Stats -- Shane Van Boening vs. Fedor Gorst 10-Ball Race to 120, June 2025

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Here are some results from the Shane Van Boening vs. Fedor Gorst 10-ball match played at Railyard Billiards & Sports Pub in Louisville, KY on June 13-15, 2025. Pay-per-view streaming was provided by Xpool. Gorst won the match 120 - 78.

The main commentators were Scott Frost and Jason Sword, with occasional assistance from Lonnie Fox-Raymond and Steven Wyatt.

This match was a race to 120 game wins played over 3 days. Here are the scores at the end of each day, with Van Boening's score first:
Day 1 -- 22 - 40​
Day 2 -- 28 - 40 (2-day total 50 - 80)​
Day 3 -- 28 - 40​
Total -- 78 - 120​

Conditions -- The conditions for this event included:
• 9-foot Diamond table with 4¼" corner pockets;​
• Simonis Shark Grey cloth;​
• Aramith Tournament balls with a red-spots cue ball;​
• FG x Magic Ball Rack racking template;​
• rack your own, with the location of the balls (other than the 1-ball and 10-ball) determined by a computerized random-rack generator;​
• winner breaks from anywhere behind the head string;​
• call shots;​
• early 10-balls are spotted immediately;​
• 3-foul rule in effect (no violations);​
• jump cues allowed; and​
• no shot clock.​

■ Van Boenng broke 78 times -- successful 56 times (resulting in 34 game wins and 22 losses), 8 fouls (all losses), and 14 dry (4 wins, 10 losses).

■ Gorst broke 120 times -- successful 101 times (resulting in 73 game wins and 28 losses), 6 fouls (2 wins, 4 losses), and 13 dry (5 wins, 8 losses).

Successful breaks (made at least one ball and did not foul):
Van Boening -- 72% (56 of 78)​
Gorst -- 84% (101 of 120)​
Total -- 79% (157 of 198)​

Breaker won game:
Van Boening -- 49% (38 of 78)​
Gorst -- 67% (80 of 120)​
Total -- 60% (118 of 198)​

Break-and-run games -- on all breaks:
Van Boening -- 27% (21 of 78)​
Gorst -- 39% (47 of 120)​
Total -- 34% (68 of 198)​

Break-and-run games -- on successful breaks (made at least one ball and did not foul):
Van Boening -- 38% (21 of 56)​
Gorst -- 47% (47 of 101)​
Total -- 43% (68 of 157)​

Fouls and foul rates: [Note: "games at the table" means total games less opponent's B&R games.]
Van Boening -- 19 fouls (including 8 on the break) in 151 games at the table (a rate of 1 foul for every 7.9 games at the table)​
Gorst -- 18 fouls (including 6 on the break) in 177 games at the table (a rate of 1 foul for every 9.8 games at the table)​
Total -- 37 fouls in 198 games (1 per 5.4 games)​
Note: Excludes fouls, if any, in Games 8 and 9 while the stream was down.​

Missed shots (est.):
Van Boening -- 47 misses in 151 games at the table (a rate of 1 for every 3.2 games at the table)​
Gorst -- 47 misses in 177 games at the table (a rate of 1 for every 3.8 games at the table)​
Total -- 94 misses in 198 games (1 per 2.1 games)​
Note: Excludes misses, if any, in Games 8 and 9 while the stream was down.​

Run-outs from first shot after break:
By Van Boening after his own successful break -- 21 of 56 (38%)​
By Van Boening after Gorst's failed break -- 6 of 19 (32%)​
By Van Boening, total -- 27 of 75 (36%)​
By Gorst after his own successful break -- 47 of 101 (47%)​
By Gorst after Van Boening's failed break -- 13 of 22 (59%)​
By Gorst, total -- 60 of 123 (49%)​
Total for Van Boening and Gorst -- 87 of 198 (44%)​

Run-outs from first shot after Van Boening's break:
By Van Boening -- 21 of 56 (38%)​
By Gorst -- 13 of 22 (59%)​
Total -- 34 of 78 (44%)​

Run-outs from first shot after Gorst's break:
By Gorst -- 47 of 101 (47%)​
By Van Boening -- 6 of 19 (32%)​
Total -- 53 of 120 (44%)​

Balls Pocketed:
Van Boening -- 95 on the break, 689 not on the break, 784 in total​
Gorst -- 186 on the break, 990 not on the break, 1,176 in total​
[Includes balls pocketed on breaking fouls (9 by Van Boening and 8 by Gorst) and on fouls after the break and balls not called after the break (9 by Van Boening and 6 by Gorst).]​
Note: Excludes all 20 balls pocketed in Games 8 and 9 even though the stream was down for just part of those games. Van Boening pocketed 8 balls in those two games (Gorst none) before the stream went down.​

Average number of balls made on the break:
Van Boening -- 1.3 on all breaks, 1.6 on successful breaks​
Gorst -- 1.6 on all breaks, 1.8 on successful breaks​
Total -- 1.5 on all breaks, 1.7 on successful breaks​
Note: These averages do not exclude the breaks for Games 8 and 9, as the breaks were shown before the stream went down.​

Break-and-run packages:
Van Boening's 21 B&R games consisted of one 6-pack (on Day 2), four 2-packs, and 7 singles.​
Gorst's 47 B&R games consisted of one 6-pack (on Day 2), two 4-packs, three 3-packs, four 2-packs, and 16 singles.​

Games with 1 or more safeties (est.):
35% of all games and 54% of games that were not B&Rs​

Number of innings:
55% (108 of 196) of the games ended in one inning -- 68 games on the breaker's first inning (B&R games) and 40 games on the non-breaker's first inning​
27% (52 of 196) of the games ended in the second inning.​
18% (36 of 196) of the games went beyond the non-breaker's second visit to the table, with the two longest games both ending on the non-breaker's 7th visit.​
Note: Excludes Games 8 and 9 (stream down for part of each game).​

Distribution of consecutive game wins, i.e. winning streaks. Counts are given for Van Boening first, then Gorst, then the total.
1 game -- 23 times, 14 times, 37 times​
2 games -- 10, 10, 20​
3 games -- 4, 2, 6​
4 games -- 0, 7, 7​
5 games -- 0, 4, 4​
6 games -- 1, 0, 1​
7 games -- 1, 2, 3​
8 games -- 0, 1, 1​
10 games -- 1, 1, 2 (Van Boening's first 10 wins on Day 1 and Gorst's wins 70 through 79 at the tail end of Day 2)​

Biggest leads each day by each player:
Day 1 -- Van Boening led by 6 at 10-4; Gorst led by 19 at 20-39​
Day 2 -- Van Boening never led; Gorst led by 30 at 49-79 and at 50-80​
Day 3 -- Van Boening never led; Gorst led by 42 at the end, 78-120​

Lead changes (SVB's score given first) and tied scores:
Day 1 -- 2 lead changes (at 5-4 and at 12-13); score tied twice (at 4 and 12 games each)​
Days 2 and 3 -- no lead changes; no tied scores​

10-balls on the break -- None.

Match length -- 21½ hours, for an average of 6.5 minutes per game. This includes racking and a 8 brief timeouts. The balls were polished during most of the timeouts.
_________________________________________________

Request -- The stream was also down after Van Boening's successful break in Game 7. Later commentary seemed to indicate that it was a B&R game, so I counted it as such. If anyone knows for sure that it was not, please let me know.
 
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Further evidence to the break being the most important shot in the game.
Shane's dry breaks and bad layouts did him in.
Yeah I don't know how much worse Shane's break was than it normally is (I assume at least somewhat, by some objective metric) but what really stood out to me was how dialed in Fedor's break was. Not has hard as SVB, but very solid, while squatting the cue ball perfectly and having seemingly 2-3 balls go in every time, with the 1b dressing up nicely by the corner pocket like clockwork. He has been practicing that break and it is now the best 10b break I've ever seen.

Fedor earned every part of that dominating victory.
 
Template rack 10-ball is slowly becoming as broken of a game as 1-on-the-spot template rack 9-ball is. A handful of pros have figured out how to control that break a bit too much. Fedor didn’t have it mastered the first time they played quite as well as he did the second time. And SVB didn’t realize how important it was to prepare for that newer break technique. I don’t think this format of 10-ball is worth top pros playing unless someone gives it the old WNT treatment to take some of the control out of the equation.

For example even though Tyler doesn't play quite to the same level after the break, his template rack 10-ball break is every bit as strong as Fedor's.
 
I watched briefly and it seemed that Fedor was consistently making the second-row balls into the side pockets. This is a standard plan for breaking a full 10- or 15-ball rack. He was not playing the 1 ball to the side.

An interesting stat would be the percentage success for those balls.
 
39% break and run rate for Fedor under these conditions is impressive. He and Filler I believe are in a league of their own; that’s the next long race I would want to see.
 
We all like to see racks ran, but I wouldn’t mind balls being spotted after the break or you had to push-out. Today’s pros aremaking the game look too easy.
 
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Railyards and Gorst may be looking at some legal difficulties…..
IMG_1329.jpeg
 
Two 6-packs in 198 games?….and you want to impose artificial limits?
Gorst had the higher B & R rate at 39% per these stats. That means 61%, which is to say most of the games, had both players come to the table. That sounds pretty reasonable to me. Especially so given that these are two elite players. I say it ain't broke, so no fix required.
 
It was said that the templet used, Gorst had a hand in its design... only makes sense how successful he was with it. The only way I'd watch them again is if they brought back the old wooden rack.
 
Might be wrong, but I think Shane's 6 pack was day 2.

At any rate, the stats for Shane really don't quite highlight how off his game was. Virtually nothing came easy for him the entire match.
 
39% runout means more than half of them are not runouts. And many of the runouts are exciting and far from sure things. I don't see the problem.

whoops, jalapus made the same point... agreed ;)
 
I watched briefly and it seemed that Fedor was consistently making the second-row balls into the side pockets. This is a standard plan for breaking a full 10- or 15-ball rack. He was not playing the 1 ball to the side.

An interesting stat would be the percentage success for those balls.
One or both second-row balls were made
• By Van Boening on 50 of 56 (89%) successful breaks and on 4 of 8 fouled breaks, so on 54 of 78 (69%) breaks in total.​
• By Gorst on 93 of 101 (92%) successful breaks and on 4 of 6 fouled breaks, so on 97 of 120 (81%) breaks in total.​
• For the two players combined: 143 of 157 (91%) on successful breaks and 151 of 198 (76%) on all breaks.​
 
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Here's a comparison of a few of the stats from the two SVB/Gorst marathons. Numbers are first for 2024, then 2025

Successful breaks (made at least one ball and did not foul):
SVB -- 84%, 72%​
FG -- 77%, 84%​
Total -- 81%, 79%​

Breaker won game:
SVB -- 58%, 49%​
FG -- 56%, 67%​
Total -- 57%, 60%​

Break-and-run games -- on all breaks:
SVB -- 37% 27%​
FG -- 38%, 39%​
Total -- 37%, 34%​

Break-and-run games -- on successful breaks (made at least one ball and did not foul):
SVB -- 44%, 38%​
FG -- 49%, 47%​
Total -- 46%, 43%​

Average number of balls made on all breaks:
SVB -- 1.5, 1.3​
FG -- 1.4, 1.6​
 
Might be wrong, but I think Shane's 6 pack was day 2. ...
Correct, thanks. I corrected that in post #1.
SVB's 6-pack was early on Day 2 -- Games 68-73, his 24th-29th game wins.​
Gorst's 6-pack was late on Day 2 -- Games 122-127, his 73rd-78th game wins.​
 
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I'm sure I'm missing something, but what is the difference between Break-and-run games -- on all breaks and Break-and-run games -- on successful breaks.

Wouldn't it have to be a successful break to break and run?
 
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