Break Stats -- 2023 Hanoi Open Pool Championship (9-Ball), October 2023

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Here are some aggregate break statistics from the 2023 Hanoi Open Pool Championship played October 10-15, 2023 at the Hanoi Indoor Games Gymnasium in Hanoi, Vietnam. Streaming was provided free on YouTube and by pay-per-view on DAZN on the weekend in the USA. This was a 228-player 9-Ball event (256 planned, 228 played), produced by Matchroom Sport, with double elimination down to 64 players (32 on the winners' side and 32 on the one-loss side) and then single-elimination to the end. Jayson Shaw won the tournament, defeating Albin Ouschan in the final match.

On the matches I watched, the main commentators were Phil Yates, Michael McMullan, Jeremy Jones, and Karl Boyes. The referees on Saturday and Sunday were Marcel Eckardt, Desislava Bozhilova, and Ben Taylor-Fuente; I did not hear or read the names of the referees on the Friday matches listed below.

Conditions -- The conditions for the streamed matches included:
• Rasson Mr-Sung Acurra 9-foot tables with corner pockets larger than 4" (size not specifically stated while I watched);​
• Simonis 860 Shark Grey cloth;​
• Aramith Tournament Black balls with a black-spots cue ball;​
• Magic Ball Rack racking template;​
• referee racks with the 9-ball on the foot spot (2-ball not necessarily in back location);​
• winner breaks from behind the head string in a box approximately 8" to either side of the long string;​
• no illegal-break rule, but referees enforce a forceful-break requirement;​
• no shot clock until the Last 16, then a 30-second shot clock (60 sec. after the break), with one 30-sec. extension per player per rack;​
• foul on all balls;​
• 3-foul rule in effect (did not occur);​
• jump cues allowed;​
• all slop counts; and​
• lag for the break in each match.​

These stats are for 12 matches (208 games) -- the 5 played on Table 1 in the Last 64 and Last 32 rounds on Friday, and the 7 matches played on the "TV Table" on the weekend. These 12 matches are listed here in the order in which they were played.

Friday, October 13
1. Jeffrey De Luna defeated Nguyen Anh Tuan 10-2 (Last 64)​
2. Bernie Regalario d. Luong Duc Thien 10-8 (Last 64)​
3. Francisco Sanchez-Ruiz d. Carlo Biado 10-6 (Last 64)​
4. Jayson Shaw d. Johann Chua 10-6 (Last 32)​
5. Albin Ouschan d. Shane Van Boening 10-8 (Last 32)​

Saturday, October 14
6. Fedor Gorst d. Ko Pin Yi 10-4 (Last 16)​
7. Ko Ping Chung d. Max Lechner 10-9 (Last 16)​
8. Shaw d. Gorst 10-8 (Quarterfinal)​
9. Ko PC d. Kyle Amoroto 10-8 (Quarterfinal)​

Sunday, October 15
10. Shaw d. Sanjin Pehlivanovic 11-2 (Semifinal)​
11. Ouschan d. Ko PC 11-10 (Semifinal)​
12. Shaw d. Ouschan 13-12 (Final)​

Overall results

Successful breaks (made at least one ball and did not foul):
Match winners -- 74% (89 of 120)​
Match losers -- 75% (66 of 88)​
Total -- 75% (155 of 208)

Breaker won the game:
Match winners -- 68% (81 of 120)​
Match losers -- 50% (44 of 88)​
Total -- 60% (125 of 208)

Break-and-run games on all breaks:
Match winners -- 28% (33 of 120)​
Match losers -- 26% (23 of 88)​
Total -- 27% (56 of 208)

Break-and-run games on successful breaks (made at least one ball and did not foul):
Match winners -- 37% (33 of 89)​
Match losers -- 35% (23 of 66)​
Total -- 36% (56 of 155)

Here's a breakdown of the 208 games (for match winners and losers combined).

Breaker made at least one ball and did not foul:​
Breaker won the game: 105 (50% of the 208 games)​
Breaker lost the game: 50 (24%)​
Breaker fouled on the break:​
Breaker won the game: 4 (2%)​
Breaker lost the game: 8 (4%)​
Breaker broke dry (without fouling):​
Breaker won the game: 16 (8%)​
Breaker lost the game: 25 (12%)​
Therefore, whereas the breaker won 60% (125 of 208) of all games,​
He won 68% (105 of 155) of the games in which the break was successful (made at least one ball and did not foul).​
He won 38% (20 of 53) of the games in which the break was unsuccessful (fouled or dry).​

Break-and-run games -- The 56 break-and-run games represented 27% of all 208 games, 45% of the 125 games won by the breaker, and 36% of the 155 games in which the break was successful (made a ball and didn't foul).

The 56 break-and-run games consisted of 2 3-packs (one each by Lechner and Amoroto), 8 2-packs, and 34 singles. No one in these 12 matches broke and ran more than 3 games in a row.

9-Balls on the break -- The 56 break-and-run games included 5 9-balls on the break (2.4% of all breaks).
 
Miscellany from the data for the 2023 Hanoi Open Pool Championship (9-Ball):
[This relates only to the 12 streamed matches I watched, not to all matches in the event.]

• The most balls made on a single break was 3, done 7 times. The breaker won 5 of those games (2 by B&R and 2 by 9s on the break) and lost 2.

• The average number of balls made on the break was 1.0 (this includes dry and fouled breaks). On successful breaks (made at least one ball and did not foul), the average was 1.3, and the distribution was 79% 1 ball, 16% 2 balls, and 5% 3 balls.

• Number of innings:
43% (89 of 208) of the games ended in one inning – 56 games on the breaker's first inning (B&Rs) and 33 games on the non-breaker's first inning.​
26% (54 of 208) of the games ended in the second inning.​
31% (65 of 208) of the games went beyond the non-breaker's second visit to the table. The game with the most visits to the table ended on the non-breaker's 9th visit.​

• 33% ( 68 of 208) of the games were run out by the player who was at the table following the break. These run-outs were:
- By the breaker after successful breaks (B&R games) – 36% (56 of 155)​
- By the non-breaker after fouls on the break – 42% (5 of 12)​
- By the non-breaker after dry breaks – 17% (7 of 41)​

• The player who made the first ball after the break:
- Won the game in that same inning 56% of the time (114 of 203)​
- Won the game in a later inning 21% of the time (43 of 203)​
- Lost the game 23% of the time (46 of 203)​
[Note -- total games used here are 203 rather than 208 to eliminate the 5 games in which no ball was made after the break.]​

• The loser won an average of 6.6 games in the 9 races to 10 (excludes the longer semifinals and final). The closest matches were three that went to hill/hill -- Ko PC d. Lechner 10-9, Ouschan d. Ko PC 11-10, and Shaw d. Ouschan 13-12. The most lopsided matches were one at 10-2 (De Luna d. Nguyen AT) and one at 11-2 (Shaw d. Pehlivanovic).

• The average minutes per game for all 12 matches was 7.0. The elapsed time was measured from the lag until the winning ball was made, so it includes time for racking and commercial breaks. However, I did not include a delay of about 13 minutes for technical problems in one of the matches. Commercial breaks were taken only in the Last 16 and subsequent matches. They were significant in those matches, generally occurring after every 3 games in a match, and lasting about 3 minutes each. The 5 matches on Friday, with neither a shot clock nor commercial breaks, averaged 7.6 minutes per game. The 7 matches on the weekend that had both a shot clock and commercial breaks averaged 6.8 minutes per game, or an estimated average of 6.0 minutes per game if there had been no commercial breaks.

• The match that was highest in average minutes per game, at 8.5 (it had no commercial breaks), was Ouschan d. Van Boening 10-8. The match lowest in average minutes per game, at 5.7 (despite having 5 commercial breaks), was Ko PC d. Lechner 10-9.

• Breaking fouls averaged 1 for every 17.3 games, other fouls 1 for every 5.9 games, and missed shots about 1 for every 1.4 games.

• One or more safeties were played in about 46% of all games and in 63% of games that were not B&Rs.
 
Thx, this stat carries the most meaning to me.


Break-and-run games on all breaks:
Match winners -- 28% (33 of 120)
Match losers -- 26% (23 of 88)
Total -- 27% (56 of 208)
 
Thanx, AtLarge
I think they’ve come a long way in sorting out breaking problems.
 
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