See post #9. I think by "equal" he means "random". That's how I'm taking it anyway. TennesseeJoe, any comment on that?
I agree with you that random could be the interpretation.
The poll results are equaly divided and this may show it depends on your perspective. The more skilled player would probably have a better layout evaluation but it would be based on his/her skill sets. A lesser skilled player knowing a two shot run is good for them would have a much different perspective.
A similiar situation to this poll could be found in One Pocket. Have you ever seen a novice One Pocket player shoot a ball in his pocket but reducing his chance to win?