Mathematical analysis of Predator format (sets)

Assuming two players, Player A is +50 Fargo vs. Player B.

In a race to 9, if Player A is down 0-4, his odds of winning are 31.47%.

In the Predator BO3 format, if player A loses the first set 0-4, his odds of winning are still 46.54%.
And that's the crux of it. The sets format keeps the drama high throughout the match.

I really like the sets format. Other than the shootout, of course.

Mathematical analysis of Predator format (sets)

Doesn't this run counter to your hypothesis that the odds are the same between the two formats?
The odds could be similar overall, but different in particular settings conditional on what has happened so far.

The question at hand isn’t “are the formats the same after one player wins the first 4 games in a row?” Clearly they are not, as a traditional format banks those wins while predator consolidates them into a single set. In a traditional format, being down 4-3 is better than being down 4-0. In a set format, they are the same.

Pool tournaments history 1990s

Hi everyone,

I'm very much interested in the history of our wonderful sports and I was just wondering if anyone had a copy of Charles Ursitti's "The History of Pocket Billiards in America 1990-99" (or any similar record of tournament results)? I only have a copy of 1980-89 - if anyone is interested, shoot me a PM and I will send across (can't post it here as the document is over 100kb).

The tourney stats on AZ go back to 2000 only. It's really sad that, unlike for other sports, there is no complete historical pool tournaments data on the Internet.

Any help gratefully received.

Cheers,
Terry
Here is a tournament from 1990 in New Orleans. Wish I knew who were the players and the results....

1790356579036.png

Bill Stack told me Floyd Baxter passed on just as Howard Ikeda has.

a couple cue maintenance questions

I bought the night café 3-d printed one , the complete set was less than 200 bucks. For me , it works excellent for replacing tips. Even did super hard 'icebreaker' & 'double face' break tips. For the money, Im pretty happy.
Thanks @Lilbitfurthur, the V3 looks like a pretty sound product. I am concerned about the runout manual adjustments and the use of a drill to drive it.

Rhino Cue 190z Carbon Shaft

Rhino birdseye or curly maple cue butt with 4 points, 3/8x8 Joint. with Kaiser carbon fiber shaft installed with soft Wizard layer tip. High quality cue plays great.
Shaft tip size: 12.4mm
Cue tip: Wizard Soft 11 layers laminated leather tip, excellent tip

$600 shipped with Venmo/Paypal

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