off that rack.
 
Shaw had five more missed shots than Woodward.
...seems like aggressiveness pays off.
 
Is it possible to post stats for each day individually? Someone who was there said Shaw only missed two balls on the second day. While I believe that is an exaggeration, I am interested to see the stats of each day side by side.

Thank you again for posting all of the stats for these events.
 
Shaw had five more missed shots than Woodward.
...seems like aggressiveness pays off.

Having patience and being scared are two different things as you know.

Unfortunately for most pool players, regardless of their levels of play, when under the gun, they will hide and play safe (their scared) instead of stepping out / getting out.

The hardest part of ^^^^^^^^^ is "knowing the difference" between the two when you are under said gun.

Me, myself...., I'm a screeaaard wrabbit....regardless of the gun or the fun.


Rake
 
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Is it possible to post stats for each day individually? Someone who was there said Shaw only missed two balls on the second day. While I believe that is an exaggeration, I am interested to see the stats of each day side by side.

Thank you again for posting all of the stats for these events.

Yes, I can do that, but not for the next several days.
 
Is it possible to post stats for each day individually? Someone who was there said Shaw only missed two balls on the second day. While I believe that is an exaggeration, I am interested to see the stats of each day side by side.

Thank you again for posting all of the stats for these events.


Shaw had 27 total(estimate) missed shots. I don't think Shaw missed 25 on day 1 and only 2 on day 2.

I was watching Chen at the WPBA finals. The commentator said she watched Chen vs Donny and only saw Chen missed 3 balls in two days.

Missing 2-3 shots in a race to 11 sure, but not to 21 or 25.
 
Shaw had 27 total(estimate) missed shots. I don't think Shaw missed 25 on day 1 and only 2 on day 2.

I was watching Chen at the WPBA finals. The commentator said she watched Chen vs Donny and only saw Chen missed 3 balls in two days.

Missing 2-3 shots in a race to 11 sure, but not to 21 or 25.

I agree. That's why I asked. it would seem Shaw played quite a bit better on day two. To win 27-11 vs Sky he had to bring his top game. Sky missed less balls overall for the match and still got ran over on day 2.
 
Is it possible to post stats for each day individually? Someone who was there said Shaw only missed two balls on the second day. While I believe that is an exaggeration, I am interested to see the stats of each day side by side.

Thank you again for posting all of the stats for these events.

Yes, I can do that, but not for the next several days.

Here are some results from each of the two days separately.

Successful breaks (broke legally, made at least one ball, and did not foul):
  • Shaw
    • Day 1 -- 17 of 24 (71%)
      Day 2 -- 20 of 26 (77%)
      Both days -- 37 of 50 (74%)
    Woodward
    • Day 1 -- 16 of 24 (67%)
      Day 2 -- 6 of 12 (50%)
      Both days -- 22 of 36 (61%)
    Total
    • Day 1 -- 33 of 48 (69%)
      Day 2 -- 26 of 38 (68%)
      Both days -- 59 of 86 (69%)

Breaker won game:
  • Shaw
    • Day 1 -- 15 of 24 (63%)
      Day 2 -- 20 of 26 (77%)
      Both days -- 35 of 50 (70%)
    Woodward
    • Day 1 -- 16 of 24 (67%)
      Day 2 -- 5 of 12 (42%)
      Both days -- 21 of 36 (58%)
    Total
    • Day 1 -- 31 of 48 (65%)
      Day 2 -- 25 of 38 (66%)
      Both days -- 56 of 86 (65%)

Break-and-run games -- on all breaks:
  • Shaw
    • Day 1 -- 9 of 24 (38%)
      Day 2 -- 10 of 26 (38%)
      Both days -- 19 of 50 (38%)
    Woodward
    • Day 1 -- 6 of 24 (25%)
      Day 2 -- 2 of 12 (17%)
      Both days -- 8 of 36 (22%)
    Total
    • Day 1 -- 15 of 48 (31%)
      Day 2 -- 12 of 38 (32%)
      Both days -- 27 of 86 (31%)

Break-and-run games -- on successful breaks (made at least one ball and did not foul):
  • Shaw
    • Day 1 -- 9 of 17 (53%)
      Day 2 -- 10 of 20 (50%)
      Both days -- 19 of 37 (51%)
    Woodward
    • Day 1 -- 6 of 16 (38%)
      Day 2 -- 2 of 6 (33%)
      Both days -- 8 of 22 (36%)
    Total
    • Day 1 -- 15 of 33 (45%)
      Day 2 -- 12 of 26 (46%)
      Both days -- 27 of 59 (46%)

Fouls and foul rates: [Note: "games at the table" means total games less opponent's B&R games.]
  • Shaw
    • Day 1 -- 4 in 42 games at the table (a rate of 1 foul for every 10.5 games at the table)
      Day 2 -- 1 in 36 games at the table
      Both days -- 5 in 78 games at the table (a rate of 1 for every 15.6 games at the table)
    Woodward
    • Day 1 -- 6 in 39 games at the table (a rate of 1 for every 6.5 games at the table)
      Day 2 -- 3 in 28 games at the table (a rate of 1 for every 9.3 games at the table)
      Both days -- 9 in 67 games at the table (a rate of 1 for every 7.4 games at the table)
    Total
    • Day 1 -- 10 (1 per 4.8 games)
      Day 2 -- 4 (1 per 9.5 games)
      Both days -- 14 (1 per 6.1 games)

Missed shots (est.) and missed-shot rates:
  • Shaw
    • Day 1 -- 18 in 42 games at the table (a rate of 1 miss for every 2.3 games at the table)
      Day 2 -- 9 in 36 games at the table (a rate of 1 for every 4.0 games at the table)
      Both days -- 27 in 78 games at the table (a rate of 1 for every 2.9 games at the table)
    Woodward
    • Day 1 -- 12 in 39 games at the table (a rate of 1 for every 3.3 games at the table)
      Day 2 -- 10 in 28 games at the table (a rate of 1 for every 2.8 games at the table)
      Both days -- 22 in 67 games at the table (a rate of 1 for every 3.0 games at the table)
    Total
    • Day 1 -- 30 (1 per 1.6 games)
      Day 2 -- 19 (1 per 2.0 games)
      Both days -- 49 (1 per 1.8 games)

Run-outs from first shot after break:

  • By Shaw after his own successful break (B&R's)
    • Day 1 -- 9 of 17 (53%)
      Day 2 -- 10 of 20 (50%)
      Both days -- 19 of 37 (51%)
    By Shaw after Woodward's failed break
    • Day 1 -- 2 of 8 (25%)
      Day 2 -- 4 of 6 (67%)
      Both days -- 6 of 14 (43%)
    By Shaw, total
    • Day 1 -- 11 of 25 (44%)
      Day 2 -- 14 of 26 (54%)
      Both days -- 25 of 51 (49%)



  • By Woodward after his own successful break (B&R's)
    • Day 1 -- 6 of 16 (38%)
      Day 2 -- 2 of 6 (33%)
      Both days -- 8 of 22 (36%)
    By Woodward after Shaw's failed break
    • Day 1 -- 0 of 7 (0%)
      Day 2 -- 2 of 6 (33%)
      Both days -- 2 of 13 (15%)
    By Woodward, total
    • Day 1 -- 6 of 23 (26%)
      Day 2 -- 4 of 12 (33%)
      Both days -- 10 of 35 (29%)



  • Total for Shaw and Woodward
    • Day 1 -- 17 of 48 (35%)
      Day 2 -- 18 of 38 (47%)
      Both days -- 35 of 86 (41%)

Break-and-run packages

  • Shaw
    • Day 1 -- 2 three-packs, 1 two-pack, and 1 single
      Day 2 -- 1 three-pack, 2 two-packs, and 3 singles
      Both days -- 3 three-packs, 3 two-packs, and 4 singles (19 B&R games in total)
    Woodward
    • Day 1 -- 6 singles
      Day 2 -- 2 singles
      Both days -- 8 singles
 
Thank you AtLarge. Looks like Shaw played quite a bit better on day two mainly in missed shots and fouls. Sky looked like he brought about the same game both days. Just not much he could do.
 
Wonder what changed that allowed Shaw to miss only half(ish) as many balls on day 2.
Or maybe a better way of saying it is, what made him miss twice as often on day 1.
 
I agree. That's why I asked. it would seem Shaw played quite a bit better on day two. To win 27-11 vs Sky he had to bring his top game. Sky missed less balls overall for the match and still got ran over on day 2.

Let me make it clear:

I am NOT a Shaw fan but, I'm a HUGE Sky fan....huge!

Now, it hurts to say this but, Shaw, as a "pool player" is a level ahead of Sky.

IMO, Shaw will own Sky in any longer "grinding" type game/situation. He can bring it when it counts regardless of game and whom he is playing. Not to mention, his lower gears are as high as most pros high gear.

Sky on the other hand, IMO, doesn't have the mid-range gears to fall back on when he's having a bad day against a killer like Shaw....just dont have it.....yet.

Why?????..... I dont know. It may be difference in abilities, practice time, financial situation, home life......etc...etc.

IMO, the biggest culprit is time under the gun.
 
Wonder what changed that allowed Shaw to miss only half(ish) as many balls on day 2.
Or maybe a better way of saying it is, what made him miss twice as often on day 1.

Maybe Shaw was just freewheeling and taking low percentage shots on day 1. Sky had the lead at the end of the day so Shaw turned up the heat on day 2.

Would be nice to view this match. I am kicking myself for not driving up there to see day 2 in person.
 
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