Infectious disease expert Michael Osterholm, has been warning for 15 years about the possibility of a global pandemic.
Yesterday he said in an interview that presently we're "only in the second inning of a nine-inning contest" with the possibility of
as many as 800,000 deaths or more in the US over the next 18 months.
"As we learn more about the transmission of this virus, it's very clear that it is at least, if not more, infectious than even what the world experienced in the historic pandemic influenza of 1918. And I'm convinced that this pandemic is following what we experienced in 1918."
Worth reading his informed reasons for these conclusions and predictions based on well-described governmental shortcomings:
https://www.cnn.com/2020/04/21/opinions/bergen-osterholm-interview-two-opinion/index.html
Arnaldo