The "Million Dollar Article" by Jerry Forsyth

Earl

CJ Wiley said:
You aren't calculating in the most important, deciding factor......the "Faint Factor".

This factor is why players of the highest level can give up handicaps that seem impossible...no one wants to admit they are subject to this factor, and we all are.

We learned to face and accept this factor (by studying the Samurai) before the gambling match....this, if effect, freed us from the viscous backlash of the "Faint Factor" rearing it's ugly head during the the battle. One way or another the expectations of winning and the fears of losing must be addressed.....or else. ;)

"When we can't accept defeat we will not experience victory on {the the Game's} Life's battlefield!"

'The Game is the Teacher'
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I don't buy the odds.

I have heard about running out the set, many times. I have been to many tournaments and I have never seen it.

I have no doubt that Earl did it. But to say this isn't RARE is silly.

There was a time that Earl was nearly sane, and a true champion. Today not so much, I have watched him many times at tournaments and he draws a crowd for the same reason some folks watch NASCAR, expecting a wreck at any time.

Ken
 
I think one of the key things the stats don't show (which is very difficult to model) is early 9-balls.
Jay H. was saying several of his breaks trickled the 9 near the hole for an early combo.
I suspect this was something the insurance company may have used to try to wiggle out of paying.

These days anything more than 0 9 balls in the hole is an 'unusual number',
but back then, with a friendly table you might end up with several of these.
That would definitely alter the break'n'run percentage.
Still it's so rare there's almost no chance.
 
CreeDo said:
I think one of the key things the stats don't show (which is very difficult to model) is early 9-balls.
Jay H. was saying several of his breaks trickled the 9 near the hole for an early combo.
I suspect this was something the insurance company may have used to try to wiggle out of paying.

These days anything more than 0 9 balls in the hole is an 'unusual number',
but back then, with a friendly table you might end up with several of these.
That would definitely alter the break'n'run percentage.
Still it's so rare there's almost no chance.
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IIRC Archer was able to do that quite effectively in at least one match I watched of this year's U.S. 9-Ball Open.
 
CJ Wiley said:
You aren't calculating in the most important, deciding factor......the "Faint Factor".
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You're really reaching here.

Statistical factors aren't just a cute name you give to some phenomenon, they are precise numbers derived from existing data. There is no numerical equivalent to a "Faint" or "Fear" factor, so they cannot be used to arrive at a specific probability like 7.8 million to 1.
 
When someone ran in the office and yelled...EARLS ON 5 RACKS !!!!!!!!!!!

Sheesh, how soon we forget. It was me.

I was standing at the chart, one table over from where Earl was playing, and when he got to 5....I MADE HIM STOP PLAY. I went to get CJ and the cam, and the rest is history. Jay was recruited to rack the remaining games as per the insurance agreement, and Earl came with another 5 racks.

I have written a couple of stories about this feat, both for the American Cueist and on this site years ago, but they seem to have disappeared into cyberspace.

Maybe I should have another cup of coffee and attempt to correct some of the bad info,.....or maybe not.


Robin Adair<<<<<<<Million Dollar TD
 
How many racks do you remember Jay racking?

Rockin' Robin said:
When someone ran in the office and yelled...EARLS ON 5 RACKS !!!!!!!!!!!

Sheesh, how soon we forget. It was me.

I was standing at the chart, one table over from where Earl was playing, and when he got to 5....I MADE HIM STOP PLAY. I went to get CJ and the cam, and the rest is history. Jay was recruited to rack the remaining games as per the insurance agreement, and Earl came with another 5 racks.

I have written a couple of stories about this feat, both for the American Cueist and on this site years ago, but they seem to have disappeared into cyberspace.

Maybe I should have another cup of coffee and attempt to correct some of the bad info,.....or maybe not.


Robin Adair<<<<<<<Million Dollar TD
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Hey there, Robin, I did forget it was you, it difinately caught me by surprise.

How many racks do you remember Jay racking? Lets test your memory one time.;)

Remember, I have it all on video so I have a slight "memory" advantage.
 
As the entire room was involved and had moved to the feature table, the crowd was 10 people deep. I stayed close to the chart and tried to get a peek every now and then until the tenth rack, where I watched Earl fire in the combo. Then after the pandemonium died down, he came with an 11th runout. So I would just be guessing that Jay racked the last 6 games.

Angela had handed me the camera after the 11th game I think, and Earl missed a bank on the 1-ball or he might still be running out to this day.
 
This is one of the better three heads on the forum CJ and I really enjoy it. Any idea what the format will be videos DVD HD Blu ray or all of the above?

Sent from my SCH-I545 using Tapatalk
 
We make them compatible to Blu Ray

sonny_burnett said:
This is one of the better three heads on the forum CJ and I really enjoy it. Any idea what the format will be videos DVD HD Blu ray or all of the above?

Sent from my SCH-I545 using Tapatalk
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All of the above. We make them compatible to Blu Ray, and they play in regular DVD players as well.

We are getting closer and closer, and still finding things to add that we didn't "real eyes" we had......there is SO much to this story, I believe this one could be the center of a movie one day.

Aloha
 
Rockin' Robin said:
... I have written a couple of stories about this feat, both for the American Cueist and on this site years ago, but they seem to have disappeared into cyberspace. ...
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Here's one from 2009:

Rockin' Robin said:
Jay's description of the Million Dollar Challenge was pretty much right on. I arrived a day or two before the show started, and sweated "Big Dave" assembling the black Gold Crowns. The pockets were shimmed to 4 and 3/8 inches, and two balls would not even enter the opening points. We figured there was pretty much no chance of anyone running 10 racks, and I think the most I saw the first day was a two pack.

I was standing by the chart and sweating a match on the closest table when Earl started his run. After the first few racks, you could feel a certain tension in the room. On the fourth rack people started drifting over towards his table. By the fifth rack, the crowd was starting to interfere with other matches, and I started moving spectators out of the way. When the fifth rack was completed, I immediately went to CJ's office and informed him to GRAB THE CAMERA !!!!!!!!!!

By now, the entire pool room was gravitating towards the feature table, and after the sixth and seventh rack was completed, play had to be halted at the other tables because the crowd was out of control. The stands had no empty seats and people were standing 10 deep at every available viewing spot. Racks eight and nine saw everyone in the place at Earl's table. From being able to hear a pin drop to deafening cheers at the completion of every rack. Go Earl !!!!! Go Earl !!!!!!!! Go Earl !!!!!!!

As the long one-nine combo was lined up, everyone was holding their breathe. Earl slammed it home, and the entire place went NUTS !!!!!!!!!!

Earl leaped up in the air and speared his cue into the floor, (breaking the shaft,btw) and it was at least 30 minutes till we could resume play of the other matches, and Earl's match itself. To say the place went crazy would be an understatement. After calm was restored, Earl had grabbed another shaft and run an eleventh rack. I thought he was going to run out the set, but he missed a tough bank on the one-ball in the 12th game.

As Jay said, after the match, Earl sat down and signed pictures for everyone in the pool hall. I , too, failed to get a pic, but caught Earl later in Atlanta during the NSGA show.

Robin....
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we were prepared to skyrocket pool into the next dimension of popularity

AtLarge said:
Here's one from 2009:
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The table has 4 and three eighths inch pockets.......finally got verification on that fact.

One thing no one seems to remember correctly is how many racks Jay actually racked.....and a few other things that surprised all of us doing the post production.

There's a couple other things the video will bring out that will cause quite a "stir". It's been a tremendous experience going back and re living this event through the video and magazine stories and TV .... one thing's for sure we were prepared to skyrocket pool into the next dimension of popularity....then something went wrong...and the rest is history.
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CJ Wiley said:
The table has 4 and three eighths inch pockets.......finally got verification on that fact.

One thing no one seems to remember correctly is how many racks Jay actually racked.....and a few other things that surprised all of us doing the post production.
...
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Is this accurate?

WoodyJ said:
Just finished reading Jay's book. IIRC, Jay said in it that racks 6-10 must be video camed per the insurance company's contract (and it was). Also, by contract (since it was rack your own) that after rack 5 someone else had to do the racking. When Jay went to tell Earl that while he was racking #6 Earl blew Jay off and racked #6 anyway. Jay racked #7-10.

The insurance company welshed on the deal and after the lawsuit Earl eventually got a $250,000 lump sum payment instead of an annuity for $50,000 per year for 20 years.

P.S.: Jay's book is a great read!
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It depends on how you choose to measure them.

AtLarge said:
Is this accurate?
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It depends on how you choose to measure them. Two balls wouldn't come close to fitting in the pocket, and some people try to say that's 4.5....I happen to disagree.

Jerry F. wrote this about the tables (in the 1st post of this thread).

To further expound the difficulty of this, consider that it was accomplished on nine foot Brunswick Gold Crown tables with incredibly tight pockets. Two object balls could not make it past the nose of any corner pocket, and the angle of the side pockets were nearly non-existent. Indeed, it appeared that the side pockets projected almost straight out into the plane of the table.
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The video will tell the whole world the truth......finally!

Quote:
Originally Posted by WoodyJ View Post
Just finished reading Jay's book. IIRC, Jay said in it that racks 6-10 must be video camed per the insurance company's contract (and it was). Also, by contract (since it was rack your own) that after rack 5 someone else had to do the racking. When Jay went to tell Earl that while he was racking #6 Earl blew Jay off and racked #6 anyway. Jay racked #7-10.

The insurance company welshed on the deal and after the lawsuit Earl eventually got a $250,000 lump sum payment instead of an annuity for $50,000 per year for 20 years.
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This is all inaccurate.....I'm not sure if you are quoting directly from Jay's book, but these are not facts. The video will tell the whole world the truth......finally!
 
CJ Wiley said:
This is all inaccurate.....I'm not sure if you are quoting directly from Jay's book, but these are not facts. The video will tell the whole world the truth......finally!
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CJ, I quoted a post from the past by WoodyJ and was aking you whether it was accurate, esp. as to how many games Jay racked. I said nothing else about the pocket size. If you click on the arrow after WoodyJ's screen name in the post I quoted, it will take you to the original post.

But I guess you are saying he is wrong about the racking.
 
I have the legal transcripts, the video and all other documentation

AtLarge said:
CJ, I quoted a post from the past by WoodyJ and was aking you whether it was accurate, esp. as to how many games Jay racked. I said nothing else about the pocket size. If you click on the arrow after WoodyJ's screen name in the post I quoted, it will take you to the original post.

But I guess you are saying he is wrong about the racking.
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The quote also said the insurance company "welshed on the deal".....and it says that Earl received 250k instead of the 50k for 20 years.....none of these statements are accurate....and yes, the racking statement is also not true.

No one had any way to know if these statements were false or not. I knew.....but no one else could have possibly known the details of the lawsuit and I assure you no one has ever guessed either......that's what all these are, just guesses.

I have the legal transcripts, the video and all other documentation to back up my statements. This lawsuit cost us $300,000 on our end alone and probably double that on the other end.....and I was under a confidentiality agreement through the entire process......and even after this agreement was lifted I didn't share the story because I was heavily involved in the night club business and "moved on" with my life.
 
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