Cardinal_Syn said:
Cardinal_Syn said:
Jude Rosenstock said:Don't get me wrong, this is an awefully entertaining shot but this has to be the most celebrated lucky-roll in pool history! I'd gladly gamble 3:1 with Efren all day on this shot!
Jude Rosenstock said:Don't get me wrong, this is an awefully entertaining shot but this has to be the most celebrated lucky-roll in pool history! I'd gladly gamble 3:1 with Efren all day on this shot!
Steve Lipsky said:Jude,
3:1??!! What do you put your chances of being hit by lightning tonight, like 30 or 40 to 1?![]()
For those who don't know, Jude once worked as an actuary, but had to quit. He was genuinely surprised whenever his clients survived a harrowing week of crossing roads and running with scissors. One of them actually went skiing, came home alive, and Jude forever hung up his odds-making hat at this truly improbable event.
All kidding aside, I of course agree with Jude. This is nothing more than a lucky roll.
- Steve
Jude Rosenstock said:Don't get me wrong, this is an awefully entertaining shot but this has to be the most celebrated lucky-roll in pool history! I'd gladly gamble 3:1 with Efren all day on this shot!
PlynSets said:If I can post a video of me making said shot I wonder what that would be worth? LOL... (Not counting how many tries it would take to get it.. most likely under 10)
DJ
pharaoh68 said:Myself and three friends had a long and heated dispute one night about the odds of making this shot. Here was how it went:
Friend #1: "Efren would make the shot 30 to 40 times out of a hundred!" (He was out of his mind!)
Friend #2: "I'd say 20 out of a hundred but not 1 out of 5!" (As strange as this sounds, I actually know what he means.)
Friend #3: "Maybe 10 or 15." (but he doesn't know much about pool.)
Me: "Maybe 5! 6 tops but no more! Its a luck shot. He played the hit and not the pocket and he just plain got lucky!!!"
Ironically, we all tried about fifteen times or so each. Only one of us hit it in the right sopt to make it stay on the rail ...but he didn't pocket the ball!
BOTTOM LINE: One of the greatest shots of all time, but lucky as hell!!!
Keep in mind, if it weren't for Efren's very unlucky roll pocketing the 8 on his safety shot, Earl should have been the one shooting that shot. Basically, Earl got a lucky roll...then Efren a got lucky roll, so it all cancelled out. Earl should have lost the rack either way.Rickw said:He definitely got a roll but he did have to shoot it didn't he? One important question to ask is, how many times have you seen Earl walk up to his opponent right after said opponent wins the match and he not only shakes his hand but he raises it for victory? I guess what I'm trying to say is that Earl has learned to respect Efrens whole game, not just the lucky rolls.
Jude Rosenstock said:Don't get me wrong, this is an awefully entertaining shot but this has to be the most celebrated lucky-roll in pool history! I'd gladly gamble 3:1 with Efren all day on this shot!
For a hill-hill match, I think it was.JLW said:I've got to confess, I've never understood the hype surrounding this shot. You hear so much about how this is the "greatest shot ever". Yes, it is a very, very good shot. But IMHO, no way is it the greatest shot ever. It's not even the greatest shot I've ever seen.
mapman72 said:I couldn't disagree with this statement more. The percentages of making the shot do not mean that this is a "lucky roll". Efren was given one opportunity to make this incredible shot, with the score tied at 12-12. He used his knowledge and skill to try a miraculous shot and he made the ball. How is that lucky? It doesn't matter if he shoots that shot a million more times and doesn't make it again, it only matters that at that particular moment in time, Efren hit the ball exactly perfect and that's what this game is about. For the % people out there, what making % is adequate for a shot to be considered skillfull and not lucky? I just don't understand this logic.
PlynSets said:Just watched it again, with the object ball off the rail an inch or two better make that 15 - 20 tries.. LOL
DJ
sjm said:There can be no denying that Efren's classic shot had a significant luck factor. He hit a good shot in the clutch and got a great result. And so it was with golf's three most improbable shots that led to major championships: 1) Larry Mize's chip at the 1987 Masters, 2) Shaun Micheel's iron shot on the 72nd hole that won the PGA, and 3) Tiger Woods' chip that turned the tide of the 2005 Masters. Was Jerry West's 50-foot heave in the 1973 NBA finals that forced overtime pure skill or was there a luck factor?
So many of sports' greatest acvhievements involved the luck factor, but the common ingredient in all these achievements is that a competitor did something very good when everything was riding on it.
It is the criticality of the moment that turns very good into great or legendary. Efren's shot came in the double hill rack of the final of a major tournament against a living legend.
When a sports fan speaks of the greatest shot or game or sports accomplishment they have witnessed, they usually speak of the moments that electrified them the most, the accomplishments that stirred their greatest emotions.
If a shot's greatness is measured in terms of the emotions it stirred, Efren's was, indeed, the greatest shot of the nine ball era.