You are clearly much smarter that I am
Hurricane
- Thread starter muskyed
- Start date
Biloxi Boy
Man With A Golden Arm
I was surprised at all of the boats still tied up at the docks. Here boats are moved into the bays, bayous, and rivers. Different families have places/preferred trees they have used storm after storm for generations.
Well I don't know about that part...I was in favor of staying but got overruled. Caution, I suppose...You are clearly much smarter that I am
Different geography.
Biloxi Boy
Man With A Golden Arm
"Milton is a sheared hurricane, with the heaviest precipitation to the north of
the center, and the eye open on the south side. This structure was
confirmed by a recent Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter mission,
where the eyewall was reported open to the southwest. The plane
reported that the pressure has risen during the past few hours, with
the latest center drop supporting a minimum pressure of 948 mb.
Based on this pressure, and the reduction of measured flight-level
winds, the intensity is estimated to be 105 kt. The highest
Doppler velocities from the Tampa radar have been between 100 and
105 kt."
"Milton is likely to be right near the threshold of a major
hurricane when it reaches the west-central coast of Florida this
evening. Milton has grown in size today, particularly in the extent
of 34- and 50-kt winds to the northwest of the center, and the
northern eyewall appears most severe at the moment due to
southwesterly shear. As a result, significant wind impacts are
likely to occur north of the center, as well as to the south,
regardless of the exact intensity at landfall. There will likely be
a noticeable gradient of surge heights to the north of the landfall
location, however, the risk of devastating storm surge still
exists across much of the west-central and southwest coast of
Florida given the size of the storm."
NHC 1700 rpt
I hope this is not too late to make a difference.
the center, and the eye open on the south side. This structure was
confirmed by a recent Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter mission,
where the eyewall was reported open to the southwest. The plane
reported that the pressure has risen during the past few hours, with
the latest center drop supporting a minimum pressure of 948 mb.
Based on this pressure, and the reduction of measured flight-level
winds, the intensity is estimated to be 105 kt. The highest
Doppler velocities from the Tampa radar have been between 100 and
105 kt."
"Milton is likely to be right near the threshold of a major
hurricane when it reaches the west-central coast of Florida this
evening. Milton has grown in size today, particularly in the extent
of 34- and 50-kt winds to the northwest of the center, and the
northern eyewall appears most severe at the moment due to
southwesterly shear. As a result, significant wind impacts are
likely to occur north of the center, as well as to the south,
regardless of the exact intensity at landfall. There will likely be
a noticeable gradient of surge heights to the north of the landfall
location, however, the risk of devastating storm surge still
exists across much of the west-central and southwest coast of
Florida given the size of the storm."
NHC 1700 rpt
I hope this is not too late to make a difference.
I think most of the boats tied up are recreational and part timers although I do always see commercial boats unable to get out for one reason or another. Here depending on the size of the boat and the storm we either go inland like you mentioned or take the boats offshore where they are free to maneuver.
Everything about milton scares me except the name. I can't get past the Saturday morning cartoon, milton the monster show! When Katrina hit whole areas of New Orleans disappeared. If milton hits Tampa around 160mph winds I look for much the same. Absolutely no comparison to storms with 100-120MPH winds.
Good luck to All!
Hu
Biloxi Boy
Man With A Golden Arm
Okay Florida Folks: Good Luck. Be smart. Take care of each other. Let us know how y'all are when y'all can.
We don’t have any bays or bayous so you tie them off properly or you take them out of the water. When I lived in Long Beach a long time ago I remember running our families 45’ Egg Harbor into the bayou to hide from a storm. I still remember learning how to tie a bowline that day.
I took my dog to Tallahassee to stay with my kids and my wife is at a friends house in Spring Hill To be closer to her patients. I was looking for a house when I found this one so I really don’t mind if it floods or gets destroyed. Just wanna be safe.
Hope everyone fares well.
Biloxi Boy
Man With A Golden Arm
You know what's coming and that's half the battle. The folks that amaze me are the ones who know nothing of wind and water, much less oceans and waves, and believe they are prepared to match wits with a storm. Storms come in all shapes and sizes -- just like coastlines and bays. Every little detail makes a difference. I still marvel that Katrina produced the surge it did.
Katrina jogged east about forty miles before hitting New Orleans. As many lives as it cost on the gulf coast, it was a miracle for New Orleans. Hard to imagine but 250,000 lives were probably saved. I think 400,000 or so didn't get out of New Orleans, with all the city and school busses going underwater!
I truly hope we don't get the same horror stories from Milton. It seems to have lost a little speed or is predicted to. A good thing because as I have already said, twenty or thirty miles an hour is huge when winds are already 120-130!
Hu
Biloxi Boy
Man With A Golden Arm
"Earlier Hurricane Hunter aircraft observations, WSR-88D radar imagery and velocities, and surface synoptic data indicate that Milton made landfall along the Florida Gulf coast just south of Tampa around 0030 UTC . . . While aircraft and Doppler velocity data indicated a landfall intensity of near 105 kt, assuming some inland decrease in intensity, the maximum winds are now estimated to be around 90 kt."
Hurricane Milton Discussion Number 20
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL142024
1100 PM EDT Wed Oct 09 2024
105 kt is 120 mph.
Hurricane Milton Discussion Number 20
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL142024
1100 PM EDT Wed Oct 09 2024
105 kt is 120 mph.
Lieutenant Dan rode it out and made it! I've been following him since yesterday morning. Real interesting character and a good end result. Look him up, it's a hoot. This morning when I searched to se if he still was alive, I saw the good news. What really was weird and creepy was some casino was taking bets on whether would survive or not.
Looking forward to hearing good news from the rest of our friends down there.
Looking forward to hearing good news from the rest of our friends down there.
The Agnirs are fine.
My wife and I once again had near zero issues. We did lose power, but we also evacuated up to Gainesville. No damage to the house except some fencing that we should have ripped down years ago.
I have no intention of leaving Florida. Someone want to call me an idiot for moving down to paradise can f*ck right off.
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Part of our decision to evacuate was that my daughter gets married next weekend in Mass, and we had already planned to drive up and make a few stops. Had we stayed, the chances of getting gas and getting out decreased. So, evacuating became the obvious choice, even if my heart wanted me to stay as my neighbors did. None of my neighbors suffered much damage, but they, like I, alll lost power. But everyone in my neighborhood has generators. We collectively were all prepared as best as we could be.