Comparing cues with dime shaped tips,
Platinum Billiards' data has the least deflecting cue (Predator Z2) at 1.34 deg at 9mm offset of the center of the shaft, while the most deflecting (Lucasi) at 2.02 deg. The actual offset of the contact point corresponding to 9mm of centerline offset and a dime radius is 6.89mm. The offset angle (theta in the diagram below) is then 13.96 degrees. To get the
effective offset, as Dr. Page referenced earlier, and as shown in the diagram, just subtract the deflection angles from this and find the sine of the new angle.
Comparing the Z2 and Lucasi then, their effective offsets are 6.24mm and 5.91mm, respectively. Dividing, 6.24/5.91 = 1.056. Thus we get a 5.6% difference in spin/speed ratio (which is a direct function of this offset) for the Z2 over the Lucasi. (Because of ball rotation during contact, the offsets are actually a little bit larger, but for comparison purposes, using the initial offset yields the greatest difference between them.) Whether this is significant is a matter of judgement. Surely, the better player is more likely to notice.
To the extent that you accept Platinum's data, this is concrete. The physics is about as simple and straightforward as you can get. But figuring the difference in absolute spin (as opposed to ratio), is harder and now differences in stick/tip efficiency come into play. But the numbers strongly suggest that you're not going to see anything like 30% or 50% increases from one cue to the next.
Just to note that spin/speed ratio is relevant to cushion rebound effects, but absolute spin is what determines the distance traveled in draw and follow shots. It's actually the square of the absolute spin that matters, so a 10% difference between cues becomes about a 20% difference in distance (1.1*1.1 = 1.2) . Whether you'll actually see a 10% variance between "normal" cues, I don't know.
I think that Scott Lee's point is that the subjective impact of going from one cue to the next is probably much greater than the objective performance data would indicate. Maybe these rather severe differences, such as JoeyA just reported, are due to partial tip slippage during impact?
Jim