Colin Colenso said:The strategy to wait for the other guy to bury themself is pretty effective at the intermediate level, but top level players will often enough manage to break open the cluster or perhaps bank the 8 over a pocket, leaving a tough out or a tough safe for you.
So don't knock the guy who goes for the tricky out too much, as the top players will take on many of these tricky outs. If you're not trying to make them, then your progress to the higher levels will be difficult.
Don't just play to win, play as if you're trying to beat a pro, and then you'll develop your skill sets for the higher levels of play.
Not knocking you BB. The fact that you are confident to play from 4 or so balls behind shows that you have pretty good skills, but to move to the higher levels, you'll have to increase your odds of going out when the table is congested with the opponent's balls and clusters need to be broken up and difficult position needs to be attempted to get on challenging balls.
I used to play the way you are experimenting with, but eventually ran into players that consistantly went out when I was confident they wouldn't. To beat them, I had to keep them off the table, or tied up real good.
Basically, you've got to shift your percentages of clearing the table on your first open shot after a successful break, or after your opponent's dry break to around 50%. Even upward of 70% on fast big pocket tables at top levels.
If your opponent is in the 20-30% range, then it's probably a good strategy to sit back and wait a bit...develop your problem balls, tie his up etc. But the goal is to get yourself toward the 50% range, so that most of the time you come to the table you're trying to go out. And when you get to that level, playing the kind of players you're playing now will be a fun exercise. You won't mind messing up half your outs to give them a shot, cause you'll likely get a lot more chances and wipe them pretty easily.
Excellent advice, Colin.
I used to play the way you mentioned you played against some pretty good players, and developed a medium break in 8 ball that would leave lots of clusters, hoping to tie them up, or at least get a chance at the table if nothing potted on the break. There's one fellow now who when I do that to him makes a special effort to run out the table, and he usually does, breaking out balls and clusters along the way. It's inspiring to watch, but no fun to lose. So against this guy I now break big and hope something drops, and go for a runout if possible. BTW, this fellow told me he once broke and ran 5 racks of 8 ball in a row on one particular 9 foot tight pocketed table. Knowing that sort of thing can rearrange your thinking...
Thanks again, Colin, for the great advice.
Flex