mnShooter said:So have any of you ever seen anyone break and run 21 out 30 in 9 ball? Rodney just did it. I would like to know exactly how he is breaking to make a ball every time and get a good spread.
Island Drive said:I think your above statement speaks for itself, you've already answered your question.
AuntyDan said:It would be very interesting to get updated B&R statistics averaged across all the IPT players across the entire 2006 season to see if this is above or below this 44.1% figure with a larger sampling of players with a large prize purse at stake.
sniper said:I imagine it would be well below 44.1%. Simply because of the equipment being used on the IPT, the slow cloth and tight pockets seem to make it fairly tough for players to break and run on a frequent basis. Going through the IPT stats the only players you see break and run alot are Archer, Manalo, and players up around their level.
Yes, overall probably lower for both 8-ball and 9-ball. So, if the stats are correct from previous accounts, then I'd expect the same result: more B&R's for 8-ball.sniper said:I imagine it would be well below 44.1%. Simply because of the equipment being used on the IPT, the slow cloth and tight pockets seem to make it fairly tough for players to break and run on a frequent basis. .
mnShooter said:So have any of you ever seen anyone break and run 21 out 30 in 9 ball? Rodney just did it. I would like to know exactly how he is breaking to make a ball every time and get a good spread.
Williebetmore said:Mn,
I think you will see that the gist of the arguments so far is in which is more statistically likely. Your question however is which is "harder" (more difficult). Because of the nature of the game, the 8-ball runouts will be "easier" to perform (less heroic and difficult shots because of the relatively free choice of object ball). The reason that the 8-ball runouts may be similar in percentage to 9-ball runouts is that there are numerous obstructing balls that may make runouts improbable, and because you may not have a good shot at the correct group at the start of the game because of the random results of the break.
The nature of the cloth makes a HUGE difference in B & R percentage. At the IPT, the cloth has allowed about a 50% avg. in making a ball on the break - limiting B & R opportunities. On fast Simonis cloth, the guys with the big breaks would be making a ball on the break about 80-90% of the time with WAY more opportunities for B & R's.
Make no mistake, the B&R percentages have more to do with how hard the tables are to break on than with the "difficulty" of the game. The runouts that the pro's make in a game of 8 ball are usually easier than the typical 9-ball runout (with exceptions both ways).
I know of 2 IPT pro's who, when playing on fast Simonis (where making a ball on the break is a very high percentage for them), would basically bet their whole bundle on a game where you spot them the break; and if they don't break and run you automatically win the game - you don't even need to shoot. They will win WAY more than 50%. In the IPT, any single game is a crapshoot with much riding on the results of the opening break.
Island Drive said:That would be a tough bet to pass up, that means the shooter has to run out more than 50% time to get there, hummmmmmm. You could probably get Jay Helfert interested in this proposition.
smashmouth said:My guess at the moment is that the B&R %'s will be slightly lower in nine ball (nine ball having slightly tougher spreads) while the strategic element of 8 ball makes it much more a thinking man's game.
In the long run, imo, the better shotmaker wins nineball matches but the better pool player wins 8 ball.