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If you want a fair ranking/handicapping system, look at the NPL system. Briefly: if you win a match, your ranking goes up, if you lose a match, your ranking goes down. [...]
We are doing something for 8-ball that is based on all the great stuff Bob has introduced with the NPL system. And I'm convinced it is the way to go--nationally/internationally--for an 8-ball rating system. I'll introduce the details soon.
For those who understand the NPL system, I'll give you a sense of the way it works in practice.
If you win a GAME, your rating goes up. If you lose a GAME, your rating goes down.
Yes your rating goes down even if you lose a game against SVB, and it goes up even if you win a game against a blind grandmother. But trust me, this is exactly what is supposed to happen, and I've got trash cans filled with crumpled up pages of equations to back it up.
Those familiar with NPL ratings will know that if Bob is 15 points above Mike, then --approximately--out of 100 games Bob is expected to win 60 and Mike is expected to win 40. But what if we play just a single game and Bob wins?
Well for ONE game he was expected to win 0.6 games. He exceeded expectations by actually winning 1.0 games. So what hapens to his NPL rating?
It goes up by
190/N *(actually won - expected to win)
N here is the ROBUSTNESS of Bob's NPL rating --the number of prior games his rating is based upon.
So if Bob has a robustness of 400, then his rating goes up by about 0.2 points [190/400*(1.0 - 0.6)]. Then if he loses the next game to me, his rating would go down by 0.3 points. [190/401*(0.0-0.6)]
If Bob drew me in an unhandicapped race-to-5 tournament and beat me 5-4, his rating would go DOWN a bit. This is because out of 9 games, Bob is expected to win 5.4. By letting me get to the hill, he underperformed a bit--so we would zing him a bit for it...
Anyway, we have worked out a lot of the details. Every league and tournament game goes into the database. So like NPL, ratings are constantly on the move. Unlike NPL, we don't restrict ourselves to 'fair" matches.
The ratings are called FARGO RATINGS, and they have the following approximate correspondence:
• 800 A top world-class 8-ball player such as Corey Duell, Shane Van Boening, Darren Appleton, or Thorsten Hohman
• 700 A top regional 8-ball player in the US –a threat to cash in the Master’s Division at the BCA/VNEA Championships – a threat to run six in a row if the break is working
• 600 Likely to cash in the BCA Open Division but probably won’t make it to the top 32. –may get moved to Master’s Division and then flounder –has run three-in-a-row multiple times and maybe four-in-a row a time or two
• 500 A good local league player. Runs out first time at the table in about 10% of the games
• 400 Runs out first time at the table in about 1% of the games—once or twice a league season
• 300 A beginner league player
• 200 absolute beginner- may miscue frequently