Break Stats -- Southern Classic (Tunica) 9-Foot 9-Ball, June 2013

AtLarge

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Here are the break statistics from fifteen 9-ball matches streamed by Accu-Stats from the 2013 Southern Classic in Tunica, MS.

The conditions for this event included: Diamond 9-foot table with pro-cut pockets, Simonis cloth, Diamond wooden rack, winner breaks, rack your own, break from anywhere behind the line, no jump cues allowed, all slop counts (except 9 on the break in either foot-rail pocket), and a 40-second shot clock with one extension allowed per rack.

The 15 matches (207 games) were as follows:
L. V. Corteza defeated F. Bustamante 9-7​
R. Wiseman d. CJ Wiley 9-8 (but these stats exclude Games 1-4)​
W. Kiamco d. E. Reyes 9-2​
S. Van Boening d. J. Gray 9-4​
A. Pagulayan d. E. Reyes 9-4​
W. Can d. T. Stephenson 9-6​
J. Shaw d. S. Van Boening 9-7​
C. Biado d. N. Economopoulos 9-1​
N. Feijen d. A. Pagulayan 9-3​
N. Feijen d. W. Can 9-4​
P. Burford d. C. Biado 9-8​
L. V. Corteza d. W. Kiamco 9-7​
L. V. Corteza d. P. Burford 9-1​
L. V. Corteza d. D. Orcollo 9-7​
L. V. Corteza d. D. Orcollo 9-7​

Overall results -- The breaker made at least one ball (and did not foul) 76% of the time (157 of 207 games), won 58% of the games (120 of 207), and broke and ran 35% of the games (73 of 207).

Here's a little more detailed breakdown of the 207 games.

Breaker made at least one ball and did not foul:​
Breaker won the game: 100 (48% of the 207 games)​
Breaker lost the game: 57 (28%)​
Breaker fouled on the break:​
Breaker won the game: 1 (0%)​
Breaker lost the game: 7 (3%)​
Breaker broke dry (without fouling):​
Breaker won the game: 19 (9%)​
Breaker lost the game: 23 (11%)​
Therefore, whereas the breaker won 58% (120 of 207) of all games,​
He won 64% (100 of 157) of the games in which he made at least one ball on the break and did not foul.​
He won 13% (1 of 8) of the games in which he fouled on the break.​
He won 45% (19 of 42) of the games in which he broke dry but did not foul.​
He won 40% (20 of 50) of the games in which he either fouled on the break or broke dry without fouling.​

9-balls on the break: The 73 break-and-run games included three 9-balls on the break (1.4% of the 207 breaks) that counted as wins. The 9-ball was also made and had to be spotted one time.
 
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Here's a comparison of results from the 2013 Southern Classic.

Breaker made at least one ball on the break and did not foul:
10-foot 10-ball -- 56% (89 of 159)​
9-foot 9-ball -- 76% (157 of 207)​

Breaker won the game:
10-foot 10-ball -- 53% (85 of 159)​
9-foot 9-ball -- 58% (120 of 207)​

Break-and-run games:
10-foot 10-ball -- 19% (30 of 159)​
9-foot 9-ball -- 35% (73 of 207)​

Caveat -- The number of games represented here is still pretty small, so generalizing from these results might not be appropriate.
 
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And if we combine the results I've reported for the Southern Classic for both 2012 and 2013, we get this:

Breaker made at least one ball on the break and did not foul:
10-foot 10-ball -- 55% (169 of 309)​
9-foot 9-ball -- 78% (224 of 289)​

Breaker won the game:
10-foot 10-ball -- 53% (163 of 309)
9-foot 9-ball -- 57% (166 of 289)​

Break-and-run games:
10-foot 10-ball -- 14% (43 of 309)
9-foot 9-ball -- 34% (97 of 289)​
 
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