Recent content by mikepage

On your "matches" page (the two people at the bottom), you'll see a small filter icon upper right to the right of the word "Match History"

There is a varied history of what has and hasn't been characterized with the various attributes. We are working both on improving that for new information entering the system, and in some cases finding ways to get information for games already in the system in retroactively.

Here's mine

Gorst beat Chua 10-3 at the 2022 International Open 9-Ball event So with Chua's 13-6 win here, that puts that at 16-16 for games and 1-1 for matches.

No. If 3-5 is an even race on 9-foot, it is an even race on 7-foot as well. This issue is just about the distribution of scores.

Yes. For this to be satisfied for SVB and Fedor playing bar-box 8-ball, they's need to be flipping a coin for each break. That would make the events (games) independent. For two games as independent events you have, from SVB's perspective P(WW) = 0.5 * 0.5 = 0.25 P(LL) = 0.5 * 0.5 = 0.25...

Passing the break back and forth doesn't make the trials independent. In a race to 3 between SVB and Gorst playing barbox 8-Ball, winning the lag is really important whether you are doing winner breaks or alternate breaks. There are, in a sense, winner-break packages and alternate break...

Again, this is a subtlety. The first sentence (more likely to win on 7 foot) is right. For the second sentence it depends what you mean by “race is closer.” If it just means more likely win, then yes. But many think the equipment makes the scores closer, and we don’t see that in actual data...

It is an element in loser breaks format as well. It is not explicitly a table size effect. It is about runouts getting too easy. That can happen by some combination of players getting stronger and equipment getting easier. The game is kind of broken at that point when you have too high a...

That’s the second time in one thread I’ve been accused of having “business perspective” or motivated by some kind of pecuniary interest. That is just f-ing gross to me. Tell me I’m stupid. Tell me you disagree with my analysis. Tell me I’m a poor communicator. But if you are going to...

You are welcome to do sub scores. You should use APA ratings or ELO ratings or some other approach to do it though. Fargo ratings basically work because the data is combined. If FargoRate was an airplane, separating the data would be like cutting off half the wings. There are a lot of things...

I don’t see a contradiction. If you think there is one, please flesh it out a bit. Yes, you will beat a 780 in a straight up race more often on a bar table. Have you seen me contradict this?

Your analysis focuses on p, that, for example, luck would benefit both players equally and thus reduce the no-luck advantage the better player enjoys. But there is something else going on here, and we call it the runlength effect. n in this distribution is the number of INDEPENDENT trials, and...

My point is when most people compare "easy" to "hard" tables (the 1.0 foot wide raised walkway to the 1.5 foot wide raised walkway), they are just thinking of PLAYER and TABLE. But there is a triangle here, PLAYER, TABLE, and OPPONENT. And when the TABLE gets easier, the OPPONENT gets better...

This makes sense, right? It is easier for you to beat a pro on a 7-foot table