Stats -- Dennis Orcollo vs. CJ Wiley Challenge 10-Ball, November 2018

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Here are some results from the Dennis Orcollo vs. CJ Wiley challenge 10-Ball match played at Legends Sports Bar in Fort Worth, TX on November 15, 2018. Free streaming was provided on the Sullyvision Facebook page. This was a handicapped race to 25, with CJ getting the 7-ball. Orcollo won the match 25-18.

Conditions -- The conditions for this event included:
- Brunswick Gold Crown 9-foot table with tight pockets (3 7/8" corners, said a commentator);
- neutral racker using a triangle rack with the 1-ball on the spot, the 2- and 3-balls on the back corners, and the 7-ball usually (but not always) in the back row;
- winner breaks from anywhere behind the head string;
- 3-consecutive-fouls rule not in effect;
- early combos or caroms on the 10-ball allowed;
- call shots (but not safes);
- jump cues allowed; and
- no shot clock.

Orcollo broke 25 times -- successful 15 times (resulting in 11 game wins and 4 losses), 3 fouls (1 win and 2 losses), and 7 dry (3 wins and 4 losses).

Wiley broke 18 times -- successful 9 times (resulting in 2 game wins and 7 losses), 1 foul (a loss), and 8 dry (6 wins and 2 losses).

Successful breaks (made at least one ball and did not foul):
  • Orcollo -- 15 of 25 (60%)
  • Wiley -- 9 of 18 (50%)
  • Total -- 24 of 43 (56%)

Breaker won game:
  • Orcollo -- 15 of 25 (60%)
  • Wiley -- 8 of 18 (44%)
  • Total -- 23 of 43 (53%)

Break-and-run games -- on all breaks:
  • Orcollo -- 2 of 25 (8%)
  • Wiley -- 1 of 18 (6%)
  • Total -- 3 of 43 (7%)

Break-and-run games -- on successful breaks (made at least one ball and did not foul):
  • Orcollo -- 2 of 15 (13%)
  • Wiley -- 1 of 9 (11%)
  • Total -- 3 of 24 (13%)

Fouls:
  • Orcollo -- 12 (including 3 on the break)
  • Wiley -- 14 (including 1 on the break)
  • Total -- 26

Missed shots (est.):
  • Orcollo -- 22
  • Wiley -- 24
  • Total -- 46

Average number of balls made on the break:
  • Orcollo -- 0.8 on all breaks, 1.3 on successful breaks
  • Wiley -- 0.6 on all breaks, 1.1 on successful breaks
  • Total -- 0.7 on all breaks, 1.2 on successful breaks

Runouts from first shot after break -- Only 5 games (12% of the 43 games) were run out by the player at the table after the break: 4 by Orcollo (his 2 B&R games plus 1 after a scratch on the break by Wiley and 1 after a dry break by Wiley) and 1 by Wiley (his 1 B&R game).

Innings per game -- 19% (8 of 43) of the games ended in one inning (the 3 B&R games plus 5 games won by the non-breaker on his first visit), 33% in 2 innings, 21% in 3 innings, and 28% in 4 or more innings (including 4 games that went 8 or 9 innings).

Break-and-run packages -- The 3 B&R games were all singles (no packages).

10-balls on the break -- None.

Number of games involving one or more safeties -- 26 (60%).

Match length -- 3 hours and 54 minutes, for an average of 5.4 minutes per game, including racking.
 
Great job with the stats. I was wondering do you have the info on how many of CJ's 18 games won, he did so with his spot ball versus making the 10?
 
Or another good stat involving the spot, is how many games did Dennis pocket the 7 but still lose the game.
 
Great job with the stats. I was wondering do you have the info on how many of CJ's 18 games won, he did so with his spot ball versus making the 10?

Or another good stat involving the spot, is how many games did Dennis pocket the 7 but still lose the game.

16 of CJ's 18 wins were by making the 7-ball. In 15 of those 16 wins with the 7-ball, it was the lowest-numbered ball on the table. His other win with the 7-ball was a 3-ball/7-ball combination.

In CJ's 2 wins with the 10-ball, Dennis made the 7-ball and CJ made the 10-ball as the last ball on the table.
 
16 of CJ's 18 wins were by making the 7-ball. In 15 of those 16 wins with the 7-ball, it was the lowest-numbered ball on the table. His other win with the 7-ball was a 3-ball/7-ball combination.

In CJ's 2 wins with the 10-ball, Dennis made the 7-ball and CJ made the 10-ball as the last ball on the table.

Thanks for the info!
 
I started watching at 17 a piece. CJ made just about a mistake a game.

Right. His only win in those last 9 games was because he accidentally got safe on a bad miss on the 1-ball. Dennis missed the kick and CJ ran out.
 
I didn't get to watch, but it sounds like the table played
tough and using a regular rack also contributed to less
runouts. Sounds like CJ had plenty of chances to win.
Far more chances than most thought he would.

Just reading between the lines here, like I said, I didn't
get to see the match.

Thanks for the stats and info.
 
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