Recent content by mikepage

  1. mikepage

    My Fargorate progression

    I think it's a different person from MA (facebook says graduated HS in 1998) who plays about 650 speed. I think you are right the other Tony's old matches are in his record, but those games are basically ignored and have no effect on this guys rating.
  2. mikepage

    Mosconi Cup 2025, Dec. 3-6, Alexandra Palace, London

    Below is about what FargoRate predicts in terms of scores (heights are percentages). While 11-8 or so is the most likely score, it still has only about 10% chance of being realized. So more likely Europe wins 11 to 4-or-fewer than Europe wins 11-8 More likely USA wins than Europe wins 11-to-7...
  3. mikepage

    Fargo Rate - Not Much Math Here

    This is from Iusedtoberich, post # 39. He was 480 with 87 games and then 547 when he reached 200 games a few months later
  4. mikepage

    Fargo Rate - Not Much Math Here

    lol Started at Starbucks. Too many Mikes on the planet, and you notice it in a small crowd waiting for your Cappuccino with a name on the cup. So I thought I don't really need to be MIKE at Starbucks, I can choose a Starbucks name that is unique and easy to say. I chose Vito. Before long, the...
  5. mikepage

    Fargo Rate - Not Much Math Here

    Answering your last question first, yes, ratings are more uncertain at any robustness when FargoRate doesn't know much about your opponents. But in "typical" situations, where we know most of your opponents but some are more unknown, the situation is about as follows: Let's say your rating is...
  6. mikepage

    Fargo Rate - Not Much Math Here

    That's Vito who would enter THAT tournament ;-)
  7. mikepage

    Fargo Rate - Not Much Math Here

    To the extent they have about 100 games, the preliminary ratings with starter-rating influence would be about halfway between the black and blue lines.
  8. mikepage

    Fargo Rate - Not Much Math Here

    Turns out I live in a rural area with a couple real small race to 2 or 3 weekly tournaments. I started getting them in the system a couple months ago. Every black-line rating here is a preliminary performance rating (no starter guess) based on an average of about 100 games. Nobody but Vito...
  9. mikepage

    Fargo Rate - Not Much Math Here

    For what it's worth, --he's posting anonymously --he's not responsive to follow-up questions --I can't find a recent exchange in our support system that fits his description (might be missing it, though) --None of the brand new players from the International under 650 event who started with no...
  10. mikepage

    Fargo Rate - Not Much Math Here

    Can you let us know what tournament it was?
  11. mikepage

    SJM at the 2025 International Open

    I think the Spanish Open part is staying in line with other Eurotour events, with yes modest payouts compared to major events, but also has --relatively modest $200 Euro entry --attracts nearly 200 entrants from many different countries, --has a Harmonic Field Strength of 800.4 (in line with...
  12. mikepage

    International Open 2025

    And last month he competed both in World 8-Ball and the Philippines Open
  13. mikepage

    Do other league sanctioning bodies use FargoRate?

    I could imagine players who play in APA master division are more likely as a group to be players who have games in FargoRate from other competitions. That might lead to the impression you are more likely to be able to look up a rating for them. But I'm pretty sure there are no APA leagues...
  14. mikepage

    Ultimate Pool Shootout North Carolina bracket

    Below are the active GBR players above 725, with Joe Prince on this list. We're not currently importing UP games. It would probably be fine to do so. Games played with somewhat different rules on perhaps different equipment that would seem at first glance to taint the ratings generally actually...
  15. mikepage

    Matchroom, WNT, Mosconi Cup, and American Pro Pool

    If we look at the 23 matches in the last 10 years, Shanes effective opponent rating is 832, and he would be expected to be a slight favorite overall. In those matches he won 79 games and lost 93. That's the expected performance of a player rated 808.
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