Break Stats -- 2020 Mosconi Cup, December 2020

[AtLarge]

Here are some break results for the 2020 Mosconi Cup played this week (Dec. 1 - Dec. 3) at the Ricoh Arena in Coventry, England. This event was 9-Ball racing to 11 matches, with each match being a race to 5 games. The format was one team match (everyone plays one game, then repeat until one side wins 5 games), up to 7 doubles matches (6 were played), and up to 13 singles matches (7 were played). Team Europe won the Cup 11-3, with the match scores on the 3 days being 3-2, 5-0, and 3-1.

The players for Team USA were Shane Van Boening, Corey Deuel, Skyler Woodward, Billy Thorpe, and Chris Robinson. The players for Team Europe were Jayson Shaw, Albin Ouschan, Joshua Filler, Klenti Kaçi, and Fedor Gorst. The Team Captains were Jeremy Jones (USA) and Alex Lely (EUR). The Vice Captains were Joey Gray (USA) and Karl Boyes (EUR).

The conditions for this event included the following:

- Rasson OX 9-foot table, said to have 4¼" corner pockets and deep shelves;​

- blue Simonis cloth;​

- Aramith Tournament Black balls with a black measles cue ball;​

- referee racks using a triangle rack with the 1-ball on the foot spot (2-ball not necessarily in back location);​

- alternate breaks from anywhere behind the head string;​

- no illegal break rule;​

- 30-sec. shot clock (60 sec. after the break), with one 30-sec. extension per side per game;​

- foul on all balls;​

- jump cues allowed;​

- lag for the break in each match; and​

- all slop counts.​

The 14 matches were as follows, in the order they were played. Match winners are bolded; event scores after each match are in brackets.

Tues. Dec. 1, 2020

1. Teams -- USA ... 5-3 ... Europe [1-0]​

2. Doubles -- Van Boening/Deuel ... 2-5 ... Filler/Gorst [1-1]​

3. Singles -- Robinson ... 4-5 ... Kaçi [1-2]​

4. Doubles -- Woodward/Thorpe ... 2-5 ... Shaw/Ouschan [1-3]​

5. Singles -- Van Boening ... 5-4 ... Ouschan [2-3]​

Wed. Dec. 2

6. Singles -- Van Boening ... 4-5 ... Shaw [2-4]​

7. Doubles -- Woodward/Robinson ... 4-5 ... Shaw/Filler [2-5]​

8. Singles -- Deuel ... 2-5 ... Gorst [2-6]​

9. Doubles -- Van Boening/Thorpe ... 4-5 ... Ouschan/Kaçi [2-7]​

10. Singles -- Thorpe ... 3-5 ... Shaw [2-8]​

Thurs. Dec. 3

11. Doubles -- Van Boening/Woodward ... 2-5 ... Ouschan/Filler [2-9]​

12. Singles -- Woodward ... 0-5 ... Filler [2-10]​

13. Doubles -- Thorpe/Robinson ... 5-3 ... Ouschan/Gorst [3-10]​

14. Singles -- Van Boening ... 3-5 ... Shaw [3-11]​

The successful-break rates (made at least one ball and did not foul) were 71% for Team USA (37 of 52) and 78% (45 of 58) for Team Europe.

Team USA won the game on 46% (24 of 52) of their own breaks, whereas Team Europe won on 64% (37 of 58) of their breaks. Some details:

Team USA broke 52 times, with the following results:

• Made at least one ball (and did not foul) and won the game -- 18 (35%)​

• Made at least one ball (and did not foul) and lost the game -- 19 (37%)​

• Broke dry or fouled but won the game -- 6 (12%)​

• Broke dry or fouled and lost the game -- 9 (17%)​

Team Europe broke 58 times, with the following results:

• Made at least one ball (and did not foul) and won the game -- 32 (55%)​

• Made at least one ball (and did not foul) and lost the game -- 13 (22%)​

• Broke dry or fouled but won the game -- 5 (9%)​

• Broke dry or fouled and lost the game -- 8 (14%)​

For the two teams combined, the breaker made at least one ball (and did not foul) 75% (82 of 110) of the time; the breaking side won 55% (61 of 110) of the games; and the breaking side won 61% (50 of 82) of the games in which the breaker made at least one ball on the break and did not foul.

Break-and-run on all breaks:

• Team USA -- 10 out of 52 (19%)​

• Team Europe -- 20 out of 58 (34%)​

• Total -- 30 out of 110 (27%)​

Break-and-run on successful breaks:

• Team USA -- 10 out of 37 (27%)​

• Team Europe -- 20 out of 45 (44%)​

• Total -- 30 out of 82 (37%)​

 

[AtLarge]

Here are some 2020 Mosconi Cup break stats for each player. [Caveat: small numbers.]


Successful breaks (made at least one ball and did not foul):

Van Boening -- 13 of 19 (68%)​

Deuel -- 3 of 4 (75%)​

Woodward -- 7 of 9 (78%)​

Thorpe -- 7 of 10 (70%)​

Robinson -- 7 of 10 (70%)​

Team USA Total -- 37 of 52 (71%)​

​

Shaw -- 17 of 19 (89%)​

Ouschan -- 9 of 14 (64%)​

Filler -- 7 of 9 (78%)​

Kaçi -- 4 of 7 (57%)​

Gorst -- 8 of 9 (89%)​

Team Europe Total -- 45 of 58 (78%)​

​

USA + Europe Total -- 82 of 110 (75%)​

Breaker's side won the game:

Van Boening -- 9 of 19 (47%)​

Deuel -- 3 of 4 (75%)​

Woodward -- 2 of 9 (22%)​

Thorpe -- 6 of 10 (60%)​

Robinson -- 4 of 10 (40%)​

Team USA Total -- 24 of 52 (46%)​

​

Shaw -- 10 of 19 (53%)​

Ouschan -- 10 of 14 (71%)​

Filler -- 7 of 9 (78%)​

Kaçi -- 3 of 7 (43%)​

Gorst -- 7 of 9 (78%)​

Team Europe Total -- 37 of 58 (64%)​

​

USA + Europe Total -- 61 of 110 (55%)​

Break-and-run games, on all breaks:

Van Boening -- 5 of 19 (26%)​

Deuel -- 0 of 4 (0%)​

Woodward -- 0 of 9 (0%)​

Thorpe -- 2 of 10 (20%)​

Robinson -- 3 of 10 (30%)​

Team USA Total -- 10 of 52 (19%)​

​

Shaw -- 8 of 19 (42%)​

Ouschan -- 4 of 14 (29%)​

Filler -- 3 of 9 (33%)​

Kaçi -- 1 of 7 (14%)​

Gorst -- 4 of 9 (44%)​

Team Europe Total -- 20 of 58 (34%)​

​

USA + Europe Total -- 30 of 110 (27%)​

Break-and-run games, on successful breaks:

Van Boening -- 5 of 13 (38%)​

Deuel -- 0 of 3 (0%)​

Woodward -- 0 of 7 (0%)​

Thorpe -- 2 of 7 (29%)​

Robinson -- 3 of 7 (43%)​

Team USA Total -- 10 of 37 (27%)​

​

Shaw -- 8 of 17 (47%)​

Ouschan -- 4 of 9 (44%)​

Filler -- 3 of 7 (43%)​

Kaçi -- 1 of 4 (25%)​

Gorst -- 4 of 8 (50%)​

Team Europe Total -- 20 of 45 (44%)​

​

USA + Europe Total -- 30 of 82 (37%)​

[Note: A B&R in a doubles game is credited here to the breaker.

 

[pt109]

Well, it looks like Fargo called it right.....Euro had the advantage by 160

Thanx, AtLarge

 

[MattPoland]

Those break stats are so telling. Not a lot of B&R overall but Europe definitely had more. That’s a tide turner in a race to 5.

I like the table and rack configuration. It was tough and punishing. The exciting thing for me is that meant more pool was played. Lots of push outs and safeties after the break.


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[AtLarge]

Regarding Lags:

2020 -- Cup won by Team Europe 11-3

• USA won 4 lags, Europe won 10 .​

​

• The team that won the lag won the first game 8 times (2 by USA, 6 by Europe).​

​

• The team that won the lag won the match 9 times (1 by USA, 8 by Europe).​

​

• In the 5 hill/hill matches, USA won the lag once (but lost the match) and Europe won the lag 4 times (1 match loss, 3 wins). Two of those 3 wins for Europe were by B&R in the last game.​

​

The team that won the first game (6 by USA, 8 by Europe) won the match 7 times (1 by USA, 6 by Europe).​

2019 -- Cup won by Team USA 11-8

• USA won 11 lags, Europe won 8.​

​

• The team that won the lag won the first game 10 times (5 by USA, 5 by Europe).​

​

• The team that won the lag won the match 7 times (5 by USA, 2 by Europe).​

​

• In the 3 hill/hill matches, the team that won the lag won the match 2 times, but neither win was by B&R in the final game.​

​

The team that won the first game (8 by USA, 11 by Europe) won the match 14 times (7 by USA, 7 by Europe).​

​

2018 -- Cup won by Team USA 11-9

• Each team won 10 lags.​

​

• The team that won the lag won the first game 16 times (7 by USA, 9 by Europe).​

​

• The team that won the lag won the match 15 times (8 by USA, 7 by Europe).​

​

• In the 5 hill/hill matches, the team that won the lag won the match 4 times (2 by each team). One of the wins for each side was by B&R in the final game.​

​

The team that won the first game (8 by USA, 12 by Europe) won the match 13 times (6 by USA, 7 by Europe).​

2017 -- Cup won by Team Europe 11-4

• USA won 4 lags, Europe won 11.​

​

• The team that won the lag won the first game 10 times (4 by USA, 6 by Europe).​

​

• The team that won the lag won every match (4 by USA, 11 by Europe).​

​

• In the 5 hill/hill matches, USA won the lag 3 times and Europe twice. One of the wins for each side was by B&R in the final game.​

​

The team that won the first game (9 by USA, 6 by Europe) won the match 10 times (4 by USA, 6 by Europe).​

2016 -- Cup won by Team Europe 11-3

• USA won 8 lags, Europe won 6.​

​

• The team that won the lag won the first game 12 times (7 by USA, 5 by Europe).​

​

• The team that won the lag won the match 7 times (2 by USA, 5 by Europe).​

​

• In the 3 hill/hill matches, USA won the lag all 3 times but lost the match twice. The lone win was not by B&R in the final game.​

​

The team that won the first game (8 by USA, 6 by Europe) won the match 7 times (2 by USA, 5 by Europe).​

2015 -- Cup won by Team Europe 11-7

• Each team won 9 lags.​

​

• The team that won the lag won the first game 9 times (4 by USA, 5 by Europe).​

​

• The team that won the lag won the match 10 times (4 by USA, 6 by Europe).​

​

• In the 8 hill/hill matches, the team that won the lag won the match 6 times (3 by each team), and 4 of the 6 were by B&R in the final game.​

​

The team that won the first game (8 by USA, 10 by Europe) won the match 9 times (3 by USA, 6 by Europe).​

2014 -- Cup won by Team Europe 11-5

• USA won 2 lags, Europe won 14.​

​

• The team that won the lag won the first game 13 times (2 by USA, 11 by Europe).​

​

• The team that won the lag won the match 9 times (0 by USA, 9 by Europe).​

​

• In the only hill/hill match, Europe won the lag and the first game (by B&R) but lost the match.​

​

The team that won the first game (5 by USA, 11 by Europe) won the match 6 times (0 by USA, 6 by Europe).​

2013 -- Cup won by Team Europe 11-2

• USA won 4 lags, Europe won 9.​

​

• The team that won the lag won the first game 6 times (1 by USA, 5 by Europe).​

​

• The team that won the lag won the match 7 times (0 by USA, 7 by Europe).​

​

• In the 4 hill/hill matches, Europe won all the lags and 2 of the matches (one by B&R in the final game -- 9-ball on the break).​

​

The team that won the first game (5 by USA, 8 by Europe) won the match 6 times (0 by USA, 6 by Europe).​

So 34 matches have gone to a hill/hill game over the past 8 years, and the breaking side (winner of the lag) won 23 of those games, 11 by B&R.

 

[sjm]

Great job as always, At Large and thanks for the stats.

When you only win 46% of the time when you break, as was the case for Team USA, you remain the underdog to win a match even if you break at double hill. The lag was a trivial detail in this Mosconi Cup, and it's really only a small piece of the broader skill called speed control. Team Europe had better speed control in all aspects of the play, so they were supposed to win more than their share of the lags. Poor play by Team USA was a far less trivial detail.

 

[AtLarge]

Regarding Balls Made on the Break:

Team USA averaged 1.2 balls per break on all breaks (63 balls on 52 breaks) and 1.6 balls per break on successful breaks (61 balls on 37 breaks).

Team Europe averaged 1.1 balls per break on all breaks (65 balls on 58 breaks) and 1.4 balls per break on successful breaks (64 balls on 45 breaks).

Distribution of balls made on the 110 breaks:

[1s here means the 1-ball in the side pocket on the opposite side of the table from the breaker;
w means the wing ball on the same side of the table as the breaker, in the nearest corner pocket]

- made 1s, but no other balls -- occurred 7 times (7 balls pocketed)
- made 1s plus 1 other ball, but not w -- 6 times (12 balls)
- made w, but no other balls -- 20 times (20 balls, including 1 on a foul)
- made w and other ball or balls, but not 1s -- 15 times (34 balls)
- made both 1s and w, but no others -- 13 times (26 balls)
- both 1s and w and 1 other ball -- 2 time (6 balls)
- made neither 1s nor w, but 1-2 other balls -- 22 times (23 balls, including 2 on fouls)
- dry, but no foul -- 25 times
- dry and fouled -- 0 times​

Total -- 110 breaks, 128 balls pocketed

The 1-ball was pocketed in the side pocket on the opposite side from the breaker on 25% (28 of 110) of the breaks.

The wing ball on the same side of the table as the breaker was pocketed in the nearest corner pocket on 45% of the breaks (50 of 110).

 

[AtLarge]

Regarding Fouls:

The following numbers are: Breaking Fouls + Kicking Fouls + Jumping Fouls + Other Fouls = Total Fouls

Van Boening -- 1 + 1 + 0 + 1 = 3​

Deuel -- 0 + 1 + 0 + 1 = 2​

Woodward -- 0 + 1 + 1 + 3 = 5​

Thorpe -- 1 + 1 + 0 + 0 = 2​

Robinson -- 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = 0​

Team USA Total -- 2 + 4 + 1 + 5 = 12​

​

Shaw -- 0 + 0 + 1 + 1 = 2​

Ouschan -- 1 + 0 + 0 + 2 = 3​

Filler -- 0 + 2 + 0 + 0 = 2​

Kaçi -- 0 + 0 + 0 + 1 = 1​

Gorst -- 0 + 0 + 0 + 1 = 1​

Team Europe Total -- 1 + 2 + 1 + 5 = 9​

​

USA + Europe Total -- 3 + 6 + 2 + 10 = 21​

The "Other Fouls" category includes:

- touching a ball with his shirt (Kaçi)​

- failure to call a push out (Woodward)​

- scratching while making a ball (1 each by Woodward and Ouschan)​

- scratching on a missed shot (1 each by Woodward and Gorst)​

- scratching on a safety (1 each by Ouschan and Deuel)​

- no rail on a safety (Shaw)​

- intentional foul to tie-up balls (Van Boening)​

​

The opponent's side ran out the game on the next inning for 11 of Team USA's 12 fouls (92%) and for 6 of Team Europe's 9 fouls (67%).


Foul Rates

• Team USA's 12 fouls occurred in the 90 games in which they went to the table (110 total games less EUR's 20 B&R's), for a rate of 1 foul for every 7.5 games at the table. This rate is about the same as last year's and midway between those for 2018 (1 per 9.2 games at the table) and 2017 (1 per 5.6 games at the table).​

​

• Team Europe's 9 fouls occurred in the 100 games in which they went to the table, for a rate of 1 foul for every 11.1 games at the table. This rate was slightly better than that for 2019 (1 per 10.3 games at the table) and better than those for 2018 (1 per 7.8 games at the table) and 2017 (1 per 5.4 games at the table).​

 

[AtLarge]

Regarding Missed Shots:

Team USA -- Missed shots averaged about 1 for every 3.5 games in which they went to the table. The comparable numbers in the last 3 years were 2.8, 5.2, and 2.0.

Team Europe -- About 1 for every 2.9 games at the table this year, 3.6 in 2019, 5.9 in 2018, 3.1 in 2017.

 

[AtLarge]

Miscellany from the data for the 2020 Mosconi Cup

• The most balls made on a single break was 4, which happened just once -- by Robinson. He and Woodward won that game by B&R.

• 48% (53 of 110) of the games ended in one inning -- 27% (30) won by the breaking side (B&R) and 21% (23) won by the non-breaking side.

• The average match score was 5-2.9, with 5 matches ending at 5-4 and one at 5-0.

• The longest match in elapsed time, at 59 minutes, was Shaw d. Van Boening 5-4 on Day 2. The shortest match in elapsed time, at 25 minutes, was Filler d. Woodward 5-0. The elapsed time was measured from the lag until the winning ball was made, so it includes time for racking, timeouts, and commercial breaks (which averaged 1 per match at about 3 minutes each).

• The average elapsed time was 49 minutes per match.

• The average minutes per game was 6.2, or an estimated 5.8 not counting commercial breaks.

• Breaking fouls (which numbered just 3) averaged 1 for every 37 games, other fouls 1 for every 5.2 games, and missed shots about 1 for every 1.8 games.

• About 45% of the games involved one or more safeties.

 

[Blue Jam]

Bumping this thread to top - excellent impartial facts, fantastic work!

 

[Poolhall60561]

Thanks AtLarge, great job.
It seems like you must have a large team of people collecting and analyzing all that data

 

[kkdanamatt]

Impressive job on those stats, At Large.
Past performance sometimes indicates future results.
In this 2020 edition of the Mosconi Cup, it proved true.

 

[born2push]

I wonder why they didn't select Max Eberle. He's a very good representative of the game and plays lights out.

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