Chinese Pool Dominance...It's All In The Math!!!

HawaiianEye

AzB Silver Member
Silver Member
There have been quite a few discussions on here about how pool players from the Philippines and China rank consistently in the Top 10 worldwide, in men and women's categories.

Both of those countries remind me of pool being played as it was in the U.S. a couple decades ago, with the exception that China has a population of 1.3 billion compared to the U.S. population of roughly 311 million. Pool has been on the decline in the U.S. for many years, while it has rapidly increased in popularity in China and other Asian countries that are a little less developed than the U.S.

Kids in America are more interested in video games, smart phones, and girlfriends than they are in pool. In China (and Taiwan), the government promotes sports (including pool) to show that they are on par with players of every nationality. Players who win events not only win money from the tournaments, they get rewards from their governments.

If you do the math, it isn’t hard to realize that in a dozen years the Chinese will dominate the pool world. It is based upon numbers only. For every 10 good players we have, they have a thousand. Break it down further and for every pro-level player we have, they will have hundreds. They will take over pool in the same way they have taken over gymnastics, diving, etc…through government-sponsored training camps and sheer numbers. When you train players from an early age, like Tiger Woods was in golf, and you provide professional coaches, you have to expect that they will come up the ranks faster and play better than players who learned on their own and who don’t receive stipends and encouragement from the government.

Players in the Philippines aren’t as fortunate as the Chinese, but percentage-wise there are a lot more people playing pool, more often, than there are in the U.S. and they play with equipment that is way inferior to what more developed countries have. When you can run a table with a concrete bed, worn out cloth, in a pool hall with no air condition, using a crooked stick, then you have to expect them to play better than people who learn to play under perfect conditions.

Also, pool in those countries is very popular and they have lots of sponsors willing to put up money for events. In the U.S., you will get more people watching Beavis and Butthead reruns than you will get watching the U.S. Open. American pool has a long way to go if they are going to be able to produce players that will be capable of competing with the up-and-coming Chinese flood of world-class players.
 
Nice post, but, to me, it's an oversimplification.

I think a key factor omitted from consideration is the income attainable from pool relative to the average income in the country in which one lives. Average income is often measured by gross domestic product per capita.

For a full consideration of gross domestic product per capita as measured on 1/1/11, use the link: http://www.indexmundi.com/g/r.aspx?v=67

What you'll find is that the GDP per capita, in $$, is as follows:

United States $47,200
Mainland China $7,600
The Philippines $3,500

The fact is that, relative to others living in one's own country, a pro pool player clearing $15,000 net of expenses is doing extremely well if they are Filippino, quite well if they are Chinese, but quite poorly if they are American.

These numbers, at least in part, explain why pool is a more attractive career in Asia than in the United States, and this needs to be considered as one of the driving forces behind the current slump in American pool. There is simply less motivation to consider pool as a career if you are an American.

In short, the prospects for the re-emergence of America as the top pool playing nation are far bleaker than the original post suggests, for the simple reason that pool offers very poor income prospects relative to other possible ways of trying earn a living in the United States.
 
It IS all about the math....

Calculate what you win and then factor in the cost of traveling to one of these "world championships"...... When 98% of the field is not from the west you have a huge chance of looking like somebody...... Not so say their top players are not skilled just saying I have hard cash to bet against a Chinese player winning the US open or the DCC all around in the next few years.....................
 
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