Break Stats -- 2024 World Pool Masters 9-Ball, April 2024

AtLarge

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Here are some aggregate break statistics from the 2024 World Pool Masters event played April 25-28, 2024 at Halle 39 in Hildesheim, Germany. This was a 16-player, single-elimination 9-Ball event produced by Matchroom Sport with pay-per-view live streaming in the USA on DAZN. Fourteen of the 16 players were determined by Matchroom's Nineball World Rankings; the other two players were wild-card picks by Matchroom. Eight of the players were ceded based on the rankings. Fedor Gorst won the tournament, defeating Joshua Filler in a hill/hill final match.

The commentators were Michael McMullan, Jeremy Jones, and Karl Boyes. The referees, alternating matches, were Ben Taylor-Fuente and Julian Roper. The announcer/interviewer was Di Stewart, and the MCs were Ingo Rohrbach (Thursday, Friday, and Sunday) and Nico Pommerenke (Saturday).

Conditions -- The conditions for this event included:
• Rasson OX 9-foot table with 4" corner pockets;​
• Simonis 860 Shark Grey cloth;​
• Aramith Tournament Black balls with a black-spots cue ball;​
• Magic Ball Rack racking template;​
• referee racks with the 9-ball on the foot spot (2-ball not necessarily in back location);​
• winner breaks from behind the head string in a box approximately 8" to either side of the long string;​
• no illegal-break rule, but referees enforce a forceful-break requirement;​
• 30-second shot clock (60 sec. after the break), with one 30-sec. extension per player per rack;​
• foul on all balls;​
• jump cues allowed;​
• all slop counts; and​
• lag for the break in each match.​

These stats are for all 15 matches (224 games) that were played in this event. The races were to 9 in the first round, 10 in the second round (Quarterfinals), 11 in the Semifinals, and 13 in the Final. The 15 matches are listed here in the order in which they were played.

Thursday, April 25
1. Joshua Filler defeated Eklent Kaçi 9-6​
2. Albin Ouschan d. Max Lechner 9-6​
3. Jayson Shaw d. Aloysius Yapp 9-1​

Friday, April 26
4. Ko Pin Yi d. David Alcaide 9-4​
5. Ko Ping Chung d. Wiktor Zielinski 9-2​
6. Francisco Sanchez-Ruiz d. James Aranas 9-6​
7. Fedor Gorst d. Mario He 9-3​
8. Shane Van Boening d. Duong Quoc Hoang 9-8​

Saturday, April 27 -- All Quarterfinals
9. Filler d. Ko PC 10-4​
10. Ko PY d. Sanchez-Ruiz 10-1​
11. Gorst d. Ouschan 10-1​
12. Shaw d. Van Boening 10-8​

Sunday, April 28
13. Filler d. Ko PY 11-8 (Semifinal)​
14. Gorst d. Shaw 11-7 (Semifinal)​
15. Gorst d. Filler 13-12 (Final)​

Overall results

Successful breaks (made at least one ball and did not foul):
Match winners -- 88% (122 of 139)​
Match losers -- 72% (61 of 85)​
Total -- 82% (183 of 224)

Breaker won the game:
Match winners -- 74% (103 of 139)​
Match losers -- 48% (41 of 85)​
Total -- 64% (144 of 224)

Break-and-run games on all breaks:
Match winners -- 37% (51 of 139)​
Match losers -- 25% (21 of 85)​
Total -- 32% (72 of 224)

Break-and-run games on successful breaks (made at least one ball and did not foul):
Match winners -- 42% (51 of 122)​
Match losers -- 34% (21 of 61)​
Total -- 39% (72 of 183)

Here's a breakdown of the 224 games (for match winners and losers combined).

Breaker made at least one ball and did not foul:​
Breaker won the game: 133 (59% of the 224 games)​
Breaker lost the game: 50 (22%)​
Breaker fouled on the break:​
Breaker won the game: 2 (1%)​
Breaker lost the game: 11 (5%)​
Breaker broke dry (without fouling):​
Breaker won the game: 9 (4%)​
Breaker lost the game: 19 (8%)​
Therefore, whereas the breaker won 64% (144 of 224) of all games,​
He won 73% (133 of 183) of the games in which the break was successful (made at least one ball and did not foul).​
He won 27% (11 of 41) of the games in which the break was unsuccessful (fouled or dry).​

Break-and-run games -- The 72 break-and-run games represented 32% of all 224 games, 50% of the 144 games won by the breaker, and 39% of the 183 games in which the break was successful (made a ball and didn't foul).

The 72 break-and-run games consisted of five 3-packs (one each by Ouschan, Shaw, Gorst, Ko PY, and Filler), eight 2-packs, and 41 singles.

9-Balls on the break -- The 72 break-and-run games included 5 9-balls on the break (2.2% of all breaks).
 
Miscellany from the data for the 2024 World Pool Masters (9-Ball) event:

• The most balls made on a single break was 3, done just twice -- once by He (in a game won by B&R) and once by Shaw (a win, but not by B&R).

• The average number of balls made on the break was 1.1 (this includes dry and fouled breaks). On successful breaks (made at least one ball and did not foul), the average was 1.3 and the distribution was 74% 1 ball, 25% 2 balls, 1% 3 balls.

• Number of innings:
50% (113 of 224) of the games ended in one inning – 72 games on the breaker's first inning (B&Rs) and 41 games on the non-breaker's first inning.​
23% (52 of 224) of the games ended in the second inning.​
26% (59 of 224) of the games went beyond the non-breaker's second visit to the table. The game with the most visits to the table ended on the breaker's 9th visit -- the second-to-last game of the event.​

• 40% (89 of 224) of the games were run out by the player who was at the table following the break. These run-outs were:
- By the breaker after successful breaks (B&R games) – 39% (72 of 183)​
- By the non-breaker after fouls on the break – 62% (8 of 13)​
- By the non-breaker after dry breaks – 32% (9 of 28)​

• The player who made the first ball after the break:
- Won the game in that same inning 62% of the time (136 of 219)​
- Won the game in a later inning 17% of the time (37 of 219)​
- Lost the game 21% of the time (46 of 219)​
[Note -- total games used here are 219 rather than 224 to eliminate the 5 games in which no ball was made after the break.]​

• Two of the matches went to hill/hill, including the Final. The most lopsided matches were three in which the loser won just one game.

• The average elapsed times per match were 89 minutes for the 8 races to 9 and 88 minutes for the 4 races to 10. The elapsed time was measured from the lag until the winning ball was made (or conceded), so it includes time for racking and commercial breaks. Commercial breaks were significant in these matches, generally occurring after every 3 games in a match, and lasting about 3 minutes each.

• The match that was highest in average minutes per game, at 7.5, was Ko PY d. Alcaide 9-4. The match lowest in average minutes per game, at 4.7, was Shaw d. Yapp 9-1. The average minutes per game for all 224 games was 6.5.

• Breaking fouls averaged 1 for every 17.2 games, other fouls 1 for every 7.7 games, and missed shots about 1 for every 1.8 games.

• One or more safeties were played in about 44% of all games and in 64% of games that were not B&Rs.
 
2023 vs. 2024

How do the stats compare for this year's World Pool Masters 9-Ball event versus last year's? For both years, my stats are for all 15 of the matches in the event (249 games last year, 224 games this year). I'm not aware of any differences in rules or equipment for the two years, except for two things:
- racking was done with a triangle last year and a template this year; and​
- the 4 quarterfinal matches were races to 11 last year and to 10 this year.​

Field Strength. Eight of this year's players also played last year. As of a couple weeks ago, the other four this year (Ko PC, Duong Quoc Hoang, Yapp, and Gorst) had an average FargoRate of 829 (with 3 of them at or above 830), while the other four last year (Feijen, Soufi, Zheng Xiao Huai, and Kazakis) averaged 805 (with the highest at 816). [Note: I chose not to try to find FargoRates from last year.]

These stats are for 2023 first, then 2024.

Successful breaks -- 71%, 82%​
Breaker won game -- 62%, 64%​
B&R games on all breaks -- 31%, 32%​
B&R games on successful breaks -- 44%, 39%​
Games ending in 1 inning -- 48%, 50%​
Games going beyond the 2nd inning -- 32%, 26%​
Runouts by the player at the table following the break -- 42%, 40%​
Games won by first player to make a ball after the break -- 74%, 79%​
Games per missed shot (approx.) -- 1.8, 1.8​
Games per foul -- 4.2, 5.3​
Winner of lag won match -- 7 of 15, 7 of 15​
Minutes per game (including commercial breaks) -- 6.6, 6.5​
9-balls on the break -- 15, 5​
 
2023 vs. 2024


These stats are for 2023 first, then 2024.
9-balls on the break -- 15, 5​
I find this interesting. First everyone tried golden breaks when they saw it can be done quite often. I did not see matches but i believe they make more 1-ball from break in such way that cueball goes under 9-ball rather than hitting it.

Thanks for all your work AtLarge. You are kinda like Dr. Dave. Bringing in just cold facts haha
 
Thanks for doing these stats after every big tournament! I like them, and appreciate your work!

39 % break & run on successful breaks, with this format where you have no control on cueball and next ball after break, is extremely high on 4 inch pockets
 
I find this interesting. First everyone tried golden breaks when they saw it can be done quite often. I did not see matches but i believe they make more 1-ball from break in such way that cueball goes under 9-ball rather than hitting it.

Thanks for all your work AtLarge. You are kinda like Dr. Dave. Bringing in just cold facts haha

the higher level in almost everything can probably also be attributed to the relatively better field

+1 on AtLarge. MR should hire him and get correct match stats for a change..
 
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