Or to put it another way, the smaller the radius you can fit on your tip width the better.
How interesting! My immediate reaction to that was "no, the opposite - a bigger radius will have a larger area of tip in contact with the cue ball".
But from reading your full post, I think we're just approaching the problem from different ends.
My approach was far less scientific. I started with the biggest shaft I felt I could comfortably use at my lowest draw position (I eliminated 10mm, I can't remember whether I considered 9.5mm, I hope I did!) and then found the biggest radius I could use that seemed to give a good contact area at my miscue limit. And then I had a dwell on how I felt about that setup, and tried it out.
(I also found someone selling a rounded tip file tool that had a variety of half-cylinder channels to give a very consistent shape. The different channels let you pick your preferred radius, and it took interchangeable sandpapers so you don't end up needing to buy a new tool with a different curve. It seems like an absolutely brilliant idea to me, allowing players to put a new tip on and avoid any slight difference in shape that could change their game. But I've never seen other people use one, and I've never seen the thing in mainstream shops.
Most snooker players say that they can never find a second cue that plays quite the same as their main cue. And it seems to me that at that level of precision, a slightly different tip curve (with its different effect on squirt and English) would be a big deal. I'm not at that level of play, but begin with the end in mind, and all that!)
You need a curvature/arc on your tip of 60 degrees or more in order to hit all the way to the miscue limit without going past the edge of your tip. A little more than 60 degrees is better, to give you a little breathing room.
In order to accomplish the above, the diameter of your tip's curvature should be twice the width of your tip or less. For example, if your tip is 9mm, you need a curvature 18mm diameter or less (about the curvature of a US dime). The common US nickel curvature (about 21mm diameter) is really only best for tips 10.5mm wide or less. With a 12mm tip you can go all the way up to a curvature of 24mm or less (about a US
quarter) to get to the miscue limit safely.
That's outstandingly specific knowledge. Hats off to you!