Break Stats -- 2022 Derby City Classic 9-Ball, January 2022

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Here are some aggregate break statistics from the 2022 Derby City Classic 9-Ball event played January 26-29 at Caesars Southern Indiana Hotel & Casino in Elizabeth, Indiana with pay-per-view streaming by Accu-Stats. Francisco Sanchez-Ruiz won the event, defeating Joshua Filler in the final match. The primary commentators were Mark Wilson and Jeremy Jones.

This event had 473 players, and operated under the standard DCC format of redrawing match pairings for every round, with one buy-back permitted for each player. All races were to 9.

Conditions -- The conditions for the streamed matches included:
- Diamond 9-foot table with blue Simonis 860 or 860 HR cloth;​
- Aramith Tournament balls with an Aramith "Diamond" cue ball with blue spots;​
- Accu-Rack racking template;​
- rack your own with the 9-ball on the foot spot;​
- winner breaks from anywhere behind the head string;​
- the break is illegal (non-compliant), and non-breaker has an option to shoot, unless at least 3 balls reach the plane of the head string or are pocketed;​
- jump cues not allowed and jumping with break cues not allowed;​
- cue-ball fouls only;​
- for "full production" matches, a 40-second shot clock with one automatic extension per player per rack; and​
- all slop counts.​

The 11 matches (168 games) streamed by Accu-Stats were as follows, shown in the order in which they were played. The figures in parentheses are the Accu-Stats Total Performance Averages (TPA), as calculated by Accu-Stats and shown on the stream. No TPAs were given for four of the matches.

Thurs., Jan. 27
Joshua Filler (.897) defeated Darren Appleton (.868) 9-8​

Fri., Jan. 28
Corey Deuel (.932) d. Darren Appleton (.938) 9-8​
Efren Reyes d. Michael Deitchman 9-5​

Sat., Jan. 29
Max Eberle (.935) d. Konrad Juszczyszyn (.857) 9-7​
Filler (.953) d. Mieszko Fortunski (.894) 9-7​
Shane Van Boening (.924) d. Fedor Gorst (.912) 9-7​
Mario He d. Carlo Biado 9-6​
Francisco Sanchez-Ruiz d. John Morra 9-5​
Filler d. Jayson Shaw 9-7​
Sanchez-Ruiz (.888) d. Roland Garcia (.881) 9-6 (Semifinal)​
Sanchez-Ruiz (.951) d. Filler (.778) 9-3 (Finals)​

Overall results

Successful breaks (broke legally, made at least one ball, and did not foul) -- 73% (69 of 95) for match winners, 63% (46 of 73) for match losers, and 68% (115 of 168) in total​
Breaker won the game -- 63% (60 of 95) for match winners, 47% (34 of 73) for match losers, and 56% (94 of 168) in total​
Break-and-run games on all breaks -- 33% (31 of 95) for match winners, 26% (19 of 73) for match losers, and 30% (50 of 168) in total​
Break-and-run games on successful breaks -- 45% (31 of 69) for match winners, 41% (19 of 46) for match losers, and 43% (50 of 115) in total​
Illegal breaks -- 9% (9 of 95) for match winners, 15% (11 of 73) for match losers, and 12% (20 of 168 in total​

Here's a breakdown of the 168 breaks (for match winners and losers combined).

Legal, made at least one ball, and no foul:
Breaker won the game: 80 (48% of the 168 games)​
Breaker lost the game: 35 (21%)​

Illegal, made at least one ball, and no foul;
Breaker won the game: 3 (2%)​
Breaker lost the game: 10 (6%)​

Fouled (includes 1 break that was both fouled and illegal):
Breaker won the game: 2 (1%)​
Breaker lost the game: 11 (7%)​

Legal, dry, and no foul:
Breaker won the game: 7 (4%)​
Breaker lost the game: 14 (8%)​

Illegal, dry, and no foul:
Breaker won the game: 2 (1%)​
Breaker lost the game: 4 (2%)​

Therefore, whereas the breaker won 56% of all games (94 of 168),
He won 70% (80 of 115) of the games in which the break was successful (broke legally, made at least one ball, and did not foul).​
He won 26% (14 of 53) of the games in which the break was unsuccessful (illegal, fouled, or dry).​

Break-and-run games -- The 50 break-and-run games represented 30% of all 168 games, 53% of the 94 games won by the breaker, and 43% of the 115 games in which the break was successful (made a ball, legal, no foul).

The 50 break-and-run games consisted of 3 3-packs (1 each by Appleton, Filler, and Sanchez-Ruiz), 6 2-packs, and 29 singles.

9-balls on the break -- The 50 break-and-run games included 2 9-balls on the break (1.2% of the 168 breaks). With the Accu-Rack, the 9-ball tends to remain close to its original position.
 
Miscellany from the data for the 2022 DCC 9-Ball event
[This relates only to the 11 matches streamed by Accu-Stats, not to all matches in the event.]

• The most balls made on a single break was 4 -- done once each by Appleton (a B&R), Filler (a B&R), Biado (a game win, but not by B&R), and Sanchez-Ruiz (a game loss).

• The average number of balls made on all breaks was 1.4. On successful breaks (legal, made at least one ball, and did not foul), the average was 1.8 and the distribution was 46% 1 ball, 36% 2 balls, 15% 3 balls, and 3% 4 balls.

• 58% (97 of 168) of the games ended in one inning – 30% (50) won by the breaker (B&R) and 28% (47) won by the non-breaker. 10% (17 of 168) of the games lasted more than 3 innings. The longest game, a safety battle between Filler and Shaw, ended on the breaker's (Filler's) 11th visit to the table.

• 46% (77 of 168) of the games were run out by the player who was at the table following the break. These run-outs were:
- By the breaker after successful breaks (B&R games) – 43% (50 of 115)​
- By the non-breaker after wet but illegal breaks -- 54% (7 of 13)​
- By the non-breaker after fouls on the break – 77% (10 of 13)​
- By the non-breaker after dry breaks – 37% (10 of 27)​

• The player who made the first ball after the break:
- Won the game in that same inning 64% of the time (107 of 166)​
- Won the game in a later inning 13% of the time (22 of 166)​
- Lost the game 22% of the time (37 of 166)​
[Note -- total games used here are 166 rather than 168 to eliminate the 2 games in which no ball was made after the break.]​

• The match loser won an average of 6.3 games in these races to 9. Two of the matches went to hill/hill. The most lopsided match was the Finals, at 9-3.

• The average elapsed time for these 11 races to 9 was 72 minutes, averaging 4.7 minutes per game. The elapsed time was measured from the lag until the winning ball was made (or conceded), so it includes time for racking and timeouts.

• The match that was longest in elapsed time, at 85 minutes, was Eberle d. Juszczyszyn 9-7. The match highest in average minutes per game, at 5.8, was Reyes d. Deitchman 9-5.

• The match that was shortest in elapsed time, at 52 minutes, was the Finals -- Sanchex-Ruiz d. Filler 9-3. The match lowest in average minutes per game, at 3.5, was Deuel d. Appleton 9-8.

• Breaking fouls averaged 1 for every 12.9 games, other fouls 1 for every 4.7 games, and missed shots about 1 for every 2.3 games. Match #3 had an inordinate number of missed shots. Excluding that match, the number of missed shots in the other 10 matches averaged about 1 for every 3.1 games.

• About 33% of the games involved one or more safeties.
 
Conditions -- The conditions for the streamed matches included:
- Diamond 9-foot table with blue Simonis 860 or 860 HR cloth;​
- Aramith Tournament balls with an Aramith "Diamond" cue ball with blue spots;​
- Accu-Rack racking template;
- rack your own with the 9-ball on the foot spot;​
- winner breaks from anywhere behind the head string;​
- the break is illegal (non-compliant), and non-breaker has an option to shoot, unless at least 3 balls reach the plane of the head string or are pocketed;​
- jump cues not allowed and jumping with break cues not allowed;​
- cue-ball fouls only;​
- for "full production" matches, a 40-second shot clock with one automatic extension per player per rack; and​
- all slop counts.​
I saw a Facebook post that was later deleted where a top player complained about the Accu-Rack template and another top (big dog) player replied agreeing that the accu-rack with rack your own allowed for cheating. I saw Shane went up and check the rack when one of his opponent was about to break. Maybe this is something that has to be looked into.
 
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