best,
brian kc
brian kc
Regardless Of What Happens At The Polls Today . . .
- Thread starter Kickin' Chicken
- Start date
Brian, I'm as nervous as Sally used to be when she went to church.
I just hope the wrong guy doesn't get elected and confiscates our pool cues. :smile:
I just hope the wrong guy doesn't get elected and confiscates our pool cues. :smile:
Yea, he may ship it all over seas. :grin:
That just about sums it up.
Agreed. My state has a 100% chance of same old, same old -- the "blues." And I'll be singing the blues because my decision will be "who is the lesser of two evils" -- not who I can stand behind. Vote for Obama? That's like backing the Titanic up to hit the iceberg again. Vote for Romney? That's hitting a different iceberg.
And even then, my vote is peeing in the wind, no matter what. Yes, ya gotta love the... BROKEN!!... electoral college process.
But civic duty calls...
-Sean
No matter who wins, I am shooting pool tonight. Life can't be all that bad.
Looks like the betting futures markets are predicting an Obama victory. At the time of this post, betters are making him a 70.0 % favorite to win it. It works kinda like odds on racehorses, with the odds adjusting as $ is bet. It has been shown to be highly predictive of elections, as it is sufficiently liquid and people are betting their $ on what the think is the most likely outcome, not what is their desired outcome. Interesting stuff...
Wow, in California the presidential race is just a side show.
I've never seen so many state and local measures. We have:
-Two large tax increases
- getting rid of the death penalty
- two measures to regulate the porn industry (one local measure for health, one for sex slavery).
- We have an auto insurance measure that nobody quite understands
- a policitcal contribution measure that could cripple union political influence.
- a measure to reform the 3 strikes law.
It's a damn important election for California and a really big erection for the porn industry.
I've never seen so many state and local measures. We have:
-Two large tax increases
- getting rid of the death penalty
- two measures to regulate the porn industry (one local measure for health, one for sex slavery).
- We have an auto insurance measure that nobody quite understands
- a policitcal contribution measure that could cripple union political influence.
- a measure to reform the 3 strikes law.
It's a damn important election for California and a really big erection for the porn industry.
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The odd part is, if Romney wins the stock market should rally, but it's rallying today with Obama as the favorite - I don't get it.
every last little early bit of voting polling shows romney having significant leads in ohio, pennsylvania, and florida.
I hear ya'. But I learned long ago that there are only two things that determine the direction of the markets: more buyers than sellers or visa versa. The rest is just speculation...
Last election at my little polling place there were only 217 votes before me at 3pm. Today I took a half day from work and voted at noon today. 342 voters in front of me. Quite an improvement in turnout comparatively.
+1
I posted that on FB as I am sick of it. To keep this thread back on track for pool recently I "attempted" the no stroke for 1 game from the CJ Wiley thread. It was VERY strange to say the least on the results/feel...will have to see if I can film both methods and either post in that thread or start a new one.
Sorry, just wanted to keep it on track pool related :grin:
Thanks - interesting. I notice the volume has been light. I guess the traders are gaming a Romney win.
well, the primary traders are all overseas vs in US. Just as we have plenty of misconceptions about their countries, they have theirs about ours. If you look at prior elections, many have gone differently than expected. Particularly with Obama though, there is an unrealistic belief of him as the new messiah, so of course he can't lose. And the game with bookies isnt' whether they win money or lose money on any 1 individual game, its their wins/losses over time. The house is always favored in the end.
Polls that show a higher % of democrats over republicans by more than the margin of the 2008 election (when they were excited) still have Obama only up around 1%. One poll had 11% more democrats than republicans, where in the 2008 election it was only about 8% difference. So lose that 3 right off the top of the unequal distribution of who they called and its Romney up by 2. Add in less enthusiasm for Obama than 2008, and more for Romney than McCain and its good easily for another 3-4% if not more.