When we devalue an observation that goes against what we already think and pump up an observation that falls in line with what we already think, that is known as confirmation bias.
I am a big Fargo believer. And Siming Chen mechanically and statistically is a 780-790 player. Ok, we both agree.
So based on the format (statistical data) Siming gives Wilkie and Mills a big spot.
I have to say no.
Thread 'Stats -- Siming Chen vs. Donny Mills Battle of the Sexes 9-Ball, February 2019' https://forums.azbilliards.com/thre...tle-of-the-sexes-9-ball-february-2019.489634/
So my question would be... Mike Page if Siming is 30 Fargo points higher than Mills or Wilkie would you bet your money on Siming spotting them (based off of Fargo) winner breaks (no special rack rules)?
Wilkie played her for 5k even and he is not delusional. And Mills was breaking with the nine ball on the spot.
I think Fargo is on the money when your statistics are apples to apples. But alternating the break and nine ball racked on the spot rules is apples to oranges.
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