Break Stats -- 2025 Ultimate Pool USA Boston Shootout (8-Ball), June 2025

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Here are some aggregate break statistics from the Ultimate Pool USA Boston Shootout (8-Ball), played June 19-20, 2025 at the Courtside Bar & Grill in Pembroke, MA. Streaming was free on YouTube. Craig Waddingham won the event, defeating Justin Bergman in the final match.

This was a 24-player invitational, single-elimination event. Eight seeded players received byes into the second round, played on Friday. The other 16 played in the first round on Thursday evening. All races were to 6 unless cut short by the match clock (see below). The primary commentator was Steven Wyatt; other commentators included Tony Holgate, Eric Charlton, Simon Webb, Coby Jaap, Del Sim, and Sean Santoro. The primary referees were Richard Rhodes and Darryl Hibberd.

The conditions for this event included:
• Brunswick 7-foot table with quite generous pockets;​
• CPBA cloth (gray);​
• Aramith balls with a red-dots cue ball;​
• referee racks using a Black Edition Smart Rack (aluminum), with the 8-ball on the spot;​
• alternate breaks from anywhere behind the head string;​
• table open after the break, but "dirty" (mixed-suit) combinations not allowed on the first shot;​
• ball in hand behind the head string after a pocket scratch on the break, but incoming player can shoot in any direction;​
• ball in hand anywhere on the table after the cue ball is sent off the table on the break;​
• an 8-ball made on the break, with no foul, wins the game;​
• an 8-ball made on a fouled break is loss of game;​
• no call shots;​
• intentional fouls not allowed (loss of game);​
• no jump shots allowed with any cue;​
• foul on all balls;​
• a match clock of 30 minutes of playing time (excludes racking);​
• a shot clock of 30-seconds during the first 20 minutes on the match clock and 15 seconds thereafter, with one 15-second extension allowed per player per game;​
• if the shot clock runs out, the player ahead in completed games wins the match. If the score is tied in completed games, they play a speed-pool shootout. Each player breaks 6 balls that are racked in a triangle, and then pockets all 6 balls. The player who does this in the shorter elapsed time wins the match.​
• lag for opening break and for choice of who goes first in a shootout.​

The stats are for all 23 matches (195 games) played in the event. The 6 games that were halted when the match clock expired are not included. In the order played, the matches were:

Thurs. June 19 -- First Round
1. Tom Jones defeated Cody Myers 5-3 (match clock expired)​
2. Coby Jaap d. Shane Petrick 3-3 + shootout after match clock expired​
3. Kevin Guimond d. Ricky Evans 4-4 + shootout after match clock expired​
4. Del Sim d. Ashley Benoit 6-3​
5. Lukas Fracasso-Verner d. Tina Larson 6-1​
6. Chase Stumfoll d. Pete Genovese 6-0​
7. Eric Charlton d. Declan Brennan 6-4​
8. Craig Waddingham d. Damian Pongpanik 5-5 + shootout after match clock expired​

Fri. June 20 -- Last 16
9. Shane Van Boening d. Tom Jones 6-3​
10. Johnny Archer d. Jaap 5-4 (match clock expired)​
11. Guimond d. Mike Dechaine 6-1​
12. Justin Bergman d. Sim 6-4​
13. Joe Prince d. Fracasso-Verner 4-4 + shootout after match clock expired​
14. Tom Cousins d. Stumfoll 6-1​
15. Charlton d. David Matlock 6-1​
16. Waddingham d. Skyler Woodward 6-5​

Fri. June 20
17. Van Boening d. Archer 6-5 (Quarterfinal)​
18. Bergman d. Guimond 6-1 (Quarterfinal)​
19. Prince d. Cousins 6-4 (Quarterfinal)​
20. Waddingham d. Charlton 6-4 (Quarterfinal)​
21. Bergman d. Van Boening 6-5 (Semifinal)​
22. Waddingham d. Prince 6-1 (Semifinal)​
23. Waddingham d. Bergman 6-1 (Final)​

Overall results

Successful breaks (made at least one ball and did not foul):
Match winners -- 71% (69 of 97)​
Match losers -- 61% (60 of 98)​
Total -- 66% (129 of 195)
Breaker won the game:
Match winners -- 80% (78 of 97)​
Match losers -- 49% (48 of 98)​
Total -- 65% (126 of 195)
Break-and-run games on all breaks:
Match winners -- 52% (50 of 97)​
Match losers -- 36% (35 of 98)​
Total -- 44% (85 of 195)
Break-and-run games on successful breaks (made at least one ball and did not foul):
Match winners -- 72% (50 of 69)​
Match losers -- 58% (35 of 60)​
Total -- 66% (85 of 129)

Here's a breakdown of the 195 games (for match winners and losers combined).

Breaker made at least one ball and did not foul:​
Breaker won the game: 98 (50% of the 195 games)​
Breaker lost the game: 31 (16%)​
Breaker fouled on the break:​
Breaker won the game: 10 (5%)​
Breaker lost the game: 20 (10%)​
Breaker broke dry (without fouling):​
Breaker won the game: 18 (9%)​
Breaker lost the game: 18 (9%)​
Therefore, whereas the breaker won 65% (126 of 195) of all games,​
He won 76% (98 of 129) of the games in which the break was successful (made at least one ball and did not foul).​
He won 42% (28 of 66) of the games in which the break was unsuccessful (fouled or dry).​

Break-and-run games -- The 85 break-and-run games represented 44% of all 195 games, 67% of the 126 games won by the breaker, and 66% of the 129 games in which the break was successful (made a ball and didn't foul).

With alternating breaks, B&R "packages" of the normal type are not possible. But we can still look at the breaks of a given player and see how many he ran on his own successive breaks, and we can call these "alternate-break packages." The 85 break-and-run games consisted of 1 alternate-break 4-pack (by Guimond), 7 alternate-break 3-packs (two by Waddingham and one each by Fracasso-Verner, Charlton, Cousins, Archer, and Bergman), 15 alternate-break 2-packs, and 30 singles.

8-balls on the break -- The 85 break-and-run games included six 8-balls on the break (3.1% of all 195 breaks). Five of the six were game wins and one, on a fouled break, was a game loss.
 
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Miscellany from the data for the 2025 Ultimate Pool USA Boston Shootout (8-Ball)

The most balls made on a single break was 5, done four times (twice by Cousins and once each by Charlton and Van Boening), all in B&R wins. Four balls were made on the break 5 times -- 4 B&R wins and 1 loss.

The average number of balls made on the break was 1.4 (this includes dry and fouled breaks). On successful breaks (made at least one ball and did not foul), the average was 1.8, and the distribution was 47% 1 ball, 36% 2 balls, 10% 3 balls, and 7% 4 or 5 balls.

Number of innings:
• 74% (144 of 195) of the games ended in one inning – 85 games on the breaker's first inning (B&Rs) and 59 games on the non-breaker's first inning.​
• 19% (38 of 195) of the games ended in the second inning.​
• 7% (13 of 195) of the games went beyond the non-breaker's second visit to the table. The game with the most visits to the table ended on the non-breaker's 5th visit.​

61% (119 of 195) of the games were run out by the player who was at the table following the break. These run-outs were:
• By the breaker after successful breaks (B&R games) – 66% (85 of 129)​
• By the non-breaker after fouls on the break – 63% (19 of 30)​
• By the non-breaker after dry breaks – 42% (15 of 36)​

The player who made the first ball after the break:
• Won the game in that same inning 63% of the time (119 of 189)​
• Won the game in a later inning 8% of the time (16 of 189)​
• Lost the game 29% of the time (54 of 189)​
[Note -- total games used here are 189 rather than 195 to eliminate the 6 games in which no ball was made after the break.]​

Breaking fouls averaged 1 for every 6.5 games, other fouls 1 for every 9.3 games, and missed shots about 1 for every 2.7 games.

One or more safeties were played in about 8% of all games and in about 15% of games that were not B&Rs.
 
Nice! This is the first time I've seen the complete rules anywhere. Thanks, ha ha.

Do you by chance have any 8 ball pro-tournament data played on a 9' GC, which would have similar pockets to this table?
 
Nice! This is the first time I've seen the complete rules anywhere. Thanks, ha ha.

Do you by chance have any 8 ball pro-tournament data played on a 9' GC, which would have similar pockets to this table?
No, I don't have anything comparable on a GC 9-footer. The streamed matches for Appleton's first 8-Ball event in 2017 were played on a GC 9-footer with 4¼" corners. But Appleton's rules were way different from those used in the Boston Shootout (e.g., you had to break from outside a 2-diamonds wide central box, you had to hit the head ball first, it was take what you make more of rather than an open table, it was call shot, etc.). And I don't know the pocket size of the GC 7-footer used in the Boston event. It looked LARGE to me, but all I heard them say was that it wasn't anything like 4".

And as for the Ultimate Pool USA rules, what I posted above is what I gathered from watching a couple of their Shootouts. Apparently their open tournaments have a few differences.
 
AtLarge, you are so damn efficient with these stats, that here in this thread is the first place I even saw who won this event!!

Thank you again!
 
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