Stats -- 2021 Michael Montgomery Memorial 9-Ball Tournament, January 2021

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Here are some aggregate break statistics from the 2021 Michael Montgomery Memorial 9-Ball Tournament played January 30-31at Snookered Billiards & Bar in Frisco, Texas. Pay-per-view live streaming was provided by Rackemtv. Two tables were streamed, with the viewer being able to switch back and forth at any time to whichever table he preferred.

This was a 128-player double-elimination event on 7-foot tables. Races were to 7 on the winners' side and 6 on the losers' side. Shane Van Boening won the tournament, defeating Skyler Woodward in both sets of the true double-elimination final match.

Conditions -- The conditions for the streamed matches in this event included:
- Diamond 7-foot table with pro-cut corner pockets;​
- Blue Simonis 860 cloth;​
- Predator Arcos II balls with a cue ball spotted with black triangles;​
- alternate breaks from anywhere behind the head string;​
- rack your own, with the 1-ball on the foot spot, the 2-ball not necessarily in back, and no checking the rack;​
- racker's choice to use a racking template (Accu-Rack provided) or a triangle rack;​
- pattern racking allowed (and widely used);​
- cue-ball fouls only;​
- 3-foul rule not in effect;​
- jump cues allowed; and​
- lag or flip for the opening break (lag if no agreement).​

The stats are for the 19 streamed matches (20 sets, 195 games) that I watched. These 20 sets represented about 8% of the event's total of the 247 sets played (8 forfeits), and are listed here in the order in which they were played.

Saturday, January 30, 2020
1. Shane Van Boening defeated Duanne Zimmerman 7-2​
2. Shane Winters d. Zaid Thweib 7-5​
3. Skyler Woodward d. Dean Williams 7-2​
4. Evan Lunda d. Clint Palaci 7-2​
5. Fedor Gorst d. Ruben Flores 7-4​
6. John Morra d. Tony Top 7-1​
7. Joey Bourgeois d. Coy Nicholson 6-5​
8. Joey Torres d. Kristina Tkach 6-5​
9. Tony Chohan d. Fahad Alrawi 6-0​

Sunday, January 31
10. Dennis Orcollo d. Roberto Gomez 6-2​
11. Van Boening d. James Ray Davis, Jr. 7-4​
12. Woodard d. Lunda 7-5​
13. Winters d. James Aranas 7-3​
14. Gorst d. Van Boening 7-5​
15. Woodward d. Winters 7-3​
16. Van Boening d. Aranas 6-4​
17. Woodward d. Gorst 7-4​
18. Van Boening d. Gorst 6-3​
19. Van Boening d. Woodward 7-1​
20. Van Boening d. Woodward 6-2​

Overall results
Successful breaks (made at least one ball and did not foul) -- 99% (98 of 99) for match winners, 94% (90 of 96) for match losers, and 96% (188 of 195) in total​
Breaker won the game -- 83% (82 of 99) for match winners, 47% (45 of 96) for match losers, and 65% (127 of 195) in total​
Break-and-run games on all breaks -- 64% (63 of 99) for match winners, 32% (31 of 96) for match losers, and 48% (94 of 195) in total​
Break-and-run games on successful breaks -- 64% (63 of 98) for match winners, 34% (31 of 90) for match losers, and 50% (94 of 188) in total​

Here's a breakdown of the 195 games (for match winners and losers combined).

Breaker made at least one ball and did not foul:
Breaker won the game: 126 (65% of the 195 games)​
Breaker lost the game: 62 (32%)​

Breaker fouled on the break:
Breaker won the game: 0 (0%)​
Breaker lost the game: 4 (2%)​

Breaker broke dry (without fouling):
Breaker won the game: 1 (1%)​
Breaker lost the game: 2 (1%)​

Therefore, whereas the breaker won 65% (127 of 195) of all games,
He won 67% (126 of 188) of the games in which he made at least one ball on the break and did not foul.​
He won 0% (0 of 4) of the games in which he fouled on the break.​
He won 33% (1 of 3) of the games in which he broke dry but did not foul.​
He won 17% (1 of 6) of the games in which he either fouled on the break or broke dry without fouling.​

Break-and-run games -- The 94 break-and-run games represented 48% of all 286 games, 74% of the 127 games won by the breaker, and 50% of the 188 games in which the break was successful (made a ball and didn't foul).

With alternating breaks, B&R "packages" of the normal type are not possible. But we can still look at the breaks of a given player and see how many he ran on his own successive breaks, and we can call these "alternate-break packages." The 94 break-and-run games consisted of 1 alternate-break 6-pack (by Van Boening), 2 alternate-break 5-packs (by Gorst and Winters), 2 alternate-break 4-packs (Orcollo and Van Boening), 3 alternate-break 3-packs, 12 alternate-break 2-packs, and 37 singles.

9-balls on the break -- No 9-balls were made on the break in these matches.
 
Miscellany from the data for the 2021 Michael Montgomery Memorial 9-Ball Tournament
[This relates only to the 19 streamed matches (20 sets), not to all matches in the event.]​

• The most balls made on a single break was 4, done just once -- by Thweib, who lost that game. Most players were breaking at a soft to medium speed, trying to make the wing ball and position the 1-ball for a shot at the head of the table.

• The average number of balls made on the break was 1.3 (this includes dry and fouled breaks). On successful breaks (made at least one ball and did not foul), the average was 1.4, and the distribution was 71% 1 ball, 23% 2 balls, 6% 3 balls, and 4 balls once.

• 72% (140 of 195) of the games ended in one inning – 48% (94) won by the breaker (B&R) and 24% (46) won by the non-breaker. Just 5 of the games lasted more than 3 innings.

• 51% (99 of 195) of the games were run out by the player who was at the table following the break. These run-outs were:
- By the breaker after successful breaks (B&R games) – 50% (94 of 188)​
- By the non-breaker after fouls on the break – 100% (4 of 4)​
- By the non-breaker after dry breaks – 33% (1 of 3)​

• The player who made the first ball after the break:
- Won the game in that same inning 67% of the time (131 of 195)​
- Won the game in a later inning 12% of the time (24 of 195)​
- Lost the game 21% of the time (40 of 195)​

• The loser won an average of 3.2 games in the 13 races to 7 and 3.0 games in the 7 races to 6. Two sets went to hill/hill; the most lopsided were a 6-0 and two 7-1's.

• The average elapsed time for the 13 races to 7 was 43 minutes, or 4.2 minutes per game. The average elapsed time for the 7 races to 6 was 36 minutes, or 4.0 minutes per game. For all 20 sets, the average minutes per game was 4.2. The elapsed time for each match was measured from the lag or flip until the winning ball was made (or conceded), so it includes time for racking and timeouts.

• The match that was longest in elapsed time, at 58 minutes, was Woodward d. Gorst 7-4. The match highest in average minutes per game, at 5.5, was Morra d. Top.

• The match that was both shortest in elapsed time, at 15 minutes, and lowest in average minutes per game, at 2.5, was Chohan d. Alrawi 6-0.

• Breaking fouls averaged 1 for every 49 games, other fouls 1 for every 5 games, and missed shots about 1 for every 2.6 games.

• About 25% of the games involved one or more safeties.
 
Van Boening was in 7 of the 21 sets tracked here. A little comparison:

Successful breaks (made at least one ball and did not foul):
SVB -- 34 of 34 (100%)​
All others -- 154 of 161 (96%)​
Total -- 188 of 195 (96%)​

Breaker won game:
SVB -- 31 of 34 (91%)​
All others -- 96 of 161 (60%)​
Total -- 127 of 195 (65%)​

Break-and-run games -- on all breaks:
SVB -- 27 of 34 (79%)​
All others -- 67 of 161 (42%)​
Total -- 94 of 195 (48%)​

Break-and-run games -- on successful breaks (made at least one ball and did not foul):
SVB -- 27 of 34 (79%)​
All others -- 67 of 154 (44%)​
Total -- 94 of 188 (50%)​
 
Thanks, Dave. An event like this is interesting or absurd, depending on how you view it. With a template, rack your own, 1-ball on the spot, and pattern racking on a 7-footer, the results with top pros are pretty extreme. All 4 of the fouled breaks in those 20 sets were "wet," so one or more balls were made on the break in 192 of the 195 games (98.5%). Racking and breaking become a skill of a different sort. In the 11 sets (109 games) I tracked on Sunday, we had this:

98% successful breaks
72% breaker won game
61% break-and-run games
83% one-inning games
 
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Thanks, Dave. An event like this is interesting or absurd, depending on how you view it. With a template, rack your own, 1-ball on the spot, and pattern racking on a 7-footer, the results with top pros are pretty extreme. All 4 of the fouled breaks in those 20 sets were "wet," so one or more balls were made on the break in 192 of the 195 games (98.5%). Racking and breaking become a skill of a different sort. In the 11 sets (109 games) I tracked on Sunday, we had this:

98% successful breaks
72% breaker won game
61% break-and-run games
83% one-inning games

Agreed. These stats are a bit unusual, which is what makes them interesting.
 
Anyone else watch that Chohan match late Saturday night (starting after 1:30 am local time Sunday)? They may have had to call him away from a One-Pocket match to play the 9-Ball. But he wasn't gone long. In 15 minutes he won 6-0 with zero errors.
 
Anyone else watch that Chohan match late Saturday night (starting after 1:30 am local time Sunday)? They may have had to call him away from a One-Pocket match to play the 9-Ball. But he wasn't gone long. In 15 minutes he won 6-0 with zero errors.
Yeah I saw that. Pretty fun to watch Tony when he gets rolling like that. Did you watch the action match with him and Billy? Tony played real good. Billy looked lost.
 
Anyone else watch that Chohan match late Saturday night (starting after 1:30 am local time Sunday)? They may have had to call him away from a One-Pocket match to play the 9-Ball. But he wasn't gone long. In 15 minutes he won 6-0 with zero errors.
Yeah I saw that. Pretty fun to watch Tony when he gets rolling like that. Did you watch the action match with him and Billy? Tony played real good. Billy looked lost.
Wish I did, the west coast time kept me from catching most of that! Wish the rackem.tv guys did a loop. They don't do they?
 
Yeah I saw that. Pretty fun to watch Tony when he gets rolling like that. Did you watch the action match with him and Billy? Tony played real good. Billy looked lost.
I didn't watch the Chohan/Thorpe gambling match because of doing stats for the 9-Ball tournament.
 
Wish I did, the west coast time kept me from catching most of that! Wish the rackem.tv guys did a loop. They don't do they?
Rackemtv said they would be re-showing all the events this week, free for those who purchased the stream. I don't know where they stand right now in that process.
 
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