Just curious about how many people say he is better than Shane after the break. Is that saying that if he broke better he would be world champion and a 5 time US open champion as well? If that was all that needed to improve in his game he should have done that years ago.
I'm a huge fan of his talent. I watched him play as a kid in the 18u championships against players like Morra. I remember him in action against Oscar in both of their prime and they were pretty close after multiple sets of 9 ball and 8 ball. Action is not tournaments and is a different mindset. When playing solid he's arguably the second best current US player, but we shouldn't kid ourselves as if the world tour players are that weak. I would take probably 50 guys over 800 fargo over him in a tournament. Kyle Amaroto is an 806 and I think he's a favorite over Bergman in tournaments and action as an example.
You can put me in that camp.
Justin often reached the late rounds at several major championships and got around to beating most of the superelite at some point, but his break was so weak that he couldn't beat the top guys in the late rounds. He was, in my opinion, the best American defensive player since Nick Varner and he kicked as well as anybody, too. As a tactician, meaning pushouts, effective use of two-way shots, and general downside management, he was also as good as anybody. His speed control was elite, too, as he was one of the elite one-pocket players in the world. His runout skills were elite, but a bit below those of Shane.
So, yes, I think if he'd had Shane's break in the days when a very strong break was enough, he would have won a few major championships. Still, it is a big "what if" when you ask what might have been if a very weak breaker had the best break in the world.
Developing an elite break is much more difficult than you suggest, and many that have tried and tried to do so have been unable.
It's anybody's guess whether Justin has these aforementioned skills after more than five years without competing at the highest level. As an outsider looking in, I'd say I hope so, but it seems unlikely.