Match 1 Judgement
Let me first state that I am definitely falable, but I need to make a decision here to move to the semi-finals of this experimental tourney. It may well be that some of the shots chosen by the players are indeed high percentage shots for them, even though my perception of them is different. Don't be a judge hater if you don't agree with my decision or analysis. You're free to disagree and may actually be right
Match 1
Perk
OUT PLAN SUCCESS ESTIMATE (OPSE): 20 points
At first I didn't like the 7 to the 3 as first shot choice, but looking at it a bit more, I like playing the 7 first, but I wouldn't want to relying on being on that 3 ball into the long corner. But it's a good target position. Short and you could play the 3 or 4 in the other long corner or the 6 in the side. Go too far and the 3 is on in the top center. The 7 is a potential problem ball so it's good to get rid of it early.
Everything else looks pretty easy, though I don't like playing from the 1 so soft. I'd play harder to pot the 8 in the same pocket.
Very high percentage out for a decent player: 18 points
PATH ACCURACY: 10 points
Pretty good, but looks tricky slow from 1 to 8bal: 9 points
PATH SIMPLICITY: 10 points
9 points
PROBLEM BALL HANDLING : 10 points
Got rid of 7, 6, 2 and 4 early. 1 could be a problem but I can't see a way to deal with that earlier that wouldn't create other problems: 9 points
Total: 45 Points.
Andrew Manning
OUT PLAN SUCCESS ESTIMATE (OPSE): 20 points
Andrew starts with the 3 which sets up a nice pattern. I like his kissing the 9 ball to hold position. It's a natural stun angle and I think hard to mess up. But then he realizes the 7 makes the out a bit messy, especially if he leaves it till after the 4. So the next shot from the 7 to get on the 4 is risky, considering he already had perfect position on the 4 the shot before but couldn't use it.
If he did get good on the 4, the finish is quite smooth taking the 1 next shot and then a long 5 which a decent player should have no problems with. Still, this run could fall apart at the 4 ball. 16 points
PATH ACCURACY: 10 points
All paths are well drawn and look realistic except the 5 ball, unless Andrew likes to play this shot with stun and IE.: 9 points
PATH SIMPLICITY: 10 points
9 points
PROBLEM BALL HANDLING : 10 points
Pretty good, getting straight to the 6 and 2 balls, but 7,4,1 could have turned egg shaped without perfect position after the 7: 8 points
Total: 42 points
Result to Perk, but I think both outs showed a high level of understanding. Perk also explained his reasoning on the 3 ball position as not needing to be perfect, and I think this shot was the right choice to start as it made the finish almost a certainty for a good player.
Once I put up the other judgements, I'll put up tables for the semi-finals, which can be done over the weekend.
Colin