Ignore Bait: Highest IQ, Many Questions, Odds makers invited...
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That would be considered not insightful.
You didn’t even say a word about any of that shit until everyone told you how wrong you were.
Also, you’ve been answered several times.
If it’s a “con” then it’s cheating. Like the cardboard guys. That’s a scam.
If it’s a legit bet, with the scenario you initially posted, then there would be odds.
IE: if you bet $20 and picked the right card, you wouldn’t be paid $20. You’d be paid $5. So even when you win 66%, the “house” still wins overall.
There’s no other way this works.
You can try twisting that all you like. I still would like to know what happens when the dealer is out to beat the player.
Lol. I literally just told you.
The dealer can’t beat the player in the scenario you posted unless he cheats or has odds on the money.
There’s no other ways to go about it. It’s 33% if you don’t switch, 66% if you do.
If the dealer is winning consistently, he’s cheating. Or the player is keeping his card the whole time and losing 66%.
You can’t just take a scenario that has actual odds and say “I’m gonna decide I want to win.”
You either have to get the odds back in your favor with money. Or you have to cheat.
You either have to get the odds back in your favor with money. Or you have to cheat.
No it's a simple game of influence; one of wits. Player picks, dealer who of course knows the correct choice, has to trick the player. If only the dealer is a telepath then of course it will be robbery. If both have enhanced perception then it can be a game. Since it's a thought experiment, say the player is unable to discern the winning pick and can only attempt to deduce the dealers intent.
Fwiw … if you flipped a coin an infinite number of times, it Is essentially guaranteed that it would land on one side 1000x in a row an infinite number of times.
i.e. Infinity is really big .. 10^301 is still quite small when compared to infinity.
Most possibly! On the other hand, what if you agreed to twenty-five flips to begin with and the first twenty favored the person you were gambling with. Would any loser believe for a moment that they had been beaten by random chance 20 times in a row plus whatever way the last five flips went?
Hu
None of the use of the term 'infinity' in this latest tangent to the discussion is mathematically coherent.
If Monte Hall decided to not offer the switch to everyone, but instead to only a percentage of the contestants, then under certain conditions, he could ensure that only 33% of the contestants win a car. He cannot do any better than that -meaning at least 1/3 of the contestants will win a car.
e.g. If he were to offer p% of the correct guessers the option to switch and (p/2)% of the incorrect guessers the option to switch, then the Nash equilibrium would be reached with 1/3 of the contestants winning the car as long as 0 <= p <= 2/3.
If 2/3 < p <= 1, more than 1/3 of the contestants would win a car...with 2/3 winning a car when p=1.
sorry ... but your arrogance is only exceeded by your ignorance.
Actually, that is a lack of thought experiment. The dealer may WANT to trick the player, but he limited to 2 possible courses of action. He can reveal a door with the goat, in which case you double your chance by switching, or he can reveal a door with the car, in which case the player loses whether or not he switches. There is no scope for the dealer to be deceptive.
It is mathematically incoherent to talk about an infinity of trials. Prove me wrong.
It’s generally done within the concept of limits… More than happy to recommend a first year analysis text to assist….
That’s not true at all.
10^301 is such a crazy small chance, it could easily never happen.
It *should* happen. But it doesn’t have to.
If we want to get into this type of talk, I could easily say that it could happen 3x in a row, or even it would happen in 10,000 tosses it would land on heads because we flipped for infinity.
Just because the odds aren’t a true zero, doesn’t mean it has to happen.
More gibberish.
You’re making shit up that doesn’t even make sense now.
Keep dancing and entertaining.
For entertainment purpose, tell us all how in your fantasy, any dealer could perform the scenario you started with (showing the player one) and somehow be a game of wits?
If dealer shows a card, the player should always swap. No matter what dealer says or does.
It’s a winning strategy no matter what. Unless dealer has odds on money or is cheating.
You have chosen an extremely easy scenario with only 9 possible outcomes. Which all but prevents the dealer from doing anything especially fancy.