Colin Colenso said:
Oh...sorry for the confusion.
The situation I am refering to is when after the break, open table, when the best possible runout plan is probably well under a 50% chance of running out.
So instead of digging a hole by potting several balls and messing up to move straight into a defensive mode so as to maintain as good a chance in the game as is possible.
The question is, what type of strategies do players use in this situation, how to analyse the table etc.
Colin
HI Colin -
I win many tournaments playing this way,
The way I see it, if you cannot get out , the more balls on the table of your kind (stripes or solids) the better!
therefore you have to look at it percentage wise, after the break ask yourself? can I run this rack out? I will attempt it if my chances are over 60% not that I do the math, but depending on how feel about it.
If I cant I want to make sure my opponent cant run it out,
so....
after the break I like to think of what I want stipes or solids..
then I go after that kind, and then I think of if I can take ball in hand and play safe where would I set the cue ball, then I try to get to that place in as little moves as possible, if I dont get there I will play some kind of defensive shot, leave the them long (if not a very good player) or leave them in some kind of undesireable position.
I see so many players get themselves into situation where they have 2 or 3 balls left and the odds of them getting out is like 3 or 4%, why accept those odds?? I even see it from top players in my state, and I have even beeaten top players in my state by playing defensive
now if both stripes and solids are bad, I would not hit any in and just play safe, or even give my opponent a shot on a ball knowing they are not going to get out over 60% of the time, but guess what, as soon as they shoot a ball in, their odds on the match just went down because now I have 7 stripes out to thier 6 solids, the more they end up hitting in the more my oddds go up, and if they get down to 3 to 4 balls and have not getten out , its almost a sure win for the player with 7 stripes out, open balls and easy safes to play.
Wouldnt you get shot for playing pool like this in the bars back in the 80's? LOL
I hope this helps, its helps me!
good luck!
FE