I think it is time for a little review
Just over a year ago, prompted by Rhea posting a FargoRate top 100 list and pointing out Siming's position, Donny posted that he knows a guy who won the lottery, etc and invited someone to get this "free money."
In the same thread Chris Bartram, responding to me, said,
"You really don't believe she plays close to Donny's level?"
and also in the same thread, Justin Bergman said,
"I think Fargo is better than any other handicap system, but sometimes it just seems so far off [...] I think Donny would win easily by 20-30 games in a race to 100 against Siming Chen playing 9 or 10 Ball..."
and Donny replied to Justin,
"This is exactly right!!! This is music to my ears! Finally I read something in this thread that makes sense! For all you people on this forum that aren't sure what's accurate or not. This is accurate."
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Now, these are not AZB keyboard warriors. These are three of the most widely respected people there are for this business of clocking speed and making games. So this is significant that all three seem to agree that Donny is a clear favorite. I even get a sense they think it is silly or naive to suggest otherwise. Justin's 25 games in a race to 100 suggests he thinks Siming is 40+ points below Donny.
Clearly anything can happen tomorrow. But at this point Siming and Donny have played 68 games and the score is Siming 36 Donny 31. And I note that this is only one game off from the most likely score based on their ratings.