I have never changed my "opinion" on this shot. I have always thought (and still think) it was a double-hit foul. However, IMO, there is not clear enough evidence to "call a foul" based on the original video with the limited overhead view. If a ref were watching from the side, I would think the call of a foul would have been easy to make.
... unless he had his cue elevated more than you might think.
... elevating the cue more would also help create
quick draw.
If you look at his bridge hand in the video, it is possible he was elevated a lot more than you think.
It seems like the CB is hopping to me.
Again, I have the same "opinion" as you do, especially after reviewing all of my re-created shots. However, I still think it would not be appropriate to call a foul based on the limited overhead view in the original video footage.
Regardless, good analysis!