Is there FargoRate rating inflation?

[iusedtoberich]

Question on your graph. Are the players on the left from 2019 the exact same players on the right from today? All names match? For each group?

 

[skogstokig]

Yes at least 30.

If he played more events you'd see him winning more than he does


Nobody even wants to play him in long races because he's the favorite against all of them.

ok, forget filler then. do you think svb or JL chang has improved in these years?

 

[skip100]

Is it possible that having the top players beat each other on a regular basis has caused the top players to go up?

Seems logical to me that a 820 beating other 800+ players has to raise the 820's fr.

No, two evenly matched players performing as predicted will add probability mass to the ratings as they currently are. The optimization model runs through all the games and iteratively tweaks the prediction up or down based on the unexpected game results. Adding a set of games where players match their expected output means little to no change.

What it will do is make those types of games relatively more important than the games against lower rated players by dint of there being more of them, which is a good thing. What we really care about for the pros is getting an accurate sense of how they match up against each other, not a 600 level local player in a tournament. It’s not super important to distinguish between pros who routinely beat lower rated players 9-0 instead of ones who let up a bit and win 9-3.

 

[sjm]

Stu, I hope you have a great summer! If I get to the city I’ll let you know! Dinner is on me! So pick a good place

Thanks, Eric. Let me now when you are headed my way.

 

[SBC]

ok, forget filler then. do you think svb or JL chang has improved in these years?

SVB is absolutely stronger over the past 3 to 5 years....even he would say so.

I definitely think the level of play is higher because of the international talent and increased competition with more events.

 

[nataddrho]

I haven’t played in a Fargo rated tournament in over 6 years. Here is what the past year looks like with absolutely no input…