AtLarge does a great roundup of tourneys including statistics. At the 2023 Turning Stone classic, the PROS broke and ran out 35% of the time. So, statistically speaking, if you are an amateur, you should probably be under that. 10% for a 550 Fargo might be a good guess. 20% for a 650? the 750+ are doing it 30%+, so that all seems in the ballpark, no?
Separately, IMO, the more important statistic for league players is how many times did you try to run out, but then fail, and you left your opponent an easy win because you didn't play an easy safety. That is, are you going for the run out every time, or are you going for the win every time? They are not necessarily the same.
Break-and-run games on successful breaks (made at least one ball and did not foul):
Match winners -- 40% (48 of 119)
Match losers -- 25% (17 of 67)
Total -- 35% (65 of 186)
-td
Separately, IMO, the more important statistic for league players is how many times did you try to run out, but then fail, and you left your opponent an easy win because you didn't play an easy safety. That is, are you going for the run out every time, or are you going for the win every time? They are not necessarily the same.
Break Stats -- Turning Stone Classic XXXVI 9-Ball Open, January 2023
Here are some aggregate break statistics from the Turning Stone Classic XXXVI 9-Ball Open played January 5-8, 2023 at the Turning Stone Resort Casino in Verona, New York. Free live streaming was provided by AZBtv on the Facebook page of UpState AL and on YouTube. This was a 128-player...
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Break-and-run games on successful breaks (made at least one ball and did not foul):
Match winners -- 40% (48 of 119)
Match losers -- 25% (17 of 67)
Total -- 35% (65 of 186)
-td