Recent content by mikepage

This is true. And there is another interesting thing about it. People usually over estimate the size of the issue by an amount that is as big or bigger than the issue itself. So their guess ends up being more wrong than the Fargo Rating. As a rule of thumb, if you average the Fargo Rating and...

Yes, both. That was before we were including one pocket games and game scores were generally unavailable. Still, that we're now at 11-0 for matches we're aware of is pretty striking. Incidentally, we would only input score for a streamed match if either we decided in advance the score would go...

Here are the results: Tony won all 10 matches: 7 one-pocket and 3 rotation

Your attempt to assign motivation here makes the same mistake that shows up in many responses (both here and on Facebook) to the original question. In the Tony/Sky case, the fact that we’re asking the question is itself evidence. If the data were typical or aligned with baseline expectations...

Put this on facebook; let's see where the right answer shows up first. **** Pure trivia question from the FargoRate database There are 10 recorded matches between Tony Chohan and Skyler Woodward (7 one-pocket, 3 rotation). Question: How many of these did Tony win? Bonus: If Tony had any...

The evidence suggests all three are playing better.

Here are many 2025 tournaments listed by Harmonic Field Strength, a measure of how tough it is to go deep. Blue bars are the ones on Spartan's list. The discontinuous gap between China Open and International Open is interesting. Some tournaments are hurt by scheduling while others (like Peri...

You have a mental image of a "9-foot player" of a certain skill, say 600, who can go to a 7-foot table and adapt pretty easily. And of a somehow similar "7-foot player" who struggles on a 9-foot table because he has less transferrable skills. But those two players don't have the same rating...

There is nothing stopping us from using all the data, 7-foot, 9-foot, and simply creating separate ratings like people think we should do. Flattering expectations can help adoption in the short term. Producing the most reliable ratings is what sustains trust and value in the long term.

True. But I'm wondering...do you think we have some secret ulterior reason to mislead you on this issue?

You've cited several good examples Stu. An interesting contrast is Pia Blaeser, who as a 17, 18, 19, and 20 year old was performing in the 640-650 range, 30+ points below where Savannah and Sofia are now and about 80 points below a teenage Kristina Tkatch. She did get a new sparring partner...

I'm saying they're both performing near 680 now. Two years ago both were performing around 630s and 3 years ago both near 600. Their Fargo ratings (both in 650s now) lags behind. This is not a general problem. Fargo ratings are not too sticky. This is an issue only for a very small number of...

I am meaning more than simply comparing their ratings. Both are punching above their ratings by near 30 points and have been performing in the 680 range. I'm saying even when we break it down and estimate performance for 1000-game segments or 6-month segments or whatever, and difference in their...