Break Stats -- 2021 World Pool Masters 9-Ball, May 2021

AtLarge

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Here are some aggregate break statistics from the 2021 World Pool Masters event played May 22-25, 2021 at Europa Point Sports Park, in Gibraltar. This was an invitational 24-player, single-elimination 9-Ball event produced by Matchroom Sport with pay-per-view streaming in the USA on DAZN. The main commentators were Phil Yates, Karl Boyes, and Allison Fisher. Several of the players also commentated on one or more matches. Alex Kazakis won the tournament, defeating Shane Van Boening in the final match.

Conditions -- The conditions for this event included:
• Rasson OX 9-foot table with 4" corner pockets and 5" side pockets;​
• Blue Simonis cloth;​
• Aramith Tournament Black balls with a black-measles cue ball;​
• referee racks using a triangle rack with the 1-ball on the spot (2-ball not necessarily in back location);​
• winner breaks from anywhere behind the head string;​
• no illegal-break rule;​
• 30-second shot clock (60 sec. after the break), with one 30-sec. extension per player per rack;​
• foul on all balls;​
• jump cues allowed;​
• all slop counts; and​
• lag for the break in each match.​

The 23 matches (244 games) in this tournament were as follows (listed in the order in which they were played). The stats are for all of these matches.

Sat. May 22
1. Justin Sajich defeated Kelly Fisher 7-3​
2. Eklent Kaci d. Petri Makkonen 7-3​
3. Chris Melling d. Sanjin Pehlivanovic 7-4​
4. Skyler Woodward d. Billy Thorpe 7-1​

Sun. May 23
5. Niels Feijen d. Jeffrey De Luna 7-3​
6. Mieszko Fortunski d. Kristina Tkach 7-2​
7. Denis Grabe d. Roberto Gomez 7-6​
8. Joshua Filler d. Melling 7-5 (Last 16)​
9. Shane Van Boening d. Jakub Koniar 7-4​
10. Kaci d. Naoyuki Oi 7-5 (Last 16)​
11. Woodward d. David Alcaide 7-3 (Last 16)​

Mon. May 24
12. Max Lechner d. Fortunski 7-5 (Last 16)​
13. Grabe d. Albin Ouschan 7-3 (Last 16)​
14. Feijen d. Jayson Shaw 7-6 (Last 16)​
15. Alexander Kazakis d. Sajicj 7-3 (Last 16)​
16. Van Boening d. Fedor Gorst 7-1 (Last 16)​
17. Kaci d. Feijen 7-0 (Quarterfinal)​

Tues. May 25
18. Filler d. Grabe 7-5 (Quarterfinal)​
19. Van Boening d. Lechmer 7-4 (Quarterfinal)​
20. Kazakis d. Woodward 7-3 (Quarterfinal)​
21. Kazakis d. Kaci 7-6 (Semifinal)​
22. Van Boening d. Filler 7-6 (Semifinal)​
23. Kazakis d. Van Boening 9-0 (Finals)​

Overall results

Successful breaks (made at least one ball and did not foul):

Match winners -- 93% (142 of 152)​
Match losers -- 93% (86 of 92)​
Total -- 93% (228 of 244)

Breaker won the game:
Match winners -- 74% (112 of 152)​
Match losers -- 45% (41 of 92)​
Total -- 63% (153 of 244)

Break-and-run games on all breaks:
Match winners -- 35% (53 of 152)​
Match losers -- 21% (19 of 92)​
Total -- 30% (72 of 244)

Break-and-run games on successful breaks (made at least one ball and did not foul):
Match winners -- 37% (53 of 142)​
Match losers -- 22% (19 of 86)​
Total -- 32% (72 of 228)

Here's a breakdown of the 244 games (for match winners and losers combined).

Breaker made at least one ball and did not foul:
Breaker won the game: 146 (60% of the 244 games)​
Breaker lost the game: 82 (34%)​

Breaker fouled on the break:
Breaker won the game: 1 (0%)​
Breaker lost the game: 2 (1%)​

Breaker broke dry (without fouling):
Breaker won the game: 6 (2%)​
Breaker lost the game: 7 (3%)​

Therefore, whereas the breaker won 63% (153 of 244) of all games,
He/she won 64% (146 of 228) of the games in which the break was successful (made at least one ball and did not foul).​
He/she won 44% (7 of 16) of the games in which the break was unsuccessful (fouled or dry).​

Break-and-run games -- The 72 break-and-run games represented 30% of all 244 games, 47% of the 153 games won by the breaker, and 32% of the 228 games in which the break was successful (made a ball and didn't foul).

The 72 break-and-run games consisted of 2 three-packs (1 each by Shaw and Kaci), 12 two-packs, and 42 singles.

9-Balls on the break -- The 72 break-and-run games included 2 9-balls on the break (0.8% of all breaks).
 
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Miscellany from the data for the 2021 World Pool Masters 9-Ball event:

• The most balls made on a single break was 4, done once each by Melling (B&R), Kaci (B&R), Van Boening (B&R), and Kazakis (a win, but not by B&R).

• The average number of balls made on the break was 1.5 (this includes dry and fouled breaks). On successful breaks (made at least one ball and did not foul), the average was 1.6.

• 45% (110 of 244) of the games ended in one inning – 30% (72) won by the breaker (B&R) and 16% (38) won by the non-breaker. Sixteen percent (38 of 244) of the games lasted more than 3 innings.

• 32% (77 of 244) of the games were run out by the player who was at the table following the break. These run-outs were:
- By the breaker after successful breaks (B&R games) – 32% (72 of 228)​
- By the non-breaker after fouls on the break – 67% (2 of 3)​
- By the non-breaker after dry breaks – 23% (3 of 13)​

• The player who made the first ball after the break:
- Won the game in that same inning 55% of the time (132 of 242)​
- Won the game in a later inning 16% of the time (39 of 242)​
- Lost the game 29% of the time (71 of 242)​
[Note -- total games used here are 242 rather than 244 to eliminate the 2 games in which no ball was made after the break.]​

• The loser won an average of 3.7 games in the 22 races to 7 (excludes only the final match). Four matches went to hill/hill, including both Semifinals; two matches were whitewashes, including the Finals.

• The average elapsed time for the 22 races to 7 was 73 minutes. The average minutes per game for all 244 games was 6.8. The elapsed time was measured from the lag until the winning ball was made (or conceded), so it includes time for racking and commercial breaks. Commercial breaks were significant in these matches, generally occurring after every 3 games in a match, and lasting about 3 minutes each.

• The match that was both longest in elapsed time, at 117 minutes, and highest in average minutes per game, at 9.0, was Kazakis d. Kaci 7-6.

• The match that was shortest in elapsed time, at about 48 minutes, was Kaci d. Feijen 7-0. The match lowest in average minutes per game, at 5.2, was Filler d. Melling 7-5.

• Breaking fouls averaged 1 for every 81.3 games, other fouls 1 for every 5.3 games, and missed shots about 1 for every 1.6 games. Breaking fouls were extremely low in this event.

• About 50% of the games involved one or more safeties.
 
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Thanks for that. Great job.

A stat that stands out for me is 32% break and run games on successful breaks. Making a ball on the break guarantees nothing on the tough equipment, and that is just as it should be. Pool should not be a breaking contest, and in this event, everyone got their share of chances. The other stat that stands out is that 50% of the racks contained one or more safeties. One needed to play offense and defense well to prevail, making the game a greater test of all-around skill than that to which we have grown accustomed.

This was a wonderful tournament, and your wonderful stats substantiate it with great clarity.
 
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Thanks for that. Great job.

A stat that stands out for me is 32% break and run games on successful breaks. Making a ball on the break guarantees nothing on the tough equipment, and that is just as it should be. Pool should not be a breaking contest, and in this event, everyone got their share of chances. The other stat that stands out is that 50% of the racks contained one or more safeties. One needed to play offense and defense well to prevail, making the game a greater test of all-around skill than that to which he had grown accustomed.

This was a wonderful tournament, and your wonderful stats substantiate it with great clarity.

Honest question, maybe AtLarge could answer too. Which ball(s) was made the most, and to which path did they take. I caught a couple highlights but nothing else. Because what I’ve noticed as a trend doesn’t necessarily mean tight pockets are needed.
 
Honest question, maybe AtLarge could answer too. Which ball(s) was made the most, and to which path did they take. I caught a couple highlights but nothing else. Because what I’ve noticed as a trend doesn’t necessarily mean tight pockets are needed.
The wing ball (on the same side of the table as the breaker) was pocketed in the nearest corner pocket on 89% (217 of 244) of all breaks and on 94% (217 of 231) of breaks on which at least one ball was made.

The 1-ball was pocketed in the side pocket on the opposite side from the breaker on 28% (68 of 244) of all breaks and on 29% (68 of 231) of breaks on which at least one ball was made.

On 28% of all breaks (68 of 244) one or more balls racked in other locations were pocketed, totaling 83 balls.
 
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