Siming Chen vs Donny Mills

2 bets totaling around 1 dollar isn't much to brag about....maybe it is for you.
Funny thing is, you're still gonna lose. Lololol
Jason

So take my money.... I have a 60k yearly bonus hitting in 10 days and ill bet it all at 7;1
 
According to Fargo, Donny has a 22% chance of winning a race 21. But they’re playing best of 3 sets. Which gives him a 12% to win.

But Fargo Rating can tell you exactly how many more games that she is supposed to win by in each set. I think that if someone is rated 100 points higher for example, they are expected to win twice as many games as the lower rated opponent.

EDIT: If anything I'm saying is not correct, someone please provide the accurate info.

_______
 
Someone that knows Fargo Ratings better can chime in, but my estimation is that for a race to 21, Siming is projected to win by something like only 2 games? 21 to 19? Is that right?

A race to 18 would put her at a 4 game favorite if she was 36 points over him. She is 35 points higher but they are racing to 21, so roughly 4 games.
Jason
 
A race to 18 would put her at a 4 game favorite if she was 36 points over him. She is 35 points higher but they are racing to 21, so roughly 4 games.
Jason

He can’t win. Please take my yearly bonus but don’t tell my wife. I’ll tell her it was a bad year for the company
 
Considering he's gotten into the U.S. Open final four at least once, and DCC 9 ball top 8 maybe twice, no. And also, considering as others have said, that you continually badmouth Fargorate, again, no. You don't get to use Fargorate only when you wanna steal.

But then, both you and any potential bettors are aware of Donny's high performance all while holding down a full time job, so I just had to assume you are just trolling, because you will get ZERO bets down insisting on 7:1.

If you REALLY wanna steal, you should come to DCC next year and steal from me. I can't beat anybody..

Our fargorates are only 2 points apart does that mean we can play even.
 
He can’t win. Please take my yearly bonus but don’t tell my wife. I’ll tell her it was a bad year for the company

I know you play fairly well, but apparently you know nothing about averages, or, you think we dont.

If they race to 75 I'll give you 2 to 1
Jason
 
Our fargorates are only 2 points apart does that mean we can play even.

Sure, as soon as you get enough games in the system to have an established rating.

Please don't treat me like I am stupid. I find it extremely insulting.
 
If you watched his video, I think you'll be ok.
Jason

Not especially worried about getting trapped, I'm just fudging with him a bit.

The last time I actually practiced heavily before I moved to Germany, I had a hill-hill match against a 695, in a race to 13. I think the expectated outcome is I get 5 or something like that. My Fargorate hasn't moved in a couple years, and was prolly based on 1 or 2 seasons of BCA plus a few regionals...

There was an AZer that trapped me a few years back at DCC.. He got the 6 out wild playing 9 ball, but had to play with the rake every shot.

Someone got murdered in that set, but I am not gonna say who? :grin-square::grin-square::grin-square:

Short Bus Russ
 
Not especially worried about getting trapped, I'm just fudging with him a bit.

The last time I actually practiced heavily before I moved to Germany, I had a hill-hill match against a 695, in a race to 13. I think the expectated outcome is I get 5 or something like that. My Fargorate hasn't moved in a couple years, and was prolly based on 1 or 2 seasons of BCA plus a few regionals...

There was an AZer that trapped me a few years back at DCC.. He got the 6 out wild playing 9 ball, but had to play with the rake every shot.

Someone got murdered in that set, but I am not gonna say who? :grin-square::grin-square::grin-square:

Short Bus Russ

How do you guys come up with these games? Lol
Jason
 
How do you guys come up with these games? Lol
Jason

Hey man, that wasn't me in this particular one... A fellow AZer recognized me from my cue case, and offered that crazy game for giggles (and $100.00 on the side).. I thought to myself, "Well, I'd expect to at worse break even giving the 6 out to a B player playing normally, so this would be fun to try.. If he can win this way, I am certainly gonna get my money's worth..", lol
 
Sure, as soon as you get enough games in the system to have an established rating.

Please don't treat me like I am stupid. I find it extremely insulting.

Nothing personal and I don’t think your stupid I was just poking some fun at you. Just wanted to see what your reply would be. You can look back ever since I joined this forum I have stated that I don’t gamble anymore.
 
Nothing personal and I don’t think your stupid I was just poking some fun at you. Just wanted to see what your reply would be. You can look back ever since I joined this forum I have stated that I don’t gamble anymore.

No worries, man.. I still have the same aversion to being woofed at that got me this nickname years ago from Smorgass Bored/Tampa Tubby.... :grin-square::grin-square::grin-square:

ShortBus Russ
 
Last edited:
I did miss 2 balls and scratched once. I’ll be the first to admit that I got a lot of room for improvement. Let’s see your video.

I cant even play pool let alone record it.

I just seem to remember Russ playing fairly good.
Jason<----not the best memory
 
According to Fargo, Donny has a 22% chance of winning a race 21. But they’re playing best of 3 sets. Which gives him a 12% to win.

Cleary -- This situation is not complicated.

Person A is scheduled to play person B some pool, and one of them will win.
Some people believe person A is more likely to win
Some people believe person B is more likely to win
So long as there are people in both camps who like to wager on their belief, all is good. This appears to be the case.

Nobody but you is talking about odds on money and the like. I think Siming is more likely to win. But alas I don't bet on pool anymore. Who do you think is more likely to win?
 
If you think she has "no chance", then shut up and put your money where your mouth is.

If you think she has "no chance", then get together a stake and offer to back Ruslan against her giving up 20 games going to 100, and let us know how that works out for you. I am sure her backers will be interested, since you believe she has "no chanc


Ruslan is a stable mate of Siming , I've already asked the question,


1
 
Last edited:
I cant even play pool let alone record it.

I just seem to remember Russ playing fairly good.
Jason<----not the best memory

Somehow I knew you would decline my offer to post a video. At least I’m honest enough to admit there are lots of players who can beat me. Yes Russ does play well. His fargorate is 581. I’m about a 90% favorite to win against a player with a 581 rating. My son is around a 550 player so I have plenty of experience playing someone in that range and I know what the outcome is.
 
Back
Top