Siming Chen vs Donny Mills

I think it is time for a little review

Just over a year ago, prompted by Rhea posting a FargoRate top 100 list and pointing out Siming's position, Donny posted that he knows a guy who won the lottery, etc and invited someone to get this "free money."

In the same thread Chris Bartram, responding to me, said,
"You really don't believe she plays close to Donny's level?"

and also in the same thread, Justin Bergman said,
"I think Fargo is better than any other handicap system, but sometimes it just seems so far off [...] I think Donny would win easily by 20-30 games in a race to 100 against Siming Chen playing 9 or 10 Ball..."

and Donny replied to Justin,

"This is exactly right!!! This is music to my ears! Finally I read something in this thread that makes sense! For all you people on this forum that aren't sure what's accurate or not. This is accurate."

***************

Now, these are not AZB keyboard warriors. These are three of the most widely respected people there are for this business of clocking speed and making games. So this is significant that all three seem to agree that Donny is a clear favorite. I even get a sense they think it is silly or naive to suggest otherwise. Justin's 25 games in a race to 100 suggests he thinks Siming is 40+ points below Donny.

Clearly anything can happen tomorrow. But at this point Siming and Donny have played 68 games and the score is Siming 36 Donny 31. And I note that this is only one game off from the most likely score based on their ratings.

Boom.

This is pool’s Battle of the Sexes.

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Donny played by Zac Efron.

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Siming Chen played by Fan Bingbing.
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I can remember a couple of years back when I said there were women players today in China that could give the men fits and everyone laughed at me. Most people told me it was wishful thinking to believe that any woman player could compete against good men players. I saw Siming play over three years ago and I watched a woman play like no other that I had ever seen before. She had a solid stroke, good eye, and knew how to move the cue ball around the table. I'm not at all surprised by what she is doing now. And the fact is there are five or six other women (maybe more by now) in China that are nearly the same speed as her!

Matchroom has it right again. They are introducing women into their feature events. I look for the day when there is a 32 player invitational tournament with 16 men and 16 women all matched up in the first round. That will be eye opening for the non believers.

One other thing that I've always said. There is no physical or mental reason why a woman cannot play pool just as good as any man!
 
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To be fair 36-31 score is based off of shorter races. Race to 100 could very well be a different story.

Actually, that's not entirely accurate. At a certain point, the variance starts to narrow. For example, the winning advantage goes way up from a race to 3 vs a race to 25. Thing is, you get finishing returns so a race to 100 is not that more advantageous than, say, a race to 50.


Eric
 
Because the underlying theme is the question of whether Fargo is accurate across genders. This is the men versus women challenge for all to see.

There should be no complaint about this matchup. If she wants to match up against players with the same Fargo rate after this, more power to her. But this matchup, a long multi-set race, is needed to show whether or not Fargo is accurate, and whether or not the top rated female on the planet deserves such a higher rating.

The only true way to determine if Fargo is accurate across the genders is for two equally rated players to play. If she beats Donny it only shows she plays better than Donny. It doesn’t show she can play even with Ruslan, Melling, Woodward and the list goes on.

I know this debate could go on forever because we aren’t going to to see her play any of the players around the same rating as her for two reasons.
1. I They aren’t interested in playing any of said players.
2. Because if she lost all the hype would be over.

Chen is a great player but I just don’t think she can beat the players at her same rating.
 
As long as there are male chauvinists in the range of 30-40 Fargo points below her that believe they are supposed to win just because she has a vagina between her legs, she is pretty much duty-bound to take their money.

What I find extremely interesting (and extremely chauvinist) is the fact that this particular question only gets asked because she in fact, has a vagina between her legs. No one was questioning Chinakhov for playing Eric Durbin at Derby last year, even though Chinakhov is a dead nuts favorite playing any rotation game against Durbin.

In FACT, no one asks ANY male player why they are playing a sucker even.

I think what a lot of dudes asking that question won't admit, and in most cases are not aware of, is that they are just a wee bit salty that a woman is beating up on really good players gambling, and they want to see that "lil lady" get her comeuppance.

Very good post.
Shocking in this day and age that there are still dinosaur MCP.
Salty about sums it up. Salty b i t c h boys. :grin-square:


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:grin-square:
 
The only true way to determine if Fargo is accurate across the genders is for two equally rated players to play. If she beats Donny it only shows she plays better than Donny. It doesn’t show she can play even with Ruslan, Melling, Woodward and the list goes on.

I know this debate could go on forever because we aren’t going to to see her play any of the players around the same rating as her for two reasons.
1. I They aren’t interested in playing any of said players.
2. Because if she lost all the hype would be over.

Chen is a great player but I just don’t think she can beat the players at her same rating.

You just dont understand how Fargo works or you don't want to.
Jason
 
Shouldn’t the total score be 36-32.
First set 15-13
Second set 21-19

Yes, sorry. They played 68 games, not 67. I said before that Siming won one fewer game than the most likely score. I was wrong it is actually two.

The most likely score given their ratings after 68 games is Siming 38 Donny 30.
The actual score is 36 to 32.
 
Yes, sorry. They played 68 games, not 67. I said before that Siming won one fewer game than the most likely score. I was wrong it is actually two.

The most likely score given their ratings after 68 games is Siming 38 Donny 30.
The actual score is 36 to 32.

Should be a good match.
 
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You just dont understand how Fargo works or you don't want to.
Jason

It has nothing to do with me other than I would like to see her match up with one of those players. However what I want to see and what her backers want to put money up against is a different story. Ask yourself why is she only playing players 30-40 points below her?

As far as Fargo I know enough to know that if I only play players below me I’m never going to know if I can play with the players at my rating. I know this means nothing to the people backing Chen. They are just trying to make money.
 
It has nothing to do with me other than I would like to see her match up with one of those players. However what I want to see and what her backers want to put money up against is a different story. Ask yourself why is she only playing players 30-40 points below her?

As far as Fargo I know enough to know that if I only play players below me I’m never going to know if I can play with the players at my rating. I know this means nothing to the people backing Chen. They are just trying to make money.

Sounds like you haven't been keeping up.

She's playing Donny, because Donny thinks Fargo Rate is hogwash, and he said he would beat her by a large margin even though she's rated higher than him.
 
The only true way to determine if Fargo is accurate across the genders is for two equally rated players to play. If she beats Donny it only shows she plays better than Donny. It doesn’t show she can play even with Ruslan, Melling, Woodward and the list goes on.

I know this debate could go on forever because we aren’t going to to see her play any of the players around the same rating as her for two reasons.
1. I They aren’t interested in playing any of said players.
2. Because if she lost all the hype would be over.

Chen is a great player but I just don’t think she can beat the players at her same rating.

She isnt supposed to beat players at her same rating-She is supposed to go 50/50 with them over the long run but as you should know- in any sport/game and especially in pool, the lesser player will win some matches-some tournaments- We aren't robots.We have bad days, great days and lucky days. That's why we have the word 'upset'.

Corr beat Ko, Liz Ford beat Earl as did Gerda and on and on-Fargo is a great rating system but no one thinks it will call every match unless they are very intellectually challenged
 
It has nothing to do with me other than I would like to see her match up with one of those players. However what I want to see and what her backers want to put money up against is a different story. Ask yourself why is she only playing players 30-40 points below her?
so you would like to see her in tough action for your entertainment?
As far as Fargo I know enough to know that if I only play players below me I’m never going to know if I can play with the players at my rating. I know this means nothing to the people backing Chen. They are just trying to make money.

Welcome to the real world.....I’ll take the last four...for $$$$
 
As long as there are male chauvinists in the range of 30-40 Fargo points below her that believe they are supposed to win just because she has a vagina between her legs, she is pretty much duty-bound to take their money.

What I find extremely interesting (and extremely chauvinist) is the fact that this particular question only gets asked because she in fact, has a vagina between her legs. No one was questioning Chinakhov for playing Eric Durbin at Derby last year, even though Chinakhov is a dead nuts favorite playing any rotation game against Durbin.

In FACT, no one asks ANY male player why they are playing a sucker even.

I think what a lot of dudes asking that question won't admit, and in most cases are not aware of, is that they are just a wee bit salty that a woman is beating up on really good players gambling, and they want to see that "lil lady" get her comeuppance.

Something else that I find interesting... Roy was very clear in the commentary that Siming Chen doesn't gamble a whole lot. Which means that she's been beating Donny pure and simple on fundamentals and ability alone... From what I saw in the stream last night.... If that "lil lady" ever gets real comfortable gambling, and works on a little 3 cushion to improve her finesse kicking, you just might find that a lot of guys her same Fargorate might just get their heads beat in...

Shortbus Russ

I think it is time for a little review

Just over a year ago, prompted by Rhea posting a FargoRate top 100 list and pointing out Siming's position, Donny posted that he knows a guy who won the lottery, etc and invited someone to get this "free money."

In the same thread Chris Bartram, responding to me, said,
"You really don't believe she plays close to Donny's level?"

and also in the same thread, Justin Bergman said,
"I think Fargo is better than any other handicap system, but sometimes it just seems so far off [...] I think Donny would win easily by 20-30 games in a race to 100 against Siming Chen playing 9 or 10 Ball..."

and Donny replied to Justin,

"This is exactly right!!! This is music to my ears! Finally I read something in this thread that makes sense! For all you people on this forum that aren't sure what's accurate or not. This is accurate."

***************

Now, these are not AZB keyboard warriors. These are three of the most widely respected people there are for this business of clocking speed and making games. So this is significant that all three seem to agree that Donny is a clear favorite. I even get a sense they think it is silly or naive to suggest otherwise. Justin's 25 games in a race to 100 suggests he thinks Siming is 40+ points below Donny.

Clearly anything can happen tomorrow. But at this point Siming and Donny have played 68 games and the score is Siming 36 Donny 31. And I note that this is only one game off from the most likely score based on their ratings.

Two of the best posts in the thread.

AND to add to that NO ONE - I mean NO ONE who backs Justin Bergman wants to spot her her 30 games in a race to 100 against Justin. If Justin thinks that Donny is supposed to win by 30 games then he must be able to win by MORE than 30 and IF anyone is crazy enough to back Justin giving up that weight I will be right there betting on Si Ming. But that will never go off and we know why. She can PLAY, flat out play and Justin was wrong.
 
Chen is no joke or statistical anomaly. She can flat out play and one might even conclude she only hit top gear in the last 40% of last night's set.

That last out was insane and if that level of execution is in her quiver then I will agree that there are only a couple handfuls of mans that are going to be favored in a reasonably length set.

Now...that tkach. Holy wow.
 
Donny blew his chance to win a set yesterday. Chen is hitting top gear and we could see earlier finish today :)
Too bad she is not in World Pool Masters next month. They have Han Yu instead who is another good female player
 
I bet Bergman won't take Donny even today.

Kristina Tkach shoots straighter than Donny.
 
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