Break Stats -- Asian Culture Day Pro 10-Ball (Men's and Women's Events), May 2018

[AtLarge]

Here are some aggregate break statistics from the 2018 Asian Culture Day Pro 10-Ball events (separate men's and women's events) played May 16-19, 2018 at The Orleans Hotel & Casino in Las Vegas. These were double-elimination events with 37 players in the men's event and 23 players in the women's event. Pay-per-view streaming was provided by PoolActionTV. The event winners were James Aranas (from the losers' side) and Kelly Fisher (undefeated).

Conditions -- The conditions for this event included:

- Diamond 9-foot table with standard pro-cut pockets and blue Simonis 860 cloth;​

- Aramith Tournament balls with the measles cue ball;​

- Magic Rack;​

- rack your own (1-ball on the spot, 2-ball and 3-ball on the back corners);​

- alternate breaks from anywhere behind the head string;​

- jump cues allowed;​

- cue-ball fouls only;​

- no shot clock;​

- call shots (but not safes);​

- spot any 10-ball made on the break;​

- early combos or caroms on the 10-ball allowed.​

Eight men's matches and 6 women's matches were shown on the stream. One streamed women's match (Ouschan vs. McManus) was played prior to the originally announced starting time for the day and I missed it. So the statistics are based on the following 13 matches (133 games for the men and 74 games for the women), listed in the order in which they were played.

Men's Matches

1. Max Eberle defeated Donny Mills 9-5
2. James Aranas d. Tony Chohan 9-2
3. Efren Reyes d. Billy Thorpe 9-5
4. Aranas d. Jun-Ho Lee 9-4
5. Chris Melling d. Roberto Gomez 9-7
6. Melling d. Reyes 9-6
7. Melling d. Dennis Orcollo 9-6 (hotseat match)
8. Aranas d. Melling 11-7 and 11-6 (Finals)​

Women's Matches

1. Allison Fisher d. Siming Chen 9-8
2. Ga-Young Kim d. Vivian Villarreal 9-3
3. Chieh-Yu (Rita) Chou d. Loree Jon Hasson 9-3
4. Kelley Fisher d. Kim 9-7 (hotseat match)
5. K. Fisher d. Chen 9-8 (Finals)​

Overall results

■ Successful breaks (made at least one ball and did not foul)
Men -- 76% (51 of 67) for match winners, 58% (38 of 66) for match losers, and 67% (89 of 133) in total
Women -- 49% (18 of 37) for match winners, 76% (28 of 37) for match losers, and 62% (46 of 74) in total

■ Breaker won the game
Men -- 72% (48 of 67) for match winners, 44% (29 of 66) for match losers, and 58% (77 of 133) in total
Women -- 70% (26 of 37) for match winners, 49% (18 of 37) for match losers, and 59% (44 of 74) in total

■ Break-and-run games
Men -- 31% (21 of 67) for match winners, 14% (9 of 66) for match losers, and 23% (30 of 133) in total
Women -- 16% (6 of 37) for match winners, 27% (10 of 37) for match losers, and 22% (16 of 74) in total​

Here's a breakdown of the games (for match winners and losers combined).

Breaker made at least one ball and did not foul:​

Breaker won the game: Men -- 53 (40% of the 133 games); Women -- 29 (39% of the 74 games)​

Breaker lost the game: Men -- 36 (27%); Women -- 17 (23%)​

​

Breaker fouled on the break:​

Breaker won the game: Men -- 4 (3%); Women -- 3 (4%)​

Breaker lost the game: Men -- 6 (5%); Women -- 2 (3%)​

​

Breaker broke dry (without fouling):​

Breaker won the game: Men -- 20 (15%); Women -- 12 (16%)​

Breaker lost the game: Men -- 14 (11%); Women -- 11 (15%)​

​

Therefore, whereas the overall breaker-won-game percentages were 58% (77 of 133) for the men and 59% (44 of 74) for the women, here are the breaker-won-game percentages by breaking result:​

On successful breaks: Men -- 60% (53 of 89); Women -- 63% (29 of 46)​

On fouled breaks: Men -- 40% (4 of 10); Women -- 60% (3 of 5)​

On dry breaks with no foul: Men 59% (20 of 34); Women 52% (12 of 23)​

On all unsuccessful breaks (fouled or dry): Men -- 55% (24 of 44); Women -- 54% (15 of 28)​

Break-and-run games

As a percent of all games: Men -- 23% (30 of 133); Women -- 22% (16 of 74)​

As a percent of games won by the breaker: Men -- 39% (30 of 77); Women -- 36% (16 of 44)​

As a percent of games in which the break was successful: Men -- 34% (30 of 89); Women -- 35% (16 of 46)​

With alternating breaks, B&R "packages" of the normal type are not possible. But we can still look at the breaks of a given player and see how many he or she ran on his or her own successive breaks, and we can call these "alternate-break packages."

Men -- The 30 break-and-run games consisted of 1 alternate-break 3-pack (by James Aranas), 4 alternate-break 2-packs, and 19 singles.​

Women -- The 16 break-and-run games consisted of 1 alternate-break 3-pack (by Ga-Young Kim), 1 alternate-break 2-pack, and 11 singles.​

10-Balls on the break -- One 10-ball was made on the break in the streamed men's matches (0.8% of all breaks), and it was spotted. No 10-balls were made on the break in the streamed women's matches I watched.

 

[AtLarge]

Miscellany from the data for the 2018 Asian Culture Day Pro 10-Ball Events:
[This relates only to the streamed matches I watched, not to all matches in the event.]

■ Most balls made on a single break

Men -- 5, done just once (by Melling); he had no shot after the break and lost the game​

Women -- 3, done 4 times​

■ Average number of balls made on the break

Men -- 1.1 on all breaks, 1.6 on successful breaks (made at least one ball and did not foul)​

Women -- 1.0 on all breaks, 1.5 on successful breaks​

■ Games that ended in one inning

Men -- 40% (53 of 133) -- 23% (30) won by the breaker (B&R) and 17% (23) won by the non-breaker​

Women -- 35% (26 of 74) -- 22% (16) won by the breaker (B&R) and 14% (10) won by the non-breaker​

■ Games that lasted 4 or more innings

Men -- 17% (22 of 133)​

Women -- 16% (12 of 74)​

■ Runouts by the player who was at the table following the break

Men -- 30% (40 of 133) = 34% (30 of 89) by the breaker after successful breaks (B&R games), 50% (5 of 10) by the non-breaker after fouls on the break, and 15% (5 of 34) by the non-breaker after dry breaks​

Women -- 30% (22 of 74) = 35% (16 of 46) by the breaker after successful breaks (B&R games), 40% (2 of 5) by the non-breaker after fouls on the break, and 17% (4 of 23) by the non-breaker after dry breaks​

■ The player who made the first ball after the break won the game ...

Men -- 71% of the time (94 of 133) = in that same inning 61% of the time (81 of 133) and in a later inning 10% of the time (13 of 133)​

Women -- 66% of the time (49 of 74) = in that same inning 46% of the time (34 of 74) and in a later inning 20% of the time (15 of 74)​

■ Average match score in the races to 9

Men -- 9-5.0. No matches went to hill/hill; the most lopsided was 9-2.​

Women -- 9-5.8. Two matches went to hill/hill; two finished at 9-3.​

■ Average elapsed time for the races to 9 (measured from the lag until the winning ball was made (or conceded), so it includes time for racking and commercial breaks)

Men -- 93 minutes​

Women -- 109 minutes​

■ Average minutes per games for all races

Men -- 6.5 minutes​

Women -- 7.4 minutes​

■ Matches longest in elapsed time and highest in average minutes per game

Men -- 111 minutes for Melling d. Gomez 9-7; 7.6 min./game for Aranas d. Jun-Ho Lee 9-4​

Women -- 130 minutes for both A. Fisher d. Chen 9-8 and K. Fisher d. Chen 9-8; 8.2 min./game for Chou d. Hasson 9-3​

■ Matches shortest in elapsed time and lowest in average minutes per game

Men -- 61 minutes for Aranas d. Chohan 9-2; 5.5 min./game for that same match​

Women -- 60 minutes for Kim d. Villarreal 9-3; 5.0 min./game for that same match​

■ Frequency of fouls and misses

Men -- Breaking fouls averaged 1 for every 13.3 games, other fouls 1 for every 4.4 games, and missed shots about 1 for every 1.8 games.​

Women -- Breaking fouls averaged 1 for every 14.8 games, other fouls 1 for every 3.1 games, and missed shots about 1 for every 1.7 games.​

■ Approx. percentage of games involving one or more safeties

Men -- 47%​

Women -- 51%​

 

[pt109]

AtLarge...am I reading this right?

Women...the losers had more successful breaks...76%....49% winners

Losers had more break and run...27%....16% winners

Or is there transposing involved?

 

[terryhanna]

Miscellany from the data for the 2018 Asian Culture Day Pro 10-Ball Events:
[This relates only to the streamed matches I watched, not to all matches in the event.]

■ Most balls made on a single break
• Men -- 5, done just once (by Melling); he had no shot after the break and lost the game
• Women -- 3, done 4 times

■ Average number of balls made on the break
• Men -- 1.1 on all breaks, 1.6 on successful breaks (made at least one ball and did not foul)
• Women -- 1.0 on all breaks, 1.5 on successful breaks

■ Games that ended in one inning
• Men -- 40% (53 of 133) -- 23% (30) won by the breaker (B&R) and 17% (23) won by the non-breaker
• Women -- 35% (26 of 74) -- 22% (16) won by the breaker (B&R) and 14% (10) won by the non-breaker

■ Games that lasted 4 or more innings
• Men -- 17% (22 of 133)
• Women -- 16% (12 of 74)

■ Runouts by the player who was at the table following the break
• Men -- 30% (40 of 133) = 34% (30 of 89) by the breaker after successful breaks (B&R games), 50% (5 of 10) by the non-breaker after fouls on the break, and 15% (5 of 34) by the non-breaker after dry breaks
• Women -- 30% (22 of 74) = 35% (16 of 46) by the breaker after successful breaks (B&R games), 40% (2 of 5) by the non-breaker after fouls on the break, and 17% (4 of 23) by the non-breaker after dry breaks

■ The player who made the first ball after the break won the game ...
• Men -- 71% of the time (94 of 133) = in that same inning 61% of the time (81 of 133) and in a later inning 10% of the time (13 of 133)
• Women -- 66% of the time (49 of 74) = in that same inning 46% of the time (34 of 74) and in a later inning 20% of the time (15 of 74)

■ Average match score in the races to 9
• Men -- 9-5.0. No matches went to hill/hill; the most lopsided was 9-2.
• Women -- 9-5.8. Two matches went to hill/hill; two finished at 9-3.

■ Average elapsed time for the races to 9 (measured from the lag until the winning ball was made (or conceded), so it includes time for racking and commercial breaks)
• Men -- 93 minutes
• Women -- 109 minutes

■ Average minutes per games for all races
• Men -- 6.5 minutes
• Women -- 7.4 minutes

■ Matches longest in elapsed time and highest in average minutes per game
• Men -- 111 minutes for Melling d. Gomez 9-7; 7.6 min./game for Aranas d. Jun-Ho Lee 9-4
• Women -- 130 minutes for both A. Fisher d. Chen 9-8 and K. Fisher d. Chen 9-8; 8.2 min./game for Chou d. Hasson 9-3

■ Matches shortest in elapsed time and lowest in average minutes per game
• Men -- 61 minutes for Aranas d. Chohan 9-2; 5.5 min./game for that same match
• Women -- 60 minutes for Kim d. Villarreal 9-3; 5.0 min./game for that same match

■ Frequency of fouls and misses
• Men -- Breaking fouls averaged 1 for every 13.3 games, other fouls 1 for every 4.4 games, and missed shots about 1 for every 1.8 games.
• Women -- Breaking fouls averaged 1 for every 14.8 games, other fouls 1 for every 3.1 games, and missed shots about 1 for every 1.7 games.

■ Approx. percentage of games involving one or more safeties
• Men -- 47%
• Women -- 51%

Thanks for doing all these statistics.

You always do a great job!! :thumbup:

 

[AtLarge]

AtLarge...am I reading this right?

Women...the losers had more successful breaks...76%....49% winners

Losers had more break and run...27%....16% winners

Or is there transposing involved?

I wondered whether anyone would notice that oddity; thanks for reading closely.

I believe what I posted is correct. It's certainly not something we'd expect with a large number of games, but, with just 5 women's matches here, that's what happened. Siming Chen was the big culprit in that. She was successful on 15 of her 17 breaks in her two streamed matches, compared with 9 of 17 for her opponents, yet managed to lose both matches.

As for B&R's, the winner had more than the loser in just 1 of the 5 women's matches.

This is the first time I've been able to post results for both a men's event and a women's event played at the same time with all the same conditions (location, weather, equipment, rules). Despite the rather small number of games involved in these stats, it's interesting how close the overall results were between the men and women on many of the measures.

 

[terryhanna]

This is the first time I've been able to post results for both a men's event and a women's event played at the same time with all the same conditions (location, weather, equipment, rules). Despite the rather small number of games involved in these stats, it's interesting how close the overall results were between the men and women on many of the measures.

This is great, i would love to see more Top events with the Pro Men and Women at the same venue.

 

[dr_dave]

Thank you again for your hard work. Very interesting with the men/women comparisons.

Keep up the great work,
Dave

 

[hang-the-9]

Great stats and a good comparison between the women and men.

I found this stat interesting and noticed someone else did also, break and runs for women vs men were exactly reversed. More break and runs meant more wins for men, and more losers for women.

■ Break-and-run games
Men -- 31% (21 of 67) for match winners, 14% (9 of 66) for match losers, and 23% (30 of 133) in total
Women -- 16% (6 of 37) for match winners, 27% (10 of 37) for match losers, and 22% (16 of 74) in total

Wonder if that is normal for women vs men matches overall or just in this event.