Quote:
Originally Posted by Joe Barringer View Post
Tom,
I already said all that in one sentence: "More relevant though is perhaps a law banning interstate commerce of ivory products between states. So, if the ivory is in Florida, then it can only be bought and sold within the state of Florida. I wouldn't put that law past the Feds".
Um, actually Joe, that's two sentences. However, I completely acknowledge you are both succinct and thorough in describing the problem(s). Possible solutions... not so much.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Joe Barringer View Post
You state that "some of us" and "our goal" - are you working on this with other like minded individuals or is there a mouse in your pocket?
Yes, there are a number of us working in concert on a solution to this looming threat - and no, I do not have a mouse in my pocket.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Joe Barringer View Post
Bottom-line: if they enact the law, ivory is done for. In fact, ivory is done for period - like it or not. I'm one of the strongest proponents for the use of ivory and for obvious reasons but the end is near my friends. The marketplace is smaller and smaller each year as new generations enter the market. My generation will still use it but younger generations want no part of it, hunting or "dead animal parts" regardless how well documented and pre ban the stuff is. That's the bottom-line here folks.
I appreciate that you believe you have a direct line on foreseeing the future, but on this particular issue, Joe, I don't think you would know the "bottom line" if it bit you on the, um... bottom.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Joe Barringer View Post
I agree that they shouldn't be able to enact "constructive seizure" or "constructive taking". However, talk to some people who have had eminent domain enacted upon their land and let me know how they feel. I am well aware that this is not an eminent domain issue but am just running the comparison that the government can and will do anything they want.
I'm sure the Supreme Court will be relieved to know you agree with the decision(s) they have consistently upheld in hundreds of cases since the late 1880's. And, actually, laws governing eminent domain - primarily the Fifth Amendment - may play a very big role in this effort.
As for the position that the [federal] government will "do anything they want", the many hundreds of Supreme Court rulings that went against the government since before 1800 to date suggest this is hardly true.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Joe Barringer View Post
The real question is.....
who will be here to buy all these ivory products in 20 or 40 years and will they even want it and be willing to pay a premium for it? I won't be here but younger generations will and younger generations for the most part don't want anything to do with dead animal parts.
Maybe, but if you're right there will have been a unprecedented change in human nature that I personally doubt will occur.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Joe Barringer View Post
In the famous words of whomever said it first...
The handwriting is on the wall.
The first person known to have said, "The handwriting is on the wall" was the prophet Daniel, whom Babylonian king Belshazzar tasked with interpreting a cryptic message mysteriously written on the palace wall. That writing was "Mene, Mene, Tekel, Upharsin (מנא, מנא, תקל, ופרסין), which Daniel interpreted as notice from God (if you will) that Belshazzar had been measured by God and found wanting, and that his kingdom would be taken from him and divided. According to the historical record Belshazzar died that same night and Babylon was sacked and divided between the Medes and the Persians.
Your incessant pessimism notwithstanding, I much prefer the Yogi Berra [attributed] quote, "It ain't over 'til it's over."
Quote:
Originally Posted by Joe Barringer View Post
That's all folks!
That would be from the famous Porky Pig, but the correct quote is, "Th-th-th-that's all folks!".
TW
Tom,
I knew I'd get an interesting and witty reply from you. I was going to explain the "handwriting on the wall" but I didn't think anyone here would understand it much less would care so that's why I went with whomever said it.
Cabin fever huh.
I'm not going to address your dissertation as you and I will just go round and round and round. Thank you for the history lesson back to 1800.
I will address one statement (yeah, yeah I know it's two) where you state that you believe I have "incessant pessimism" and where, "I appreciate that you believe you have a direct line on foreseeing the future".
Like it or not, I am a realist.
I have never been nor will ever be a pessimist. It doesn't take a rocket scientist to figure out that the use of ivory is declining as well as the availability. I believe I have more experience in this field than most actually do since I buy and sell more ivory in one month than any cue maker in their career.
We deal and talk with knife makers, gun stock makers, musical instrument manufacturers, private parties, cue makers, furniture makers and restorers to mention a few. The general consensus is that the demand for ivory knife handles, the demand for ivory gun handles, the demand for ivory furniture inlays, etc, etc has been steadily declining.
We are getting more and more ivory tusks offered from heirs who "do not want it around" their home therefore they want to sell it. The term "dead animal parts" keeps popping up. People today don't want it around. That's a fact and the reality of the current climate.
There are fewer and fewer men going to Africa hunting elephants. Big game hunting as sport is on the decline. The pre ban ivory on the marketplace is very limited. You cannot satisfy demand with a finite supply so prices should go up; correct? Incorrect. Prices cannot go up when there are fewer and fewer buyers. The price today is no different than it was 10 years ago or even 15 years ago. The sad fact is that ivory buying prices have declined as less is available. Something is wrong with that scenario. It's called lower demand.
We sell hundreds of ivory ferrules per month and our business is still doing quite well. I firmly believe that at some point in the future, there will be little demand for ivory in products as younger generations do not want "dead animal parts" in the homes and hobbies.
A woman is running a business for 20 years. In a non related issue, she applies for tax exempt status then gets audited in both her personal and business taxes. She then gets numerous visits from the FBI and OSHA not to mention a pinhead of a senator or congressman (or whatever that clown is) writing letters, bla, bla, bla to know it was a witch hunt by the Taxocrats. Some things are just plain obvious without proof and without using a crystal ball. Foreseeing the future in this issue is a no-brainer, quite obvious and reality.
I understand that many cue makers make a living selling cues and cues that are 'works of art'. The fact remains - ivory use is on the decline. Period.