Break Stats -- The Beasley Open (9-Ball), November 2024

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Here are some aggregate break statistics from The Beasley Open, a World Nineball Tour ranking event, played November 7-10, 2024 at the Brass Tap & Billiards in Raleigh, North Carolina. Pay-per-view live streaming was provided by PoolActionTV. This was a 61-player event, with double elimination down to 16 players (8 on the winners' side and 8 on the one-loss side) and then single-elimination to the end. Alex Calderon won the tournament, defeating Nathan Childress in the final match.

For the matches I tracked, the commentators were Larry Schwartz, Ray Hansen, and Bernie Friend (for one match).

Conditions -- The conditions for the streamed matches I tracked included:
• Diamond 9-foot table (pocket size not stated while I was watching);​
• Simonis 860 Tournament Blue cloth;​
• Aramith Tournament balls with a red-spots cue ball;​
• Accu-Rack Diamond 9 racking template;​
• Rack your own, with the 9-ball on the foot spot. Apparently the 2-ball was supposed to be on one of the wings or in the back location (the WNT requirement now), but this was violated many times;​
• winner breaks from behind the head string in a box approximately 8" to either side of the long string;​
• no shot clock;​
• cue-ball fouls only;​
• 3-foul rule in effect (violation did not occur);​
• jump cues allowed;​
• all slop counts; and​
• lag for the break in each match.​

These stats are for all 7 matches (105 games) played on the feature table on the weekend. These 7 matches are listed here in the order in which they were played.

Saturday, November 9
1. Skyler Woodward defeated BJ Ussery 9-4 (Last 16)​
2. Aloysius Yapp d. Tyler Styer 9-6 (Last 16)​
3. Alex Calderon d. Georgi Georgiev 9-5 (Quarterfinal)​
4. Nathan Childress d. Yapp 9-2 (Quarterfinal)​

Sunday, November 10
5. Childress d. Johnny Archer 9-4 (Semifinal)​
6. Calderon d. Woodward 9-8 (Semifinal)​
7. Calderon d. Childress 13-9 (Final)​

Overall results
Successful breaks (made at least one ball and did not foul):
Match winners -- 74% (48 of 65)​
Match losers -- 75% (30 of 40)​
Total -- 74% (78 of 105)
Breaker won the game:
Match winners -- 63% (41 of 65)​
Match losers -- 35% (14 of 40)​
Total -- 52% (55 of 105)
Break-and-run games on all breaks:
Match winners -- 26% (17 of 65)​
Match losers -- 10% (4 of 40)​
Total -- 20% (21 of 105)
Break-and-run games on successful breaks (made at least one ball and did not foul):
Match winners -- 35% (17 of 48)​
Match losers -- 13% (4 of 30)​
Total -- 27% (21 of 78)

Here's a breakdown of the 105 games (for match winners and losers combined).

Breaker made at least one ball and did not foul:​
Breaker won the game: 44 (42% of the 105 games)​
Breaker lost the game: 34 (32%)​
Breaker fouled on the break:​
Breaker won the game: 0 (0%)​
Breaker lost the game: 4 (4%)​
Breaker broke dry (without fouling):​
Breaker won the game: 11 (10%)​
Breaker lost the game: 12 (11%)​
Therefore, whereas the breaker won 52% (55 of 105) of all games,​
He won 56% (44 of 78) of the games in which the break was successful (made at least one ball and did not foul).​
He won 41% (11 of 27) of the games in which the break was unsuccessful (fouled or dry).​

Break-and-run games -- The 21 break-and-run games represented 20% of all 105 games, 38% of the 55 games won by the breaker, and 27% of the 78 games in which the break was successful (made a ball and didn't foul).

The 21 break-and-run games consisted of four 2-packs (one by Woodward, one by Yapp, and two by Calderon), and 13 singles. No one in these 7 matches broke and ran more than 2 games in a row.

9-Balls on the break -- The 21 break-and-run games included one 9-ball on the break (1.0% of all breaks).
 
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Miscellany from the data for The Beasley Open (9-Ball, 2024):
[This relates only to the 7 streamed matches I tracked, not to all matches in the event.]

• The most balls made on a single break was 3, done 4 times. The breaker lost 3 of those 4 games.

• The average number of balls made on the break was 1.1 (this includes dry and fouled breaks). On successful breaks (made at least one ball and did not foul), the average was 1.5, and the distribution was 59% 1 ball, 36% 2 balls, and 5% 3 balls.

• Number of innings:
42% (44 of 105) of the games ended in one inning – 21 games on the breaker's first inning (B&Rs) and 23 games on the non-breaker's first inning.​
28% (29 of 105) of the games ended in the second inning.​
30% (32 of 105) of the games went beyond the non-breaker's second visit to the table. The game with the most visits to the table ended on the non-breaker's 8th visit.​

• 29% ( 30 of 105) of the games were run out by the player who was at the table following the break. These run-outs were:
- By the breaker after successful breaks (B&R games) – 27% (21 of 78)​
- By the non-breaker after fouls on the break – 75% (3 of 4)​
- By the non-breaker after dry breaks – 26% (6 of 23)​

• The player who made the first ball after the break:
- Won the game in that same inning 58% of the time (60 of 104)​
- Won the game in a later inning 16% of the time (17 of 104)​
- Lost the game 26% of the time (27 of 104)​
[Note -- total games used here are 104 rather than 105 to eliminate the 1 game in which no ball was made after the break.]​

• The average minutes per game for all 7 matches was 7.3. Excluding the slowest paced match, the average for the other 6 matches was 6.8. The elapsed time was measured from the lag until the winning ball was made, so it includes time for racking and timeouts.

• The match that was highest in average minutes per game, at 10.5, was Calderon d. Georgiev 9-5. The match lowest in average minutes per game, at 6.2, was the Final, Calderon d. Childress 13-9.

• Breaking fouls averaged 1 for every 15.0 games, other fouls 1 for every 3.8 games, and missed shots about 1 for every 1.8 games.

• One or more safeties were played in about 51% of all games and in 64% of games that were not B&Rs.
 
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So, am I confused or did we have four significant events to watch this weekend?

(And that's not counting the pro snooker event in China.)
 
So, am I confused or did we have four significant events to watch this weekend?

(And that's not counting the pro snooker event in China.)
Hmm, not sure which 4 you mean. Are you counting the mixed doubles event in Puerto Rico, which started Sunday? The Dutch event?

The Mint Billiards Grand Opening event wasn't too significant (except for the room, of course). The pro event there had only 12 entrants, with only SVB and Dominguez with FargoRates above 750, and another 4 or so in the lower 700s. But it did produce a good Final match, going to hill/hill in a race to 15.

The Beasley Open had about a dozen players at 750+, and was a WNT ranking event. Interestingly, the top two finishers are both below 750. But I don't think Nathan Childress (2nd place) will be there for long (and probably not Calderon either, if he plays a lot of tournaments). Childress was quite impressive, playing, I'd guess, way above his current FargoRate. His wins included 8-3 over Georgiev, 9-2 over Yapp, and 9-4 over Archer (and an 8-3 win over tournament winner Calderon in the DE stage). He just turned 22 last month. To me, his potential looks terrific.
 
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Hmm, not sure which 4 you mean. Are you counting the mixed doubles event in Puerto Rico, which started Sunday? The Dutch event?
...
I was thinking streamed events with well-known players, including the three WNT ranking events. Mint is in there for me due to the finals. I had overlooked the Puerto Rico event.
 
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