Tony/Skyler trivia question

mikepage

mikepage

AzB Silver Member
Silver Member
Put this on facebook; let's see where the right answer shows up first.

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Pure trivia question from the FargoRate database

There are 10 recorded matches between Tony Chohan and Skyler Woodward (7 one-pocket, 3 rotation).

Question: How many of these did Tony win?

Bonus: If Tony had any wins, how many were one-pocket vs rotation?

Curious to see the guesses.
 
mikepage said:
Put this on facebook; let's see where the right answer shows up first.

****
Pure trivia question from the FargoRate database

There are 10 recorded matches between Tony Chohan and Skyler Woodward (7 one-pocket, 3 rotation).

Question: How many of these did Tony win?

Bonus: If Tony had any wins, how many were one-pocket vs rotation?

Curious to see the guesses.
Click to expand...
Really tricky because of 1-pocket, if rotation only, Sky should won 80% of time.
My guess is that 50-50: Tony won 5 one pocket, Sky won 2 one pocket and 3 rotation 🤣
 
mikepage said:
Put this on facebook; let's see where the right answer shows up first.

****
Pure trivia question from the FargoRate database

There are 10 recorded matches between Tony Chohan and Skyler Woodward (7 one-pocket, 3 rotation).

Question: How many of these did Tony win?

Bonus: If Tony had any wins, how many were one-pocket vs rotation?

Curious to see the guesses.
Click to expand...
I'll guess that they are roughly split on the one pocket with Skyler being slightly ahead. Maybe 4-3. And I bet that Tony has won all 3 rotation matches.
 
Sky 6-4. Sky 7-3 possibly.
Sky 2-1 in 3 rotation matches. 4-3 in 7 one pocket matches.

Guess from a non math guy. I did poke around the app using their current FargoRate. ( no info on any specific match, I don’t know the actual number)
 
thread probably not unrelated to the one pocket thread. so my guess is sky won most of the one pocket matches and tony won the rotation matches
 
mikepage said:
Put this on facebook; let's see where the right answer shows up first.

****
Pure trivia question from the FargoRate database

There are 10 recorded matches between Tony Chohan and Skyler Woodward (7 one-pocket, 3 rotation).

Question: How many of these did Tony win?

Bonus: If Tony had any wins, how many were one-pocket vs rotation?

Curious to see the guesses.
Click to expand...
What do we win?

Bonus: when will 7ft Fargo be separated from 9ft Fargo?

Extra Bonus: too much money being made from leagues to ever change?
 
Kris_b1104 said:
[...]

Bonus: when will 7ft Fargo be separated from 9ft Fargo?

Extra Bonus: too much money being made from leagues to ever change?
Click to expand...
Your attempt to assign motivation here makes the same mistake that shows up in many responses (both here and on Facebook) to the original question.

In the Tony/Sky case, the fact that we’re asking the question is itself evidence. If the data were typical or aligned with baseline expectations, there would be no question. Answering as if it were asked at random ignores that conditioning. (Some of you—like sixpack and skogstokig—are getting this.)

The same applies to FargoRate’s choices. The fact that we don’t split 7-ft and 9-ft ratings is itself evidence. If our goal were, as you suggest, short-term engagement or revenue, splitting them would be the obvious, economically superior move. We would get far more engagement by giving people what they think they want. The fact that we don’t do that is important evidence of something.

In both cases, the error is the same: ignoring the selection mechanism that produced the question and the policy, and treating highly informative behavior as if it carried no information at all.
 
mikepage said:
Put this on facebook; let's see where the right answer shows up first.

****
Pure trivia question from the FargoRate database

There are 10 recorded matches between Tony Chohan and Skyler Woodward (7 one-pocket, 3 rotation).

Question: How many of these did Tony win?

Bonus: If Tony had any wins, how many were one-pocket vs rotation?

Curious to see the guesses.
Click to expand...
1770466853095.png
 
mikepage said:
The same applies to FargoRate’s choices. The fact that we don’t split 7-ft and 9-ft ratings is itself evidence. If our goal were, as you suggest, short-term engagement or revenue, splitting them would be the obvious, economically superior move. We would get far more engagement by giving people what they think they want.
Click to expand...

don't think barbox players would feel belittled or depreciated if they were in a separate group? if so, wouldn't that be giving them what they don't want rather
 
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