Break Stats -- Turning Stone Classic XLII 9-Ball Open, September 2026

[AtLarge]

Here are some aggregate break statistics from the Turning Stone Classic XLII 9-Ball Open played September 3-6, 2026 at the Turning Stone Resort Casino in Verona, New York. Free live streaming was provided by UpState AL on the Accu-Stats YouTube page.

This was a 128-player double-elimination event. Moritz Neuhausen won the tournament, defeating Shaun Wilkie in the final match.

Conditions -- The conditions for the matches streamed on the feature table in this event included:

• Diamond 9-foot table with 4½" corner pockets;​

• Tournament Blue Simonis 860 cloth;​

• Aramith Tournament balls with a measles cue ball;​

• Diamond black polycarbonate triangle rack;​

• winner breaks from a central box (2 diamonds wide);​

• loser racks, with the 1-ball on the foot spot;​

• cue-ball fouls only except during the act of shooting;​

• 3-foul rule in effect (violations occurred twice;​

• no jump cues allowed;​

• no shot clock;​

• all slop counts; and​

• lag for opening break.​

The stats are for 17 matches (248 games) out of the 23 matches shown on the main streaming table. I did not watch the 4 Thursday matches and the 2 losers'-side amateur matches that were streamed at 10 am on Friday and Saturday. These 17 tracked matches were 6.7% of the event's total of 254 matches played, and are listed here in the order in which they were played.

Friday, Sept. 4

1. John Morra defeated Waleed Hashem 9-5​

2. Jordan Turner d. Geoff Bradshaw 9-6​

3. Chad Bazinet d. Evan Moreau 9-8​

4. Bucky Souvanthong d. Jonathan Smith 9-4​

5. Joe Dupuis d. Steve Sutton 9-2​

6. Jayson Shaw d. Dave Fernandez 9-4​

Saturday, Sept. 5

7. Zion Zvi d. Grayson Vaughan 9-7​

8. Morra d. Angelo Inness 9-5​

9. Dylan Spohr d. Souvanthong 9-4​

10. Lukas Fracasso-Verner d. Dave Pinkston 9-3​

11. Morra d. Danny Hewitt 9-5​

12. Spohr d. Tom Cayer 9-8​

Sunday, Sept. 6

13. Moritz Neuhausen d. Morra 9-3​

14. Boris Ivanovski d. Fracasso-Verner 9-7 (loser 5th/6th)​

15. Neuhausen d. Kevin Clark 9-3 (Hotseat match)​

16. Shaun Wilkie d. Clark 9-8 (Semifinal)​

17. Neuhausen d. Wilkie 13-9 (Final)​

Overall results

Successful breaks (made at least one ball and did not foul):​

Match winners -- 57% (85 of 149)​

Match losers -- 40% (40 of 99)​

Total -- 50% (125 of 248)​

​

Breaker won the game:​

Match winners -- 57% (85 of 149)​

Match losers -- 27% (27 of 99)​

Total -- 45% (112 of 248)​

​

Break-and-run games on all breaks:​

Match winners -- 17% (26 of 149)​

Match losers -- 5% (5 of 99)​

Total -- 13% (31 of 248)​

​

Break-and-run games on successful breaks (made at least one ball and did not foul):​

Match winners -- 31% (26 of 85)​

Match losers -- 13% (5 of 40)​

Total -- 25% (31 of 125)​

Here's a breakdown of the 248 games (for match winners and losers combined).

Breaker made at least one ball and did not foul:​

Breaker won the game: 63 (25% of the 248 games)​

Breaker lost the game: 62 (25%)​

​

Breaker fouled on the break:​

Breaker won the game: 4 (2%)​

Breaker lost the game: 12 (5%)​

​

Breaker broke dry (without fouling):​

Breaker won the game: 45 (18%)​

Breaker lost the game: 62 (25%)​

​

Therefore, whereas the breaker won 45% (112 of 248) of all games,​

He won 50% (63 of 125) of the games in which the break was successful (made at least one ball and did not foul).​

He won 40% (49 of 123) of the games in which the break was unsuccessful (fouled or dry).​

Break-and-run games -- The 31 break-and-run games represented 13% of all 248 games, 28% of the 112 games won by the breaker, and 25% of the 125 games in which the break was successful (made a ball and didn't foul).

The 31 break-and-run games (including 9-balls on the break) consisted of one 5-pack (by Neuhausen), three 2-packs (one by Spohr and two by Neuhausen), and 20 singles.

9-balls on the break -- The 31 break-and-run games included four 9-balls on the break (1.6% of all 248 breaks).

 

[AtLarge]

Miscellany from the data for the Turning Stone Classic XLII 9-Ball Open
[This relates only to the 17 tracked matches, not to all matches in the event.]

▪︎ The most balls made on a single break was 3, done 5 times -- 4 game wins (3 by B&R including one 9-ball on the break) and 1 game loss.

▪︎ The average number of balls made on the break was 0.7 (this includes dry and fouled breaks). On successful breaks (made at least one ball and did not foul), the average was 1.4, and the distribution was 66% 1 ball, 30% 2 balls, and 4% 3 balls.

▪︎ Number of innings:

• 31% (77 of 248) of the games ended in one inning – 31 games on the breaker's first inning (B&Rs) and 46 games on the non-breaker's first inning.​

• 29% (72 of 248) of the games ended in the second inning.​

• 40% (99 of 248) of the games went beyond the non-breaker's second visit to the table. The game with the most visits to the table ended on the breaker's 8th visit.​

▪︎ 23% (56 of 248) of the games were run out by the player who was at the table following the break. These run-outs were:

• By the breaker after successful breaks (B&R games) – 25% (31 of 125)​

• By the non-breaker after fouls on the break – 50% (8 of 16)​

• By the non-breaker after dry breaks – 16% (17 of 107)​

▪︎ The player who made the first ball after the break:

• Won the game in that same inning 38% of the time (93 of 244)​

• Won the game in a later inning 29% of the time (71 of 244)​

• Lost the game 33% of the time (80 of 244)​

[Note -- total games used here are 244 rather than 248 to eliminate the 4 games in which no ball was made after the break.]​

▪︎ Excluding the Finals race to 13, the loser won an average of 5.1 games in the 16 races to 9. Three matches went to hill/hill; the most lopsided match was one at 9-2.

▪︎ The average elapsed time for the 16 races to 9 was 87 minutes. The average minutes per game for all 17 matches was 6.2. The elapsed time for each match was measured from the lag until the winning ball was made, so it includes time for racking and timeouts.

▪︎ The match that was longest in elapsed time, at about 139 minutes, was Wilkie d. Clark 9-8. The match highest in average minutes per game, at 9.3, was Morra d. Hashem 9-5.

▪︎ The match that was shortest in elapsed time, at about 40 minutes, and lowest in average minutes per game, at about 3.1, was Shaw d. Fernandez 6-4. [Note: I missed the time of the ending for this match, and the match does not seem to have been saved on YouTube, so my numbers for that match are approximate.]

▪︎ Breaking fouls averaged 1 for every 15.5 games, other fouls 1 for every 2.8 games, and missed shots about 1 for every 1.0 games.

▪︎ One or more safeties were played in about 52% of all games and in 59% of games that were not B&Rs.

 

[AtLarge]

I've been doing stats on Turning Stone events since 2011. Many of the stats are worse for the event just concluded than for any of those other events.

 

[Bob Jewett]

...Breaker won the game:

Match winners -- 57% (85 of 149)​

Match losers -- 27% (27 of 99)​

Total -- 45% (112 of 248)​

...​

This says that on average for these players in this tournament, the break was a disadvantage.

 

[AtLarge]

This says that on average for these players in this tournament, the break was a disadvantage.

These 17 matches involved 24 different players. Just 5 of the 24 won more games on their break than they lost. Joe Dupuis was the leader, winning 7 of 8 games on his break in his only appearance, but 5 of those 7 wins were after dry breaks! The second highest win-on-break percentage was by Neuhausen, with 20 wins on 30 breaks in his 3 appearances in the stats.