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  1. CreeDo

    Fargorate match odds puzzle

    Well, in my defense, my process boils down to: open a new tab, type numbers into 3 blanks. It only looks complicated because I wrote 3 pages for a 20 second process. I think it's actually slower to do it all within fargo because you gotta trial-and-error repeatedly to come up with that rating...
  2. CreeDo

    Five Years Ago

    Would like to see you come out more and play, Wall-eye~! Fargo has us even, which I know is wrong, so either I can become a state champ, or you need to get some fresh tournament matches into the system so you can get that score up to a 650 or whatever. We do Breakers on Thursdays, or First...
  3. CreeDo

    Fargorate match odds puzzle

    If anyone is still confused on how to work out the math for multiple sets, here's an example. Let's say Donny Mills and Siming Chen are gonna play another match, but this time it's race to 50 per set, and first to win 3 sets. Let's say you wanna figure out Donny's chances (you can pick...
  4. CreeDo

    John Schmidt - How high will he go?

    I think John has the skills to run as many balls as he wants, until his arm falls off. The biggest obstacle, besides the usual need for constant focus, will be ducking all the potential bad luck/bad rolls. A break shot with only a 3% risk of distaster is still unlikely for just 10 racks...
  5. CreeDo

    Stats -- Siming Chen vs. Donny Mills Battle of the Sexes 9-Ball, February 2019

    Cheers... yes, it was a GREAT set to watch. I was able to be there live and the atmosphere was sort of tense, but in a good-natured way. The crowd maybe leaned a bit towards Siming but all good shots brought applause. For anyone who missed it, Roy has put up a day 1 replay on his facebook...
  6. CreeDo

    Stats -- Shaw vs. Woodward 10-Ball Race to 50, March 2019

    Wonder what changed that allowed Shaw to miss only half(ish) as many balls on day 2. Or maybe a better way of saying it is, what made him miss twice as often on day 1.
  7. CreeDo

    Accounting for Variables: Squirt + Swerve + Throw (SIT, CIT)

    I try not to overthink these, but specific shots I will be very aware of them. This stuck-on-the-rail shot comes up all the time and I feel like I have to aim to slightly overcut it, to account for collision-induced throw. This thick-hit back cut feels like I have to overcut by half a...
  8. CreeDo

    Siming Chen vs Donny Mills

    It'd be interesting to see that hypothetical SVB vs. Siming match. She's supposed to lose by ~21 racks anyway based strictly on their respective ratings. She wouldn't lose by 50 but 35 could easily happen if she isn't at 100%. I think her odds would actually be better without magic rack...
  9. CreeDo

    9-Ball Break with a Template, 9-ball on Spot - Strategies?

    If you don't have to worry about the 3-point rule, I have found a pretty reliable strategy that will get you the 1 in the side. Unfortunately that means you don't know what your next shot will look like. Also, making the ball is easier if you don't hit with any spin, but then your cue ball...
  10. CreeDo

    Alex and SVB fans... Video guys.. I need your help!

    I'm not sure I've ever seen the one of alex sharking svb for fun. The other one... are you sure it's alex trying a no-look? And not his famous dogged ball where he was hill-hill, shooting close to the rail, and just yeets the 9 ball completely? https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=L6usJmG7PKU
  11. CreeDo

    Stats -- Shaw vs. Woodward 10-Ball Race to 50, March 2019

    I can't imagine getting out 50% of the time, after making a ball. I mean I can imagine it, but it's still mindblowing. I feel like 50% of the time I can't even see the one ball. It's like, if shaw sees it at all, you can write off that rack.
  12. CreeDo

    Shaw v Woodward just announced!

    I got to see day 1, but not day 2 when Shaw stopped screwing around. Good match, though at times they seemed too casual and there were some very easy shots missed. I wanted to say, I was also fooled by the poster. It clearly is trying to imply they are playing for $20,000. That single word...
  13. CreeDo

    Kristina Tkach in action on FB.

    I think he's Grai Rasmechai on Facebook. I wasn't able to see his post though. I heard them go back and forth. It boiled down to, neither side remembered to stipulate, and one guy says "well if you don't stipulate then it's a win, cuz that's what's normal when people gamble at 10 ball"...
  14. CreeDo

    Siming Chen vs Donny Mills

    I wish I'd caught it on camera but I missed a lot of racks in the 2nd set. But I know just the one he's talking about, I tried to diagram it earlier. It's the bottom shot here: https://i.imgur.com/l5sPX6N.jpg Without going back to the video I can't say just how frozen she was to the end rail...
  15. CreeDo

    Siming Chen vs Donny Mills

    It's all good :) and yeah, that runout at hill hill was nuts. I mean the bank alone was pretty clutch, but that 3 ball... holy shit. I can't even make that in my basement with 4 tries. I hope she comes back into town again, either to play Donny or someone else. She let wilkie beat her up in...
  16. CreeDo

    Interesting shot from AZB's Tin Man

    Nice! I didn't know it, and I thought I'd seen 'em all. Probably haven't even seen half of 'em :)
  17. CreeDo

    intermediate players: who many times can you run 6 balls in rotation ?

    I do a similar drill, but I plan it all out before the first shot... which rails I wanna hit, which pockets each ball will go into, etc. Then I try to do the run exactly as I imagined it. Doing it this way, I'm not allowed to hit extra rails or play balls into the wrong pocket. I can't do...
  18. CreeDo

    Siming Chen vs Donny Mills

    Lol OK, OK, yes, I get it. I'm a moron because I mis-remembered the exact position of a single ball after watching 8 hours of pool. MY BAD. You don't have to be a douche about it. In my defense, from my side of the table it was hard to see how thin it was. I did get footage, and going back...
  19. CreeDo

    Kristina Tkach in action on FB.

    Yup. They were gonna resolve it by asking Donny Mills and Justin Bergman, but neither answered his phone. So her backer did a coin flip. Not an ideal solution, but I think this is a case of "the customer is always right".
  20. CreeDo

    1994 Challenge of Champions Sports Book Betting Odds

    This does seem to prove that the casino was willing to keep taking bets after '91. It does not prove that the dump didn't happen, or that Mike LeBron's odds weren't 20:1. Also, do any casinos that host events offer this sort of betting opportunity today? If not, there's got to be a reason...
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