Nick Varner is a Fargorate 777

David in FL said:
Interesting.

I know a ton of people well over 60 who play over 500 fargo reported games a year. Why would you think their ratings are over inflated?

Just for shits and giggles, I looked at my own. I'm 68 and played 632 Fargo reported games in the past year. At 4660 games in the system, is my rating inflated?
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Well the root assumption is kids are improving, adults are stagnant, and senior citizens are declining. In everything in life, not just pool. Since FargoRate is a record of past performance, (even though newer [past] performance is weighted more heavily than older [past] performance), if the first sentence is believed, then their expected performance in a future match would be different than whatever the fargo number is.

How about this. You are in a capped 571 event. Everyone under the cap plays even. There is a 70 year old, still very active in pool, and his fargo is a 565. There is a 16 year old, also very active in pool, and his fargo is a 565. Which player are you buying in the calcutta?
 
iusedtoberich said:
Well the root assumption is kids are improving, adults are stagnant, and senior citizens are declining. In everything in life, not just pool. Since FargoRate is a record of past performance, (even though newer [past] performance is weighted more heavily than older [past] performance), if the first sentence is believed, then their expected performance in a future match would be different than whatever the fargo number is.
Click to expand...

I don't necessarily agree with your "root assumption". There are just too many variables there. Regardless though, even if true, it wouldn't mean that anyone's current rating is any less accurate than anyone else's...

iusedtoberich said:
How about this. You are in a capped 571 event. Everyone under the cap plays even. There is a 70 year old, still very active in pool, and his fargo is a 565. There is a 16 year old, also very active in pool, and his fargo is a 565. Which player are you buying in the calcutta?
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Probably the kid because a tournament requires stamina that the 70 year old may be lacking.

But on a single race to 7 between the two? I'll take the more experienced of the two every time...
 
iusedtoberich said:
Well the root assumption is kids are improving, adults are stagnant, and senior citizens are declining. In everything in life, not just pool. Since FargoRate is a record of past performance, (even though newer [past] performance is weighted more heavily than older [past] performance), if the first sentence is believed, then their expected performance in a future match would be different than whatever the fargo number is.

How about this. You are in a capped 571 event. Everyone under the cap plays even. There is a 70 year old, still very active in pool, and his fargo is a 565. There is a 16 year old, also very active in pool, and his fargo is a 565. Which player are you buying in the calcutta?
Click to expand...

I don’t think you can assume that all older players are declining or that all junior players are improving. That said, my guess is that the most consistently underrated group in Fargo are junior players that are dedicated to improving, because their rate of improvement outpaces their Fargo. For the rest of us, we get better slowly (if at all) and rarely have the quick jumps you see with younger players.
 
GideonF said:
I don’t think you can assume that all older players are declining or that all junior players are improving. That said, my guess is that the most consistently underrated group in Fargo are junior players that are dedicated to improving, because their rate of improvement outpaces their Fargo. For the rest of us, we get better slowly (if at all) and rarely have the quick jumps you see with younger players.
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It's also worth noting that young players tend to have far fewer games in the system and therefore their ratings are more volatile. That seems to me to mean that for any given rating, the newer/younger players are much more likely to be either under or over inflated at any given point in time...
 
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