Please read Part 1 first, if you want to play along:
Part 1 thread:
http://forums.azbilliards.com/showthread.php?t=411746
My analysis, whatever that is worth
, is below. I don't seem to be able to imbed uploaded photos into text, so all of the photos are at the end.
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Given the first photo, I saw the 7 as the only break ball as it sits, with the 14 being the only real ball that I could move into position without too much movement. So do you take the sure thing and stay with the 7, accepting a kind of crappy break shot, or do you risk developing the 14? I was on a nice little run in the 40's so I was torn between taking the easy route (the 7 as a break ball) or doing something else that could guarantee a better spread in the next rack.
I decided not to bump the 14 because even if I succeeded I could very easily have no shot on the key ball. I could go 5-7 bump the 14 (shot on the 15 available?) or I could go 5-15 bump the 14 (shot on the 7 not so likely).
So a third option came to mind. I thought I could play the 14-15 combination and possibly move the 14 behind the rack off the foot rail as a new break ball. I felt it was a free shot because if I hit a slight draw I was assured a shot on the 5 and the 7 would still be there as my break ball if the 14 didn't become a good break ball. I'd just have to get from wherever the 14 rested to the 7. The only thing that could go wrong is missing the combination. The second photo is the result.
Second photo: I got a little lucky! The combination shot required a full stretch with looooong bridge from the head of the table. In needing a little draw, I hit the shot harder than I realized. The 14 actually grazed the 7 and went up table. The luck is that it landed perfectly as a side pocket break shot.
The next problem was how to put the cue ball in the rack area so that I could have ball in hand. I really wanted to slice the 7 in for a stop shot on the 5, but I just couldn't hold the speed without tons of inside, to the point of risking a miss. I shot the 5 and left myself a draw shot on the 7. Luckily I made it into the rack with the cue ball. Final result is in the third photo! Not the best spot for the cue ball, but I was able to pocket the 11 and keep the run going.
Anyway, this 2 part post was all about the first photo, not about what I ended up doing, so whether I was successful or not isn't so important.
Thanks for participating!
Part 1 thread:
http://forums.azbilliards.com/showthread.php?t=411746
My analysis, whatever that is worth

.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
Given the first photo, I saw the 7 as the only break ball as it sits, with the 14 being the only real ball that I could move into position without too much movement. So do you take the sure thing and stay with the 7, accepting a kind of crappy break shot, or do you risk developing the 14? I was on a nice little run in the 40's so I was torn between taking the easy route (the 7 as a break ball) or doing something else that could guarantee a better spread in the next rack.
I decided not to bump the 14 because even if I succeeded I could very easily have no shot on the key ball. I could go 5-7 bump the 14 (shot on the 15 available?) or I could go 5-15 bump the 14 (shot on the 7 not so likely).
So a third option came to mind. I thought I could play the 14-15 combination and possibly move the 14 behind the rack off the foot rail as a new break ball. I felt it was a free shot because if I hit a slight draw I was assured a shot on the 5 and the 7 would still be there as my break ball if the 14 didn't become a good break ball. I'd just have to get from wherever the 14 rested to the 7. The only thing that could go wrong is missing the combination. The second photo is the result.
Second photo: I got a little lucky! The combination shot required a full stretch with looooong bridge from the head of the table. In needing a little draw, I hit the shot harder than I realized. The 14 actually grazed the 7 and went up table. The luck is that it landed perfectly as a side pocket break shot.
The next problem was how to put the cue ball in the rack area so that I could have ball in hand. I really wanted to slice the 7 in for a stop shot on the 5, but I just couldn't hold the speed without tons of inside, to the point of risking a miss. I shot the 5 and left myself a draw shot on the 7. Luckily I made it into the rack with the cue ball. Final result is in the third photo! Not the best spot for the cue ball, but I was able to pocket the 11 and keep the run going.
Anyway, this 2 part post was all about the first photo, not about what I ended up doing, so whether I was successful or not isn't so important.
Thanks for participating!