I disagree with this. Granted any race to six can be a fluke. But if I win 11/18 sets well then I know who is the better player.
Mosconi Cup is a cut break contest.
I disagree with this. Granted any race to six can be a fluke. But if I win 11/18 sets well then I know who is the better player.
Errm, atm there is in no way 5 American's who are a coin toss against any European and it has not been that way in quite some time. SVB is a coin toss against the best Europe has to offer atm, and he is it. I am sorry but Corey is not there, Hatch is not there, Rodney is not there, Johnny is no longer there, Earl is REALLY not there. None of those guys are a coin toss against Ralf, none of them were a coin toss against Mika a couple years ago, none of them have been at Thorsten's level for years (most of them never have been there TBH), none of them are a coin toss against Nick Van Den Berg in long set tournament play or Chris Melling.
Can 5 guys in America upset a European in a match? For sure, but that does not make them a coin toss. They are underdogs every time they step into the ring against alot of Europeans unless their name happens to be Shane, who is the ONLY true coin toss America has against the top 5 Euro's.
Errm, atm there is in no way 5 American's who are a coin toss against any European and it has not been that way in quite some time. SVB is a coin toss against the best Europe has to offer atm, and he is it. I am sorry but Corey is not there, Hatch is not there, Rodney is not there, Johnny is no longer there, Earl is REALLY not there. None of those guys are a coin toss against Ralf, none of them were a coin toss against Mika a couple years ago, none of them have been at Thorsten's level for years (most of them never have been there TBH), none of them are a coin toss against Nick Van Den Berg in long set tournament play or Chris Melling.
Can 5 guys in America upset a European in a match? For sure, but that does not make them a coin toss. They are underdogs every time they step into the ring against alot of Europeans unless their name happens to be Shane, who is the ONLY true coin toss America has against the top 5 Euro's.
Okay, just so I understand this, can you give examples of odds you would place on some hypothetical match-ups between the top American and European players? Let's take Corey Deuel for example. What do you think the odds are of him beating Immonen, Hohmann or Souquet? You can give your answer as a percentage.
Rack your own 9 ball?
Sure. Please understand, I'm not suddenly going to hold anyone to these odds. I just want to get an idea of what we're talking about.
Let me answer like this. No one is beating down the door of Corey to play RYO 9 ball. But your point is, based on normal conditions and no gaff, Europe has better top players in rotational pool than the USA does. I would agree.
Okay, then we can move to Archer or Strickland. What do you think the odds are of Souquet beating either of them? Please give your answer in the form of a percentage. In fact, you can provide your answer under the circumstances you feel are most favorable for Souquet.
Jude, it's not that simple. If we are talking gambling well then Ralf would soil himself before the match started and from there it would be difficult to play. Yes, I am kidding. I have a ton of respect for Ralf and know he doesn't gamble.
Regards to tournament play, I would have to say that Ralf is peaking right now. So historical track record doesn't matter much.
I would give an ever so slight advantage to Ralf.
Okay then please understand that my "coin-toss" reference is not meant to be a pure 50/50 scenario. I think even a fairly strict translation of the reference would allow for 45/55 and maybe even 40/60. The point I was making is that these guys go back and forth all the time. None of them are dominant over the others and that includes Souquet.
Let's take Corey Deuel for example. What do you think the odds are of him beating Immonen, Hohmann or Souquet? You can give your answer as a percentage.
EDIT: Just so we're clear, the game is 9ball in a race to 9. Winner breaks.
I bet the U.S. has way more shortstop level players than anybody else in the world.
Is this "rack your own" 9-ball?
I will tell you what, lets get rid of the gaff "well I can think of a way to set up the game where Corey is...." junk and just say "what are the chances that Corey beats Immonen, Hohmann, or Souquet in the world 9-ball championships?" I am not sure on what format they use, but that is a match that matters in todays pool world.
I would say any one of those 3 Europeans for the last 5 years is at least a 60-40 favorite against Corey in that tournament match under that pressure on that world stage, and Corey's success on that stage compared to the success of those other 3 players is strong evidence that this is actually true. He has simply not managed to win events like that, he does not manage to get as deep as Immonen, Souquet, or Hohmann with the same regularity.
I am a huge fan of Corey, I think he is one of the most naturally gifted players on the planet, but I like alot of other people was not only pleasently surprised that Corey got 2nd in the 2010 US Open, but also a little shocked, given how little he plays.
Corey could be every bit as good as those 3 players IF he played the same amount of pool and commited to the game as much as those 3 players, but he does not and thus he is not.
Europe passed the US long ago and is extending its advantage each year.
America has just one champion that is snapping off any of the large field events having signinficant representaiton from each of the world's three major pool playing continents, and that's Van Boening, and this has been true for a while.
On American soil alone, Europe has won the last four US Open 9-ball events, the last six World 14.1 events, and the last three Challenge of Champion events. They've also won four of the last five Mosconi Cups, and two of the last three played in America.
The matches in tournament play hardly qualify as coin tosses when its always the same guys (mostly Orcullo, Van Boening, Souquet, Appleton) that hoist the trophies in the biggest events. In tournament play, the only coin toss matches for Ralf Souquet are Shane, Dennis, Darren, and Alex, and every other player on the planet is an underdog.
The results don't lie. Americans not named Shane nearly never win any of the biggest titles. It's nothing to be ashamed of, but to deny Europe's pool playing pedigree is to live in denial.
I don't believe what you've said is evidence of pedigree. Only one Asian player has ever won the US Open 9ball. Does this suggest Asia is inferior? Regarding the last four US Opens, specifically, two players have gone back-to-back (Appleton and Immonen). Prior to those two players winning the US Open, it had been won by four different Americans and a Canadian.
A lot of Americans not named Shane are also not competing in any of these tournaments. Former Mosconi members Tony Robles and John Schmidt are more than capable of playing their very best right now and yet neither have been terribly active in 2011.
I think European pool got at its strongest when more UK based players got seriously involved in competing at Eurotour. That definitely raised the bar. Also, some European countries are blessed with government funded billiard youth programme not unlike that of Taiwan. They are only going to get stronger.
I think Europe and Asia are pretty evenly matched these days.