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There are two more 4-slot qualifiers. Some of those trying are Omar Al Shaheen (787), who has been mostly mia last couple years Lu Hui Chan (800) TWN Several Filipinos: Jonas Magpantay (818) Jundel Mazon (812) Jeffrey Prieto (801) Raymond Faraon (792) Assis Tadique (789) Aivhan Maluto (789)...

The smart money is on Freddie A.

I thought your analysis was sharp and well informed, but it feels like there’s a tilt in how Predator and Matchroom are framed, like one wants to grow the sport to make money, and the other wants to grow the sport and make money. One's motives are purely instrumental, sponsor events events to...

Which 2025 pro tournaments had the toughest fields? We ran a million simulated tournaments to find out — using the same win probabilities that drive FargoRate. Along the way we tuned the Harmonic Field Strength (HFS) to best balance star power at the top with depth throughout the field. Here's...

This isn't about whether FargoRate has flaws or whether you do or don't get games into the system. It's about whether women who get their rating largely playing other women have a rating that is somehow soft compared to another player who gets a rating largely from play against generally...

Shocking news: Pool players think they're better than other players they haven't played and are not about to play! Film at 11. Seriously, though, that they say this is not particularly interesting. That people buy it kind of is.

I think what’s happening here is a mix-up between ex-ante and ex-post ideas of fairness. Ex-ante (before the fact) fairness looks at the structure everyone faces at the start--what John Rawls would call the “veil of ignorance” perspective. From that view, a double-elimination event with a...

This is a misunderstanding.

Don't even need to look at it as a tradeoff If we see a double elimination to single elimination event as being a "fair" two stage event, say 256 DE--> 64SE, or 128DE -->16SE We can view a one-race finals of a 128DE event merely as 128DE -->2SE In other words the whole function of the DE...

There are 40 Filipinos in the field with an established rating 14 more with a preliminary rating, and 16 not on our radar at all Of the 16 Filipino entrants not on our radar at all, six have played 1st round matches at this point. 4 were eliminated and 2 advanced with hill-hill wins.

Can somebody tell me what is the current team score and what match is going on/coming up? Is there a place with updated summary information that I am missing?

There are 45 individual matches in the last year between ROW and Team Asia players. 23 won by team ROW and 22 won by Asia. Yes team Asia players ahead in last 3 months 79 to 70 by games and 6 to 3 by matches, but that is a small amount of data to make conclusions from

If we look at all games directly between row players and team Asia players in tournaments over last 12 months, it is row: 246, Asia 239, very close.

I know of none, but comparison with simulations shows the HFS with optimized exponent works quite well. Here's what we did. A "simulation" means playing out a tournament where each match winner is determined by flipping a bent coin in the computer. Knowing the rating difference between the...

Seems pretty close to that. Here are some results from simulations (Dream64 plus several other majors), showing the HFS (with 0.77 exponent), the player in the field with rating closest to that, and that fraction of the time that player finished top 16 in 64-player tournament in the...

Ding Ding Ding for skip100's intuition! The optimum exponent is 0.77, meaning the optimum influence of the 2nd player is 59% rather then 50% of the top player and the optimum influence of the 10th player is one sixth rather than one tenth that of the top player.

I'm inviting you to consider that's only part of the effect of the extra round that if considered in isolation leads you to conclude the extra round is more impactful than it really is. This is true. But it is also true that when Gorst lost to a 751, Raga and Roda lost to a 759, and FSR...

Yes, exactly. Turns out Chang (and Mika…) are already marked as deceased in our system. That means they are intended to be excluded from the top player lists. And they are in fact excluded with the lists the way most people access them—through the mobile APP. There are also lists accessed...

Here are a bunch more

There are 7 tournament fields rated higher than Battle of the Bull that are not on this chart. Perhaps you understood that, and still felt this just doesn't pass the smell test. Here is the top part of Battle of the Bull field shown along side of Hanoi Open. Players opposite one another are...