Ace in the side.
I take "it's his to lose" to mean he's practically a cinch to win.Yeah, there are still several left that can beat him. I don't think he'll have a 41% chance to win this until he has won both of his Wednesday matches. That said, based on Fargo, he is the only top fifteen ranked player still in the draw, so I think the statement that it is his to lose is a fair one. He's the favorite, but not even close to an odds on favorite, for the title.