Here are some aggregate break statistics from the 2023 Michigan Open 10-Ball event played September 20-23 at the Kellogg Arena in Battle Creek, Michigan. Streaming was free on Billiard TV and on YouTube. This was the third of the 5 events planned for this year's CSI/Predator US Pro Billiard Series. The commentators were Jim Wych, Eric Hjorleifson, Tim De Ruyter, and George Teyechea. Wiktor Zielinski won the event, defeating Aloysius Yapp in the final match.
This was a 64-player event with 16 players seeded based on WPA rankings. The format was double-elimination down to 16 players (8 on the winners' side and 8 on the one-loss side). A random draw then matched one player from each side against each other, with single-elimination play from that point to the conclusion. In the double-elimination portion, each match was two races to 4. If the same player won both races, he won the match. If the two races to 4 were split, a shootout determined the winner. In the single-elimination portion, each match was the best two out of three races to 4, with a shootout determining the winner of the the third set (and, therefore, of the match) if that set was tied at hill/hill (3-3).
The 14 matches (156 games) I tracked were all of the matches streamed on feature Table 1, excluding matches from the women's event. Only 1 of these 14 matches (a double-elimination match) ended with a shootout, and only 1 of the single-elimination matches went to a third set (with no shootout). These 14 matches were 12.1% of the total of 116 matches played in the event (119 scheduled, 3 forfeited).
The conditions for the streamed matches included:
The 14 tracked matches (157 games) were as follows, listed in the order in which they were played. Matches 1 through 9 were in the double-elimination stage, and matches 10 through 14 in the single-elimination stage. The stream was down during the second game of Match 2 below, so the stats are for 156 games.
Wednesday, Sept. 20, 2023
Thursday, Sept. 21
Friday, Sept. 22
Saturday, Sept. 23
Overall results
Here's a breakdown of the 156 games (for match winners and losers combined).
Break-and-run games -- The 27 break-and-run games represented 17% of all 156 games, 30% of the 89 games won by the breaker, and 31% of the 86 games in which the break was successful (made a ball and didn't foul).
The 27 break-and-run games consisted of 1 3-pack (by Gorst), 6 2-packs, and 12 singles. No one in these 14 matches broke and ran more than 3 games in a row.
One match contained 5 B&Rs, 3 matches had 4, 2 matches had 3, 1 match had 2, 2 matches had 1, and 5 matches had no B&Rs.
10-Balls on the break -- 4 (2.6% of the 156 breaks); they were spotted.
This was a 64-player event with 16 players seeded based on WPA rankings. The format was double-elimination down to 16 players (8 on the winners' side and 8 on the one-loss side). A random draw then matched one player from each side against each other, with single-elimination play from that point to the conclusion. In the double-elimination portion, each match was two races to 4. If the same player won both races, he won the match. If the two races to 4 were split, a shootout determined the winner. In the single-elimination portion, each match was the best two out of three races to 4, with a shootout determining the winner of the the third set (and, therefore, of the match) if that set was tied at hill/hill (3-3).
The 14 matches (156 games) I tracked were all of the matches streamed on feature Table 1, excluding matches from the women's event. Only 1 of these 14 matches (a double-elimination match) ended with a shootout, and only 1 of the single-elimination matches went to a third set (with no shootout). These 14 matches were 12.1% of the total of 116 matches played in the event (119 scheduled, 3 forfeited).
The conditions for the streamed matches included:
- Predator Apex 9-foot table with 4¼" corner pockets;
- Predator Arcadia Reserve Tournament Blue cloth;
- Predator Arcos II balls, including a black-triangles cue ball;
- Predator Arena lights;
- referee racks using a Predator Aerorack triangle rack, with the 1-ball on the spot (2-ball and 3-ball need not be on the back corners);
- winner breaks from anywhere behind the head string;
- call shots (but not safes), with the opponent having a choice of shooting or passing it back after a ball is pocketed illegally;
- early combinations or caroms on the 10-ball, if called, are game winners;
- a 10-ball made in any pocket on a break is spotted (not a game win);
- jump cues allowed;
- foul on all balls;
- 3-foul rule in effect (none occurred);
- 30-second shot clock (60 seconds after the break and after a push out) with one 30-second extension allowed per player per game; and
- lag for opening break.
The 14 tracked matches (157 games) were as follows, listed in the order in which they were played. Matches 1 through 9 were in the double-elimination stage, and matches 10 through 14 in the single-elimination stage. The stream was down during the second game of Match 2 below, so the stats are for 156 games.
Wednesday, Sept. 20, 2023
1. Max Lechner defeated Roberto Gomez 4-2, 4-3
2. Bader Alawadhi d. Jani Uski 4-2, 4-0
3. Fedor Gorst d. Michal Olech 4-2, 4-0
4. Duong Quoc Hoang d. Jeremy Seaman 4-2, 4-2
5. Vitaliy Patsura d. Alex Kazakis 0-4, 4-3, shootout
Thursday, Sept. 21
6. Gerson Martinez Boza d. Jani Siekkinen 4-1, 4-1
7. Gomez d. Kazakis 4-0, 4-3
8. Tyler Styer d. Aloysius Yapp 4-1, 4-2
Friday, Sept. 22
9. Wojciech Szewczyk d. Duong 4-0, 4-0
10. Gorst d. Lechner 4-2, 4-2 (Last 16)
Saturday, Sept. 23
11. Gorst d. Joven Bustamante 4-2, 4-1 (Quarterfinal)
12. Wiktor Zielinski d. Mieszko Fortunski 4-0, 4-2 (Semifinal)
13. Yapp d. Gorst 0-4, 4-3, 4-1 (Semifinal)
14. Zielinski d. Yapp 4-2, 4-2 (Final)
Overall results
Successful breaks (made at least one ball and did not foul):
Match winners -- 52% (49 of 95)
Match losers -- 61% (37 of 61)
Total -- 55% (86 of 156)
Breaker won the game:
Match winners -- 72% (68 of 95)
Match losers -- 34% (21 of 61)
Total -- 57% (89 of 156)
Break-and-run games on all breaks:
Match winners -- 18% (17 of 95)
Match losers -- 16% (10 of 61)
Total -- 17% (27 of 156)
Break-and-run games on successful breaks (made at least one ball and did not foul):
Match winners -- 35% (17 of 49)
Match losers -- 27% (10 of 37)
Total -- 31% (27 of 86)
Here's a breakdown of the 156 games (for match winners and losers combined).
Breaker made at least one ball and did not foul:
Breaker won the game: 53 (34% of the 156 games)
Breaker lost the game: 33 (21%)
Breaker fouled on the break:
Breaker won the game: 3 (2%)
Breaker lost the game: 2 (1%)
Breaker broke dry (without fouling):
Breaker won the game: 33 (21%)
Breaker lost the game: 32 (21%)
Therefore, whereas the breaker won 57% (89 of 156) of all games,
He won 62% (53 of 86) of the games in which the break was successful (made at least one ball and did not foul).
He won 51% (36 of 70) of the games in which the break was unsuccessful (fouled or dry).
Break-and-run games -- The 27 break-and-run games represented 17% of all 156 games, 30% of the 89 games won by the breaker, and 31% of the 86 games in which the break was successful (made a ball and didn't foul).
The 27 break-and-run games consisted of 1 3-pack (by Gorst), 6 2-packs, and 12 singles. No one in these 14 matches broke and ran more than 3 games in a row.
One match contained 5 B&Rs, 3 matches had 4, 2 matches had 3, 1 match had 2, 2 matches had 1, and 5 matches had no B&Rs.
10-Balls on the break -- 4 (2.6% of the 156 breaks); they were spotted.
