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  1. mikepage

    Question about adding results to Fargo

    Hi Mikko - The matches from Helsinki open (and a few earlier tournaments) went in error to an inactive record for you. I moved them, and you might be able to see them now in the app if you pull down to refresh. You will see the preliminary rating in another 24 hours or so. I think it will be...
  2. mikepage

    What if a 300 plays a 700?

    That may be true depending on the way chips are distributed. It is also possible there are perhaps 16 weaker players and 4 stronger players each week and the tournament more frequently being won by a weaker player makes it seem they are preferred even if they are not. This would be a neglect of...
  3. mikepage

    What if a 300 plays a 700?

    We are talking about a race to 1. If they do that 170 times, the expectation is 160 to 10. We are assuming here both want to improve on that expectation.
  4. mikepage

    What if a 300 plays a 700?

    I am not saying riding the 9 is not strategic for the weaker player; I think it is. But we tend to fall in the trap in thinking the weaker player is the only one with strategy options. The stronger player has two downside risks. One is the 9-ball flying around. The other is the end of a...
  5. mikepage

    What if a 300 plays a 700?

    I suspect running out isn't the optimum strategy for either player.
  6. mikepage

    What if a 300 plays a 700?

  7. mikepage

    WNT Ranking event-Helsinki Open (1-4August), Prize Fund 50,000 Euros

    Makes sense. And it explains why Felix Vogel (one month younger that Riku and turns 17 in Dec) also played in U19.
  8. mikepage

    European Open 2024, Aug. 6-11, Fulda, Germany

    First round matchups with highest average rating
  9. mikepage

    Match probability calculator, given Fargo ratings

    Tom If you email support@fargorate.com we will create profile for you in FargoRate
  10. mikepage

    No bias APA vs BCA

    There are influencers on a different scale in every pool community--often but not always the stronger players. When it comes to how do "we" feel about handicaps, about 7-foot tables, about leagues, about that new cloth, about that tip, about wearing a glove, about carbon fiber shafts, about...
  11. mikepage

    No bias APA vs BCA

    For whether a particular league in a particular area is a good one, handicapping approaches and formats take a back seat to (1) Is the league run efficiently with leadership that deserves and has the respect of the players? (2) Do influencer players support the league and encourage a good...
  12. mikepage

    Acs and bca league play life long struggle

    That sounds brutal. The one-game-at-a-time round robin format actually CAN be good, though. We played it with 4-player teams on two tables. Play everybody twice, so 8 rounds. Takes around 2 hours. So (with home-team rotation) at any time, you're either playing or on deck for one of the tables...
  13. mikepage

    Fargo Question. Rating going up without playing.

    It's hard to know what's going on without seeing the individual record. Here is an example of a possibility. Let's say the player somehow had a starter rating of 325 from a prior league or something like that. And let's say the 60 games had the performance you'd expect of a 500. That would...
  14. mikepage

    2024 World Pool Championship

    FSR was 3rd best European back in 2015. But for some reason people, including Europeans, were very slow to catch on https://forums.azbilliards.com/threads/turning-stone-joss-tour-and-the-mosconi-cup.404955/post-5275717...
  15. mikepage

    Break Stats -- 2024 UK Open Pool Championship (9-Ball), May 2024

    We can actually check whether a player has been "outrunning" his rating, and for these UK Open players the answer is basically no. It's not the case they're amongst the small elite and we just haven't caught up to it yet. We DO fail to track improvement well when it comes fast [your Walter L...
  16. mikepage

    Break Stats -- 2024 UK Open Pool Championship (9-Ball), May 2024

    Duc Thien Luong is at 777. So if he had one appearance, the 824 appearance average last year would be lowered to 822 [vs 815 this year].
  17. mikepage

    Matchroom 2024 UK Open Nineball (7-12 May2024), Prize Fund $200K

    Here, in green, are the 64 players who advanced to stage 2
  18. mikepage

    Fargorate tourney performance and group avg questions

    We--FargoRate-- do something else when we are estimating performance for a small number of games, like one or a few tournaments. Turns out it is pretty complicated. Need to consider likelihood opponent is playing better or worse than his rating and likelihood opponent's rating is running high or...
  19. mikepage

    Pia Filler Makes History as First (and only) Female Pro on WNT

    You may be interested in some discussion of these issues here
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